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Delek Logistics Partners LP (DKL) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US24664T1034

What is Delek Logistics Partners LP really worth?

DL Delek Logistics Partners LP logo Delek Logistics Partners LP DKL · US
Price$55.27
Fair Value$39.49
Upside−28.6%
Quality23/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 40% above our fair value of $39.49.

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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 16.0% net margin

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.5 %/yr)
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain

For context

·8.12% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $29.62 – $49.37

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 10 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −4.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($49.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (23/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$60.31 $24.63 Fair Value $39.49 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $24.63 – $60.31 · fair‑value band $29.62 – $49.37 · the $55.27 price screens above the $39.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Delek Logistics Partners LP (DKL) currently trades at $55.27, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $39.49, implying the stock looks roughly 40.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $55.47 per share, and 2 of the 10 models we run sit above the $55.27 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $10.42, and 8 of the 10 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Delek Logistics Partners LP generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of 16.0%. Revenue grew 19.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 43.9%. Net debt stands at $2.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $29.62 (bear case) to $49.37 (bull case); at $55.27, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −29%, DKL screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $39.34 $58.77 $78.77 68
DDM Multi-Stage $39.34 $55.47 $73.12 67
Growth-Adj P/E $26.39 $37.69 $49.00 67
All 10 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.57 $47.96 $60.84 66
PEG = 1.0 $7.29 $10.42 $13.55 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $39.34 $58.77 $78.77 68
DDM Multi-Stage $39.34 $55.47 $73.12 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $34.85 $46.46 $58.08 63
P/S Multiple $17.15 $22.87 $28.59 58
P/B Multiple $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.2600 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0600 $0.0800 $0.1100 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.3900 $0.4700 $2.30 64
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $26.39 $37.69 $49.00 67

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($55.47) versus Asset-Based ($0.0800). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (68).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 17.4
P/S ratio 3.04 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.17 price ÷ EPS = P/E 17.4
Dividend yield 8.1% payout 142%
Net margin 17.4% FY2025
Return on equity 43.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 13.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.1B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +19.0% 3y avg −0.7%
EPS growth (YoY) −17.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$30.6M FY2025
Net debt $2.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 23/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73

Profitability 51
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 5
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 4
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 83
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 86
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 3
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States.

Full company description

Delek Logistics Partners, LP provides gathering, pipeline, transportation, and other services for crude oil, intermediates, refined products, natural gas, storage, wholesale marketing, terminalling water disposal and recycling customers in the United States. The company operates in four segments: Gathering and Processing, Wholesale Marketing and Terminalling, Storage and Transportation, and Investments in Joint Ventures. It offers tanks, offloading facilities, and trucks and ancillary assets that provide crude oil, hydrocarbon-based products, intermediate and refined products transportation, and storage services. Delek Logistics GP, LLC serves as the general partner of the company. Delek Logistics Partners, LP was incorporated in 2012 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee. Delek Logistics Partners, LP operates as a subsidiary of Delek US Holdings, Inc.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Delek Logistics Partners LP reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $701M in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $176M in FY2025, compounding +1.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0B
Latest YoY
+7.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (15Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.5% (−3.6 + 8.1)
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 $701M
FY22 $1.0B
FY23 $1.0B
FY24 $941M
FY25 $1.0B
Net income +1.7%/yr
FY21 $165M
FY22 $159M
FY23 $126M
FY24 $143M
FY25 $176M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +1.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −2.5 %

of which total revenue +5.2 % · buybacks/dilution −7.3 %

EBIT margin +5.9 %
Tax rate −0.1 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

DKL screens 40% overvalued. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delek Logistics Partners LP Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DKL

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 23 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −29% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 44% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 8.1% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 383.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.4× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 2.53× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 16.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 13
FUTURE95 · sector 15
PAST100 · sector 33
HEALTH0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND100 · sector 55

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 46/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,314 ₹835.66 −36%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $352.36 $127.32 −64%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $368.83 $133.18 −64%
Phillips 66 PSX $246.58 $99.41 −60%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.28 €3.83 −88%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 75.80 TWD 15.32 TWD −80%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $87.93 $44.96 −49%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹318.00 ₹846.81 +166%
SK Innovation Co 096770 131,500 KRW 53,541 KRW −59%
Sunoco LP, SUN $75.55 $53.36 −29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Delek Logistics Partners LP (DKL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $39.49 versus a price of $55.27, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of DKL?
Our model-based fair value for Delek Logistics Partners LP is $39.49 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $55.27.
What is the quality score of DKL?
Delek Logistics Partners LP has a Quality Score of 23/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Delek Logistics Partners LP (DKL)?
Delek Logistics Partners LP reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DKL?
The net profit margin of Delek Logistics Partners LP is about 16.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Delek Logistics Partners LP pay a dividend?
Delek Logistics Partners LP currently shows a dividend yield of about 8.12% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 30, 2026).
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