Crocs Inc (CROX) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.8B · ISIN US2270461096
What is Crocs Inc really worth?
Crocs Inc
CROX · US
A solid business, trading 43% below our fair value of $203.65.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −17.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($145.28). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($145.28 to $262.03) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $47.21 – $180.57 · fair‑value band $145.28 – $262.03 · the $116.01 price screens below the $203.65 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.
Analysis
Crocs Inc (CROX) currently trades at $116.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $203.65, implying the stock looks roughly 43.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $302.73 per share, and 11 of the 13 models we run sit above the $116.01 price. Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $133.23, and 2 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Crocs Inc generated revenue of $4.0B at a net margin of −2.6%. Revenue declined 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −6.1%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $145.28 (bear case) to $262.03 (bull case); at $116.01, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 5% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 76%, CROX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($302.73) versus Asset-Based ($17.44). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Crocs, Inc. together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Crocs and HEYDUDE Brands in the United States and internationally.
Full company description
Crocs, Inc. together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells casual lifestyle footwear and accessories for men, women, and kids under the Crocs and HEYDUDE Brands in the United States and internationally. The company offers various footwear products, including clogs, sandals, loafers, classics, fuzz, platforms, boots, sandals, slides, slippers, sneakers, flip flops, and flats, as well as totes, backpacks, belt bags, socks, bag charms, cases, attachments, cartoon characters products, and touchland and other accessories. It sells its products through wholesalers, retail stores, e-commerce sites, third-party marketplaces, outlet stores, and kiosks/store-in-store locations. Crocs, Inc. was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Broomfield, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Crocs Inc reported revenue of $4.0B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound +15.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$81.2M in FY2025.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Crocs Fuels Growth on Brand Power, Digital Reach and Product Innovation
- Crocs (CROX) Stock Looks Like A Bargain On Cash Flow And Earnings
- Zacks Industry Outlook Ralph Lauren, Crocs, Columbia and G-III Apparel
- VF Corp, Levi's, Under Armour, Deckers, and Crocs Stocks Trade Down, What You Need To Know
Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $38.44 | $35.63 | −7% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $87.76 | $125.16 | +43% |
| On Holding ONON | $31.03 | $17.79 | −43% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.61 | ¥13.03 | +3% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $33.95 | $44.93 | +32% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥34.24 | ¥51.36 | +50% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €25.63 | €10.57 | −59% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $47.70 | $11.69 | −75% |
| Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited 0551 | HK$13.65 | HK$31.67 | +132% |
| Samsonite Group 1910 | HK$13.20 | HK$36.62 | +177% |
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