Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $8.2B · ISIN JE00BS44BN30
What is Birkenstock Holding plc really worth?
Birkenstock Holding plc
BIRK · US
A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of $44.59.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price −10.3% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (71/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- A fairly wide model range ($24.46 to $57.07) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
35‑month range $31.19 – $63.57 · fair‑value band $24.46 – $57.07 · the $33.95 price screens below the $44.59 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) currently trades at $33.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $44.59, implying the stock looks roughly 23.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $54.10 per share, and 14 of the 24 models we run sit above the $33.95 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $9.92, and 10 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Birkenstock Holding plc generated revenue of $2.2B at a net margin of 16.3%. Revenue grew 7.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.5%. Net debt stands at $980M. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $24.46 (bear case) to $57.07 (bull case); at $33.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at 31%, BIRK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 11 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $2.02 per share, which is 4.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($54.10) versus Asset-Based ($9.92). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (74).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories.
Full company description
Birkenstock Holding plc engages in the manufacture and sale of footwear products in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific. It offers footbed-based products, including sandals and closed-toe shoes; and skincare products and accessories. The company sells its products through e-commerce sites and a network of owned retail stores, as well as business-to-business channels. The company was formerly known as Birkenstock Group Limited. Birkenstock Holding plc was founded in 1774 and is based in London, the United Kingdom. Birkenstock Holding plc operates as a subsidiary of BK LC Lux MidCo S.à r.l.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Birkenstock Holding plc reported revenue of €2.1B in FY2025 versus €962M in FY2021, a compound +21.5%/yr. Reported net income was €348M in FY2025, compounding +31.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Birkenstock Shares Rebound as Investors Reassess Valuation
- Strong Sales Power Birkenstock Holding plc’s (BIRK) Q2 Rally
- Birkenstock (BIRK) Q3 2026 Earnings Call Transcript
- Fancy Footwork: How to Play Birkenstock Stock After a Revenue Beat
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $38.44 | $35.63 | −7% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $87.76 | $125.16 | +43% |
| On Holding ONON | $31.03 | $17.79 | −43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.61 | ¥13.03 | +3% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $122.23 | $203.65 | +67% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥34.24 | ¥51.36 | +50% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €25.63 | €10.57 | −59% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $47.70 | $11.69 | −75% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.65 | HK$31.67 | +132% |
| Samsonite Group 1910 | HK$13.20 | HK$36.62 | +177% |
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