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Delek US Energy Inc (DK) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $3.7B · ISIN US24665A1034

What is Delek US Energy Inc really worth?

DU Delek US Energy Inc logo Delek US Energy Inc DK · US
Price$72.40
Fair Value$65.46
Upside−9.6%
Quality48/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of $65.46.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +8.0 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -0.5% net margin
!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/14)
!Narrow moat 22/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100
!Weak on future: 2 out of 100

For context

·1.41% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $27.58 – $105.28

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from $32.73 to $65.46 (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +9.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The model range is unusually wide ($27.58 to $105.28). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$74.34 $11.01 Fair Value $65.46 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $11.01 – $74.34 · fair‑value band $27.58 – $105.28 · the $72.40 price screens above the $65.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 4 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

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Analysis

Delek US Energy Inc (DK) currently trades at $72.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $65.46, implying the stock looks roughly 10.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $35.32 per share, and 0 of the 11 models we run sit above the $72.40 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $13.74, and 11 of the 11 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Delek US Energy Inc generated revenue of $10.7B at a net margin of −0.5%. Revenue grew 0.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $27.58 (bear case) to $105.28 (bull case); at $72.40, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 294% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −59% fair-value upside, at −10%, DK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV best evidence $10.47 $18.81 $26.01 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.48 $49.83 69
5Y Revenue Exit $23.28 $60.77 67
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
5Y Revenue Exit $23.28 $60.77 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.48 $49.83 69
10Y Revenue Exit $3.19 $34.65 62
10Y EBITDA Exit $26.66 63
Earnings-Based
EPV best evidence $10.47 $18.81 $26.01 71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $8.88 $17.70 $26.81 64
DDM Multi-Stage $8.88 $13.74 $18.66 64
Multiples
EV/EBIT $6.06 $22.21 $38.36 60
EV/EBITDA $15.89 $35.32 $54.74 63
EV/Revenue $16.40 $41.59 $66.78 50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $2.34 $3.13 $4.67 54
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $11.60 $24.22 $39.12 66

Widest divergence: Multiples ($35.32) versus Asset-Based ($3.13). Highest evidence: EPV (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.35 TTM
EPS (TTM) $−0.9400
Dividend yield 1.4%
Net margin −0.2% FY2025
Return on equity 3.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.5% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −6.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $10.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.4% 3y avg −18.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +18.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $22.0M FY2025
Net debt $2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 86

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 16
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 17
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Delek US Holdings, Inc. engages in the integrated downstream energy business in the United States. The company operates in two segments Refining and Logistics.

Full company description

Delek US Holdings, Inc. engages in the integrated downstream energy business in the United States. The company operates in two segments Refining and Logistics. The Refining segment processes crude oil and other feedstock for the manufacture of various grades of gasoline, diesel fuel, aviation fuel, asphalt, and other petroleum-based products that are distributed through owned and third-party product terminals. It owns and operates refineries located in Tyler, Texas; El Dorado, Arkansas; Big Spring, Texas; and Krotz Springs, Louisiana. The Logistics segment gathers, transports, and stores crude oil and natural gas, intermediate, and refined products; and markets, distributes, transports, and stores refined products, as well as disposes and recycles water for third parties. It owns or leases crude oil transportation pipelines, refined product pipelines, crude oil gathering systems, and associated crude oil storage tanks; and owns and operates light product distribution terminals, as well as markets light products using third-party terminals. It serves oil companies, independent refiners and marketers, jobbers, distributors, utility and transportation companies, government, and independent retail fuel operators. Delek US Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Brentwood, Tennessee.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Delek US Energy Inc reported revenue of $10.7B in FY2025 versus $10.6B in FY2021, a compound +0.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$22.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$10.7B
Latest YoY
−9.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−18.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.8%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue +0.2%/yr
FY21 $10.6B
FY22 $19.8B
FY23 $16.9B
FY24 $11.9B
FY25 $10.7B
Net income
FY21 −$128M
FY22 $257M
FY23 $19.8M
FY24 −$560M
FY25 −$22.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Delek US Energy Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DK

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 109 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −7% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 11.25× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/B 13.04× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.35× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 169.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.38× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE21 · sector 13
FUTURE2 · sector 15
PAST15 · sector 33
HEALTH0 · sector 83
DIVIDEND28 · sector 55

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,314 ₹835.66 −36%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $352.36 $127.32 −64%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $368.83 $133.18 −64%
Phillips 66 PSX $246.58 $99.41 −60%
Neste Oyj NESTE €31.28 €3.83 −88%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 75.80 TWD 15.32 TWD −80%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $87.93 $44.96 −49%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹318.00 ₹846.81 +166%
SK Innovation Co 096770 131,500 KRW 53,541 KRW −59%
Sunoco LP, SUN $75.55 $53.36 −29%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Delek US Energy Inc (DK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $65.46 versus a price of $72.40, about −10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of DK?
Our model-based fair value for Delek US Energy Inc is $65.46 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $72.40.
What is the quality score of DK?
Delek US Energy Inc has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Delek US Energy Inc (DK)?
Delek US Energy Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $10.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DK?
The net profit margin of Delek US Energy Inc is about −0.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Delek US Energy Inc pay a dividend?
Delek US Energy Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.41% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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