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Elevance Health, Inc (ELV) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $80.9B

EH Elevance Health, Inc logo Elevance Health, Inc ELV · US
Price$398.22
Fair Value$426.53
Upside+7.1%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
1.76% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Moderate moat 46/100
Evidence: High Range $194.87 – $669.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $431.40 to $426.53 (−1.1%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price −6.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($194.87 to $669.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$542.16 $269.01 Fair Value $426.53 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $269.01 – $542.16 · fair‑value band $194.87 – $669.86 · the $398.22 price screens below the $426.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Elevance Health, Inc (ELV) currently trades at $398.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $426.53, implying the stock looks roughly 7.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Elevance Health, Inc generated revenue of $200B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at $23.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $194.87 (bear case) to $669.86 (bull case); at $398.22, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at 7%, ELV screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $82.60 $205.81 $407.84 80
Residual Income $191.80 $235.61 $540.75 76
Rev-Margin DCF $183.95 $407.96 $685.77 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $82.39 $212.31 $428.57 38
Owner Earnings $248.46 $497.81 $912.90 31
5Y Revenue Exit $183.95 $415.22 $727.45 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $246.77 $540.53 $904.31 41
5Y P/E Exit $224.29 $495.69 $799.90 38
10Y Revenue Exit $136.02 $342.65 $653.72 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $188.31 $432.79 $797.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $173.61 $400.54 $712.48 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $177.53 $730.60 $995.27 54
Lynch FV $183.85 $262.65 $341.44 50
PEG = 1.0 $183.85 $262.65 $341.44 46
EPV $211.93 $263.62 $308.86 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $64.73 $134.60 $213.52 70
DDM Multi-Stage $64.73 $113.50 $141.26 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $430.78 $574.37 $717.97 63
P/S Multiple $332.88 $443.83 $554.79 58
P/B Multiple $332.88 $443.83 $554.79 55
EV/EBIT $378.67 $537.64 $696.61 53
EV/EBITDA $369.36 $525.23 $681.10 54
EV/Revenue $242.14 $388.02 $533.90 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $101.17 $135.57 $202.34 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $82.60 $205.81 $407.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF $183.95 $407.96 $685.77 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $191.80 $235.61 $540.75 76
ROIC Compounder $216.29 $319.10 $462.24 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $325.56 $465.08 $604.60 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($465.08) versus Dividend Discount ($113.50). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $201B
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.4%
Net margin 2.5%
Return on equity 11.1%
Free cash flow $3.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 17.6
More key figures
Operating margin 4.6%
EPS (TTM) $22.59
Dividend yield 1.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -13.1%
Net debt $23.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 80
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 63
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Elevance Health, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a health benefits company in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Health Benefits, CarelonRx, Carelon Services, and Corporate & Other.

Full company description

Elevance Health, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a health benefits company in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Health Benefits, CarelonRx, Carelon Services, and Corporate & Other. It offers a variety of health plans and services to individual, employer group risk-based and fee-based, BlueCard, Medicare, Medicaid, and FEP members; health products; a broad array of fee-based administrative managed care services; and specialty and other insurance products and services, such as stop loss, dental, vision, and supplemental health insurance benefits. The company also operates in the pharmacy services business; and markets and offers pharmacy services, including home delivery and specialty pharmacies, claims adjudication, formulary management, pharmacy networks, rebate administration, a prescription drug database, and member services, as well as infusion services and injectable therapies through ambulatory infusion centers. In addition, it provides healthcare related services and capabilities, including specialty care enablement and utilization management support for specialized clinical domains; behavioral health and comprehensive care management services; palliative care services and management; virtual care; and payment integrity, subrogation, clinical data exchange through its HealthOS platform, research and data, reporting and clinical analytics, information technology, and business process support services, as well as manages home health, post-acute institutional management, and durable medical equipment costs; and supports plans in managing home and community-based services. The company provides its services under the Anthem Blue Cross and Blue Shield, Wellpoint, and Carelon brands. The company was formerly known as Anthem, Inc. and changed its name to Elevance Health, Inc. in June 2022. Elevance Health, Inc. was incorporated in 2001 and is based in Indianapolis, Indiana.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Elevance Health, Inc reported revenue of $199B in FY2025 versus $139B in FY2021, a compound +9.5%/yr. Reported net income was $5.7B in FY2025, compounding −1.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$199B
Latest YoY
+12.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.3%
Avg. growth/yr (27Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.3%
Revenue +9.5%/yr
FY21 $139B
FY22 $157B
FY23 $171B
FY24 $177B
FY25 $199B
Net income −1.9%/yr
FY21 $6.1B
FY22 $5.9B
FY23 $6.0B
FY24 $6.0B
FY25 $5.7B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +12.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.9 pp

of which total revenue +9.7 pp · buybacks/dilution +2.2 pp

EBIT margin −3.8 pp
Tax rate +3.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Elevance Health, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ELV

Peer Group

Healthcare Plans · 15 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +7% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.70× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Healthcare Plans median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.84× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.40× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 12.3× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.43× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 43 · sector 33
FUTURE 7 · sector 23
PAST 45 · sector 41
HEALTH 65 · sector 65
DIVIDEND 35 · sector 0

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Healthcare Plans stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UnitedHealth Group UNH $405.59 $292.06 -28%
CVS Health Corporation CVS $94.72 $42.25 -55%
The Cigna Group CI $277.41 $495.42 +79%
Humana Inc HUM $388.83 $126.42 -67%
Centene Corporation CNC $67.07 $111.96 +67%
Molina Healthcare, Inc MOH $206.06 $199.31 -3%
Oscar Health, Inc OSCR $29.61 $59.22 +100%
Alignment Healthcare, Inc ALHC $13.52 $2.37 -82%
Progyny, Inc PGNY $25.42 $16.44 -35%
Bradsaúde S.A SAUD3 R$13.88 R$17.73 +28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Elevance Health, Inc (ELV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $426.53 versus a price of $398.22, about +7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ELV?
Our model-based fair value for Elevance Health, Inc is $426.53 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $398.22.
What is the quality score of ELV?
Elevance Health, Inc has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Elevance Health, Inc (ELV)?
Elevance Health, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $200B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ELV?
The net profit margin of Elevance Health, Inc is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Elevance Health, Inc pay a dividend?
Elevance Health, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.76% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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