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Yue Yuen Ind (0551) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$19.7B (≈ $2.5B) · ISIN BMG988031446

What is Yue Yuen Ind really worth?

YY Yue Yuen Ind 0551 · HK
PriceHK$13.57
Fair ValueHK$31.67
Upside+133.4%
Quality58/100

A solid business, trading 57% below our fair value of HK$31.67.

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Strengths

✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.3% net margin
!Narrow moat 28/100
!Weak on dividend: 27 out of 100
Evidence: High Range HK$21.51 – HK$39.58

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 20, 2026, revised from HK$4.04 to HK$31.67 (+683.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −1.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$21.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (HK$21.51 to HK$39.58) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$17.82 HK$5.67 Fair Value HK$31.67 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$5.67 – HK$17.82 · fair‑value band HK$21.51 – HK$39.58 · the HK$13.57 price screens below the HK$31.67 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Yue Yuen Ind (0551) currently trades at HK$13.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$31.67, implying the stock looks roughly 57.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of HK$4.20 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the HK$13.57 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at HK$4.04, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yue Yuen Ind generated revenue of HK$8.0B at a net margin of 4.3%. Revenue declined 2.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.9%. Net debt stands at HK$341M. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$21.51 (bear case) to HK$39.58 (bull case); at HK$13.57, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 32% fair-value upside, at 133%, 0551 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly HK$0.0860 per share, which is 0.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence HK$2.27 HK$3.17 HK$4.46 81
Growth DCF HK$2.33 HK$3.17 HK$4.33 79
Owner Earnings HK$2.98 HK$4.20 HK$5.93 77
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence HK$2.27 HK$3.17 HK$4.46 81
Owner Earnings HK$2.98 HK$4.20 HK$5.93 77
5Y Revenue Exit HK$2.11 HK$3.07 HK$4.24 73
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$3.16 HK$4.93 HK$6.91 75
5Y P/E Exit HK$3.13 HK$4.88 HK$6.62 71
10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.09 HK$2.96 HK$4.02 67
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.80 HK$4.21 HK$5.96 68
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.79 HK$4.18 HK$5.75 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$1.62 HK$3.73 HK$4.78 65
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.6300 HK$0.9000 HK$1.16 57
EPV HK$1.81 HK$2.08 HK$2.31 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$1.53 HK$2.56 HK$3.79 67
DDM Multi-Stage HK$1.53 HK$2.25 HK$3.05 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$3.92 HK$5.23 HK$6.53 63
P/S Multiple HK$3.03 HK$4.04 HK$5.05 58
P/B Multiple HK$3.03 HK$4.04 HK$5.05 55
EV/EBIT HK$3.08 HK$4.04 HK$5.00 66
EV/EBITDA HK$4.16 HK$5.48 HK$6.80 67
EV/Revenue HK$2.14 HK$2.97 HK$3.80 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$1.44 HK$1.93 HK$2.88 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$2.33 HK$3.17 HK$4.33 79
Rev-Margin DCF HK$2.11 HK$3.09 HK$4.14 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$2.43 HK$2.63 HK$3.05 76
ROIC Compounder HK$1.81 HK$2.08 HK$2.31 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$2.94 HK$4.20 HK$5.46 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (HK$4.20) versus Asset-Based (HK$1.93). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 6.6 as of Jul 2, 2026
P/S ratio 0.31 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) HK$0.1266 price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.6
Dividend yield 1.4% payout 146%
Net margin 4.7% FY2025
Return on equity 7.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 4.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 2.4% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) HK$8.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.2% 3y avg −3.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +68.5%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow HK$313M FY2025
Net debt HK$341M FY2025 · ≈ 1.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 47
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 35
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells athletic, athleisure, casual, and outdoor footwear in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells athletic, athleisure, casual, and outdoor footwear in the People's Republic of China, rest of Asia, the United States, Europe, and internationally. The company operates as an original design manufacturer/original equipment manufacturer for various international brand names, such as adidas, Asics, New Balance, Nike, and Salomon. It retails sportswear, outdoor, and leisure products; and operates a sport service platform, which includes events, venues, media, broadcasting, shopping, activities, registration, ticketing, and other sports-related services online and offline for event sponsorship, promotions, sports center operations, and design services. In addition, the company provides commercial spaces to retailers and distributors; and corporate management consultation services. Further, it trades in footwear. The company was founded in 1969 and is headquartered in Kwun Tong, Hong Kong. Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited is a subsidiary of Wealthplus Holdings Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yue Yuen Ind reported revenue of $8.0B in FY2025 versus $8.5B in FY2021, a compound −1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $381M in FY2025, compounding +34.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$8.0B
Latest YoY
−1.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−3.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+14.4% (13.0 + 1.4)
Revenue −1.5%/yr
FY21 $8.5B
FY22 $9.0B
FY23 $7.9B
FY24 $8.2B
FY25 $8.0B
Net income +34.9%/yr
FY21 $115M
FY22 $296M
FY23 $275M
FY24 $392M
FY25 $381M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −1.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.1 %

of which total revenue −0.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.5 %

EBIT margin −4.5 %
Tax rate −1.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +4.4 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Yue Yuen Ind · Fair Value
HK$31.67 +57%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yue Yuen Ind Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0551

Peer Group

Footwear & Accessories · 93 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +133% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Revenue growth −2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 6.6× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.31× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 8.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.81× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 6
FUTURE0 · sector 0
PAST32 · sector 22
HEALTH97 · sector 97
DIVIDEND27 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NIKE, Inc NKE $38.44 $35.63 −7%
Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK $87.76 $125.16 +43%
On Holding ONON $31.03 $17.79 −43%
Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 ¥12.61 ¥13.03 +3%
Birkenstock Holding BIRK $33.95 $44.93 +32%
Crocs, Inc CROX $122.23 $203.65 +67%
Huali Industrial Group 300979 ¥34.24 ¥51.36 +50%
PUMA SE PUM €25.63 €10.57 −59%
Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO $47.70 $11.69 −75%
Samsonite Group 1910 HK$13.20 HK$36.62 +177%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yue Yuen Ind (0551) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$31.67 versus a price of HK$13.57, about +133% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0551?
Our model-based fair value for Yue Yuen Ind is HK$31.67 (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$13.57.
What is the quality score of 0551?
Yue Yuen Ind has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yue Yuen Ind (0551)?
Yue Yuen Ind reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$8.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0551?
The net profit margin of Yue Yuen Ind is about 4.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yue Yuen Ind pay a dividend?
Yue Yuen Ind currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.36% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 20, 2026).
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