Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co Ltd (600415) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · CN · Market cap 66.4B CNY (≈ $9.9B) · ISIN CNE000001BC8
What is Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥13.03.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +5.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥9.77 to ¥27.01). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.14 – ¥23.02 · fair‑value band ¥9.77 – ¥27.01 · the ¥13.12 price screens above the ¥13.03 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co Ltd (600415) currently trades at ¥13.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥13.03, implying the stock looks roughly 0.7% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥29.29 per share, and 9 of the 14 models we run sit above the ¥13.12 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.80, and 5 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co Ltd generated revenue of 21.4B CNY at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 45.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 4.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.77 (bear case) to ¥27.01 (bull case); at ¥13.12, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 43% fair-value upside, at −1%, 600415 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2038 per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥29.29) versus Asset-Based (¥2.80). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 72 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops, manages, and operates an online trading platform service in China.
Full company description
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, develops, manages, and operates an online trading platform service in China. It offers a commodity display and trading ecosystem, including market operation, and self-operated trade; market support service ecosystem covering exhibitions and hotels; and trade fulfillment service ecosystem comprising Chinagoods online service platform, brand overseas services, warehousing and logistics, payment, credit investigation, factoring, and other businesses. The company was founded in 1993 and is based in Yiwu, China. Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co., Ltd. operates as a subsidiary of Yiwu China Commodities City Holdings Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group Co Ltd reported revenue of 19.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 6.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +34.8%/yr. Reported net income was 4.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding +33.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +11.3 % · buybacks/dilution −0.4 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $38.44 | $35.63 | −7% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $87.76 | $125.16 | +43% |
| On Holding ONON | $31.03 | $17.79 | −43% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $33.95 | $44.93 | +32% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $122.23 | $203.65 | +67% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥34.24 | ¥51.36 | +50% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €25.63 | €10.57 | −59% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $47.70 | $11.69 | −75% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.65 | HK$31.67 | +132% |
| Samsonite Group 1910 | HK$13.20 | HK$36.62 | +177% |
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