Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $14.8B
Deckers Outdoor Corporation
DECK · US
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −12.5% over the past month.
A strong business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (84/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($96.63). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- A fairly wide model range ($96.63 to $224.75) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $37.80 – $223.11 · fair‑value band $96.63 – $224.75 · the $93.30 price screens below the $125.16 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK) currently trades at $93.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $125.16, implying the stock looks roughly 34.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 84/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Deckers Outdoor Corporation generated revenue of $5.5B at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 40.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $96.63 (bear case) to $224.75 (bull case); at $93.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 34%, DECK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($182.19) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 83 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Deckers Outdoor Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, designs, markets, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories for casual lifestyle use and high-performance activities in the United States and internationally. The company offers footwear, apparel, and accessories under the UGG brand; footwear, such as running, trail, hiking, fitness, and lifestyle shoes, as well as apparel and accessories under the HOKA brand; and sandals, shoes, and boots under the Teva brand name. It also provides a casual footwear fashion line under the Koolaburra brand name; and footwear products under the AHNU brand name. The company sells its products through domestic and international retailers, international distributors, and directly to its consumers through its direct-to-consumer business, which includes e-commerce websites and retail stores. Deckers Outdoor Corporation was founded in 1973 and is headquartered in Goleta, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Deckers Outdoor Corporation reported revenue of $5.5B in FY2026 versus $3.2B in FY2022, a compound +14.7%/yr. Reported net income was $1.0B in FY2026, compounding +22.7%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +10.8 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.5 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch DECK: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Nike, Lululemon, Deckers, and On Holding Have All Plunged. What's the Best Buy of the Four?
- Deckers (DECK) Could Find a Support Soon, Here's Why You Should Buy the Stock Now
- Deckers Outdoor (DECK) Stock Fair Value Edges Lower As Analysts Weigh Mixed Outlook
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 42/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $40.51 | $35.63 | -12% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €158.15 | €65.71 | -58% |
| On Holding ONON | $30.91 | $17.53 | -43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥11.81 | ¥13.03 | +10% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $36.74 | $44.59 | +21% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $130.61 | $203.65 | +56% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥36.73 | ¥51.36 | +40% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €26.69 | €10.57 | -60% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.64 | HK$4.04 | -70% |
| Samsonite Group 1910 | HK$13.57 | HK$4.67 | -66% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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