SK Innovation (096770) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · KR · Market cap 19.8T KRW (≈ $13.9B) · ISIN KR7096770003
What is SK Innovation really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 52% above our fair value of 91,020 KRW.
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 5 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +28.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (91,020 KRW). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 81,100 KRW – 273,700 KRW · fair‑value band 57,282 KRW – 91,020 KRW · the 138,300 KRW price screens above the 91,020 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
SK Innovation (096770) currently trades at 138,300 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 91,020 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 52.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 91,731 KRW per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the 138,300 KRW price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 58,478 KRW, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, SK Innovation generated revenue of 83.5T KRW at a net margin of −2.6%. Revenue grew 15.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −10.5%. Net debt stands at 22.8T KRW. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 57,282 KRW (bear case) to 91,020 KRW (bull case); at 138,300 KRW, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −60% fair-value upside, at −34%, 096770 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 5 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (91,731 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (58,478 KRW). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 23 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
SK Innovation Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, and sale of petroleum, natural gas, petrochemical, lubricants, and base oil products. It operates in six segments: Petroleum and Petrochemicals, Lubricants, Battery and LiBS , E&P, E&S and Others.
Full company description
SK Innovation Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development, production, and sale of petroleum, natural gas, petrochemical, lubricants, and base oil products. It operates in six segments: Petroleum and Petrochemicals, Lubricants, Battery and LiBS , E&P, E&S and Others. The company is also involved in insurance, power, district energy, renewable, city gas, LNG, manufacturing, trading, and oil exploration businesses; storage and sale of petroleum products; manufacturing of industrial gas and separator for secondary batteries; operating gas station and sports club; selling asphalt; issuance and redemption of floating securities; evaluation, certification, manufacturing, and selling of lithium battery; collection and disposal of waste batteries; invests in carbon capture and storage, as well as in equity; and installation of electric wire. In addition, it provides business consulting, resource development, information and communication, transporting, and software development services. Further, the company offers energy solution; and operates in hydrogen industry. It operates in South Korea, Asia, Europe, the United States, and internationally. The company was formerly known as SK Energy Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SK Innovation Co., Ltd. in January 2011. SK Innovation Co., Ltd. was founded in 1962 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SK Innovation reported revenue of 80.3T KRW in FY2025 versus 46.8T KRW in FY2021, a compound +14.4%/yr. Reported net income was −3.3T KRW in FY2025.
096770 screens 52% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 109 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE | ₹1,314 | ₹835.66 | −36% |
| Valero Energy Corporation VLO | $352.36 | $127.32 | −64% |
| Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC | $368.83 | $133.18 | −64% |
| Phillips 66 PSX | $246.58 | $99.41 | −60% |
| Neste Oyj NESTE | €31.28 | €3.83 | −88% |
| Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 | 75.80 TWD | 15.32 TWD | −80% |
| HF Sinclair Corporation DINO | $87.93 | $44.96 | −49% |
| Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL | ₹318.00 | ₹846.81 | +166% |
| Sunoco LP, SUN | $75.55 | $53.36 | −29% |
| S-Oil Corporation 010950 | 140,900 KRW | 19,441 KRW | −86% |
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