Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
- Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
- Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
- Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes
At a glance
Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR
HMC · US
Below-average quality, trading 37% below our fair value of $50.08.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR is $50.08 per share against a price of $31.62, so the fair value sits 58% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $45.13 to $50.08 (+11.0%) since Aug 31, 2026. Share price −0.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (42/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($35.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($35.08 to $65.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $18.65 – $34.03 · fair‑value band $35.08 – $65.78 · the $31.62 price screens below the $50.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Analysis
Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) currently trades at $31.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.08, implying the stock looks roughly 36.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $39.84 per share, and 8 of the 11 models we run sit above the $31.62 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $26.79, and 3 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR generated revenue of $21.8T at a net margin of −2.0%. Revenue grew 8.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −2.9%. Net debt stands at $8.4T. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $35.08 (bear) to $65.78 (bull), the price of $31.62 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 36% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 58%, HMC screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($39.84) versus Multiples ($26.79). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
Notify me when HMC reaches fair value
Put HMC on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and distribution of motorcycles, automobiles, and power products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Power Product and Other Businesses.
Full company description
Honda Motor Co., Ltd. engages in the development, manufacturing, and distribution of motorcycles, automobiles, and power products in Japan, North America, Europe, Asia, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Motorcycle Business, Automobile Business, Financial Services Business, and Power Product and Other Businesses. The Motorcycle Business segment produces motorcycles, including sports, business, and commuter models; and various off-road vehicles, such as all-terrain vehicles and side-by-sides. The Automobile Business segment offers passenger cars, light trucks, and mini vehicles. The Financial Services Business segment provides various financial services, including retail lending and leasing services to customers, as well as wholesale financing services to dealers. The Power Product and Other Businesses manufactures and sells power products, such as general-purpose engines, lawn mowers, generators, water pumps, brush cutters, and tillers. This segment also offers HondaJet aircraft. The company also sells spare parts; and provides after-sales services through retail dealers directly, as well as through independent distributors and licensees. Honda Motor Co., Ltd. was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR reported revenue of ¥23.1T in FY2026 versus ¥14.6T in FY2022, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was −¥450B in FY2026.
of which total revenue +5.1 % · buybacks/dilution +1.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch HMC, get fair value alerts →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Performance Brokerage Services Advises on the Purchase of Mansfield Motor Group, a Three-Rooftop Nissan, Honda, and Volvo Dealership Group,
- Should Value Investors Buy Honda Motor Co. (HMC) Stock?
Peer Group
Auto Manufacturers · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 8, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Toyota Motor Corporation TM | $188.78 | $235.50 | +25% |
| BYD Company 81211 | HK$73.50 | HK$46.64 | −37% |
| Hyundai Motor Company 005380 | 418,500 KRW | 567,393 KRW | +36% |
| Ferrari N.V RACE | €346.00 | €167.67 | −52% |
| General Motors Company GM | $87.76 | $52.69 | −40% |
| Ford Motor Company F | $14.00 | $11.51 | −18% |
| Mercedes-Benz Group MBG | €47.69 | €106.16 | +123% |
| Dr. Ing. h.c. F. Porsche AG P911 | €43.91 | €17.34 | −61% |
| Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI | ₹12,694 | ₹8,236 | −35% |
| Volkswagen AG VOW | €81.65 | €248.34 | +204% |
Compare Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of HMC?
What is the quality score of HMC?
What is the price target for Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC)?
What is the Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
What is the revenue of Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC)?
What is the net profit margin of HMC?
Does Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
What is the intrinsic value of Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC)?
Is Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
Is fair value the same as the market price of HMC?
How much is Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR worth?
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HMC?
What is the PEG ratio of HMC?
How solid is the balance sheet of Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR (HMC)?
How far is HMC from its 52-week high?
Which stocks are comparable to Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR?
Is Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
How is the fair value of HMC calculated?
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
Watch Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR in the live analysis
One click puts Honda Motor Co Ltd ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.