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Hyundai Motor Company (005380) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · KR · Market cap 111T KRW

HM Hyundai Motor Company 005380 · KO
Price418,500 KRW
Fair Value567,393 KRW
Upside+35.6%
Quality31/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 4.6% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
2.30% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/11)
Narrow moat 37/100
Evidence: High Range 462,689 KRW – 709,241 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 616,918 KRW to 567,393 KRW (−8.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −1.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 36% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (31/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (462,689 KRW). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

750,000 KRW 129,660 KRW Fair Value 567,393 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 129,660 KRW – 750,000 KRW · fair‑value band 462,689 KRW – 709,241 KRW · the 418,500 KRW price screens below the 567,393 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Hyundai Motor Company (005380) currently trades at 418,500 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 567,393 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 35.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 31/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hyundai Motor Company generated revenue of 188T KRW at a net margin of 4.6%. Revenue grew 3.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. Net debt stands at 157T KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 462,689 KRW (bear case) to 709,241 KRW (bull case); at 418,500 KRW, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 124% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at 36%, 005380 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 377,842 KRW 409,213 KRW 515,159 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 1,922 KRW 72
Gordon GGM 136,319 KRW 297,607 KRW 500,736 KRW 70
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 246,767 KRW 805,462 KRW 1,076,196 KRW 54
Lynch FV 180,358 KRW 257,654 KRW 334,950 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 180,358 KRW 257,654 KRW 334,950 KRW 46
EPV 1,922 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 136,319 KRW 297,607 KRW 500,736 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 136,319 KRW 234,909 KRW 310,154 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 598,774 KRW 798,365 KRW 997,956 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 462,689 KRW 616,918 KRW 771,148 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 462,689 KRW 616,918 KRW 771,148 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 161,109 KRW 359,365 KRW 557,621 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 136,303 KRW 326,290 KRW 516,277 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 139,080 KRW 310,902 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 221,760 KRW 297,158 KRW 443,519 KRW 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income 377,842 KRW 409,213 KRW 515,159 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 1,922 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 500,856 KRW 715,509 KRW 930,162 KRW 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (715,509 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (234,909 KRW). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 188T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.4%
Net margin 4.6%
Return on equity 7.5%
Free cash flow −17.1T KRW FY2025
Operating margin 5.5%
More key figures
Dividend yield 1.4%
EPS growth (YoY) -26.3%
Net debt 157T KRW FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 31/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 39

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 51
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 5
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 44
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 49
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hyundai Motor Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes motor vehicles and parts worldwide. The company operates through Vehicle, Finance, and Others segments.

Full company description

Hyundai Motor Company, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes motor vehicles and parts worldwide. The company operates through Vehicle, Finance, and Others segments. It offers cars under the ELANTRA, SONATA, AZERA, i30, ACCENT, i20, and i10 names; eco vehicles under the IONIQ 9, INSTER, IONIQ 5, IONIQ 6, KONA Electric, NEXO, TUCSON Hybrid, SANTA FE Hybrid, SONATA Hybrid, AZERA Hybrid, i30 Hybrid, and STARIA Hybrid names; SUVs under the TUCSON, SANTA FE, KONA, PALISADE, CRETA, and VENUE names; and MPVs under the STARIA name; and commercial vehicles under the STARIA, H-1, and H-100 names, as well as N series and N Line series vehicles under various names. The company also provides trucks and vans; vehicle financing, credit card processing, and other financing activities; train manufacturing services and other activities; and marketing, engineering, transport, mobility, logistics, and insurance services, as well as operates a football club. Further, it is involved in real estate development activities. Hyundai Motor Company was incorporated in 1967 and is headquartered in Seoul, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hyundai Motor Company reported revenue of 186T KRW in FY2025 versus 118T KRW in FY2021, a compound +12.2%/yr. Reported net income was 9.4T KRW in FY2025, compounding +17.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
186T KRW
Latest YoY
+6.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Revenue +12.2%/yr
FY21 118T KRW
FY22 143T KRW
FY23 163T KRW
FY24 175T KRW
FY25 186T KRW
Net income +17.6%/yr
FY21 4.9T KRW
FY22 7.4T KRW
FY23 12.0T KRW
FY24 12.5T KRW
FY25 9.4T KRW

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hyundai Motor Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/005380

Peer Group

Auto Manufacturers · 119 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 31 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +36% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.3% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.14× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Auto Manufacturers median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.13× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 81 · sector 31
FUTURE 17 · sector 33
PAST 30 · sector 20
HEALTH 43 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 46 · sector 46

Insider activity: 22/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Manufacturers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Toyota Motor Corporation TM $188.22 $247.83 +32%
BYD Company 81211 HK$76.90 HK$48.59 -37%
Bayerische Motoren Werke Aktiengesellschaft BMWM5N 1,909 MXN 2,610 MXN +37%
Ford Motor Company F C$11.72 C$3.70 -68%
Volkswagen AG VOW 2,149 CZK 7,783 CZK +262%
Maruti Suzuki India Limited MARUTI ₹13,875 ₹8,236 -41%
Kia Corporation 000270 135,600 KRW 341,751 KRW +152%
Weichai Power Co 2338 HK$36.40 HK$28.46 -22%
Geely Automobile Holdings 80175 HK$15.50 HK$19.14 +23%
Bajaj Auto Limited BAJAJAUTO ₹11,700 ₹4,574 -61%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hyundai Motor Company (005380) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 567,393 KRW versus a price of 418,500 KRW, about +36% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 005380?
Our model-based fair value for Hyundai Motor Company is 567,393 KRW (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 418,500 KRW.
What is the quality score of 005380?
Hyundai Motor Company has a Quality Score of 31/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hyundai Motor Company (005380)?
Hyundai Motor Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 188T KRW (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 005380?
The net profit margin of Hyundai Motor Company is about 4.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hyundai Motor Company pay a dividend?
Hyundai Motor Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.43% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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