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Cigna Corp (CI) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $77.6B · ISIN US1255231003

What is Cigna Corp really worth?

CC Cigna Corp logo Cigna Corp CI · US
Price$286.26
Fair Value$495.42
Upside+73.1%
Quality67/100

A solid business, trading 42% below our fair value of $495.42.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +11.4 %/yr)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (14/15)

Risks

!Thin margins · 2.3% net margin
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Weak on future: 23 out of 100

For context

·2.13% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $318.23 – $619.27

Fair value as of: Sep 2, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago

Share price +4.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($318.23). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (67/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($318.23 to $619.27) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$353.95 $175.83 Fair Value $495.42 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $175.83 – $353.95 · fair‑value band $318.23 – $619.27 · the $286.26 price screens below the $495.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Cigna Corp (CI) currently trades at $286.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $495.42, implying the stock looks roughly 42.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $563.51 per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the $286.26 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $98.04, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Cigna Corp generated revenue of $278B at a net margin of 2.3%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.3%. Net debt stands at $23.8B. Fundamentals as of Sep 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $318.23 (bear case) to $619.27 (bull case); at $286.26, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 22% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at −26% fair-value upside, at 73%, CI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $11.84 per share, which is 2.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence $329.49 $685.55 $1,318 76
EPV $192.56 $239.27 $280.14 74
Growth DCF $324.81 $647.31 $1,202 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence $329.49 $685.55 $1,318 76
Owner Earnings $286.27 $605.45 $1,172 72
5Y Revenue Exit $257.74 $516.94 $870.39 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $344.02 $697.46 $1,146 73
5Y P/E Exit $280.00 $563.51 $890.15 69
10Y Revenue Exit $267.36 $523.82 $921.03 64
10Y EBITDA Exit $335.88 $657.22 $1,155 65
10Y P/E Exit $293.17 $558.23 $937.81 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $153.13 $746.87 $1,029 64
Lynch FV $200.35 $286.22 $372.08 61
PEG = 1.0 $200.35 $286.22 $372.08 57
EPV $192.56 $239.27 $280.14 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $55.92 $116.26 $184.44 66
DDM Multi-Stage $55.92 $98.04 $122.02 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $371.56 $495.42 $619.27 63
P/S Multiple $287.12 $382.82 $478.53 58
P/B Multiple $287.12 $382.82 $478.53 55
EV/EBIT $352.32 $498.99 $645.65 65
EV/EBITDA $384.82 $542.32 $699.82 67
EV/Revenue $226.36 $360.95 $495.54 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $78.84 $105.65 $157.69 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $324.81 $647.31 $1,202 74
Rev-Margin DCF $257.74 $510.60 $842.70 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $154.84 $199.72 $525.10 68
ROIC Compounder $210.67 $323.57 $456.46 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $318.23 $454.62 $591.00 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($563.51) versus Dividend Discount ($98.04). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.1
P/S ratio 0.26 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $23.59 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.1
Dividend yield 2.1% payout 25.8%
Net margin 2.2% FY2025
Return on equity 16.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 5.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $278B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6% 3y avg +15.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +29.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $8.4B FY2025
Net debt $23.8B FY2025 · ≈ 2.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 67/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 61
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 80
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

The Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and related products and services in the United States. It operates through two segments: Evernorth Health Services and Cigna Healthcare.

Full company description

The Cigna Group, together with its subsidiaries, provides insurance and related products and services in the United States. It operates through two segments: Evernorth Health Services and Cigna Healthcare. The Evernorth Health Services segment includes Pharmacy Benefit Services and Specialty and Care Services, offering pharmacy benefit management, drug claim adjudication, retail pharmacy network administration, benefit design consultation, drug utilization review, drug formulary management, pharmacy benefits, home delivery pharmacy, specialty pharmacy, specialty pharmaceutical distribution, and clinical programs for whole-person health outcomes. The Cigna Healthcare segment comprises U.S. Healthcare and International Health, delivering comprehensive medical and coordinated solutions such as employer medical plans, individual and family plans, behavioral health, consumer health engagement, dental, pharmacy management, stop-loss insurance, global health care, and local health care solutions, as well as health care benefits for mobile individuals and employees of multinational organizations. The company offers other operations, including corporate-owned life insurance, reinsurance, and certain run-off and non-strategic businesses. The company distributes its products and services through brokers and consultants; directly to employers, unions and other groups, or individuals; and private and public exchanges. The company was formerly known as Cigna Corporation and changed its name to The Cigna Group in February 2023. The company was founded in 1792 and is headquartered in Bloomfield, Connecticut.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Cigna Corp reported revenue of $275B in FY2025 versus $174B in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was $6.0B in FY2025, compounding +2.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$275B
Latest YoY
+11.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.8% (10.7 + 2.1)
Revenue +12.1%/yr
FY21 $174B
FY22 $181B
FY23 $195B
FY24 $247B
FY25 $275B
Net income +2.6%/yr
FY21 $5.4B
FY22 $6.7B
FY23 $5.2B
FY24 $3.4B
FY25 $6.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +9.4 % p.a.
Revenue per share +21.9 %

of which total revenue +22.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.8 %

EBIT margin −18.6 %
Tax rate +3.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +6.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Cigna Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/CI

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Healthcare Plans · 15 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 67 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +73% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.74× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Healthcare Plans median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.28× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 9.3× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 7.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.88× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 33
FUTURE23 · sector 23
PAST65 · sector 30
HEALTH63 · sector 65
DIVIDEND43 · sector 34

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Healthcare Plans stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 2, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
UnitedHealth Group UNH $395.05 $292.06 −26%
CVS Health Corporation CVS $93.06 $42.25 −55%
Elevance Health, Inc ELV $399.14 $426.53 +7%
Humana Inc HUM $385.54 $126.42 −67%
Centene Corporation CNC $64.75 $111.96 +73%
Molina Healthcare, Inc MOH $203.06 $199.31 −2%
Oscar Health, Inc OSCR $30.93 $61.86 +100%
Alignment Healthcare, Inc ALHC $13.52 $2.37 −82%
Progyny, Inc PGNY $25.65 $16.44 −36%
Medi Assist Healthcare Services Limited MEDIASSIST ₹346.80 ₹226.12 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Cigna Corp (CI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $495.42 versus a price of $286.26, about +73% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of CI?
Our model-based fair value for Cigna Corp is $495.42 (as of Sep 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $286.26.
What is the quality score of CI?
Cigna Corp has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Cigna Corp (CI)?
Cigna Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $278B (latest available figure, as of Sep 2, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of CI?
The net profit margin of Cigna Corp is about 2.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Cigna Corp pay a dividend?
Cigna Corp currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.13% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 2, 2026).
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