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Press Metal Bhd (8869) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 64.7B MYR (≈ $16.0B) · ISIN MYL8869OO009

What is Press Metal Bhd really worth?

PM Press Metal Bhd 8869 · KLSE
Price8.01 MYR
Fair Value3.88 MYR
Upside−51.6%
Quality64/100

A solid business, but trading 106% above our fair value of 3.88 MYR.

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Strengths

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.7 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.8% net margin
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 71/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on future: 26 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 21 out of 100

For context

·1.06% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range 2.86 MYR – 6.01 MYR

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −3.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (6.01 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (2.86 MYR to 6.01 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

9.25 MYR 3.76 MYR Fair Value 3.88 MYR Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 3.76 MYR – 9.25 MYR · fair‑value band 2.86 MYR – 6.01 MYR · the 8.01 MYR price screens above the 3.88 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Press Metal Bhd (8869) currently trades at 8.01 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.88 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 106.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 5.14 MYR per share, and 1 of the 26 models we run sit above the 8.01 MYR price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.7600 MYR, and 25 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Press Metal Bhd generated revenue of 16.4B MYR at a net margin of 13.8%. Revenue grew 5.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 24.5%. Net debt stands at 1.7B MYR. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.86 MYR (bear case) to 6.01 MYR (bull case); at 8.01 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 28% fair-value upside, at −52%, 8869 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.1257 MYR per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence 3.09 MYR 5.87 MYR 10.85 MYR 77
Growth DCF 3.05 MYR 5.54 MYR 9.86 MYR 75
EPV 2.52 MYR 2.95 MYR 3.33 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence 3.09 MYR 5.87 MYR 10.85 MYR 77
Owner Earnings 1.97 MYR 3.77 MYR 6.99 MYR 73
5Y Revenue Exit 2.34 MYR 4.12 MYR 6.54 MYR 71
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.89 MYR 5.26 MYR 8.29 MYR 73
5Y P/E Exit 3.01 MYR 5.52 MYR 8.44 MYR 69
10Y Revenue Exit 2.49 MYR 4.29 MYR 7.07 MYR 65
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.93 MYR 5.14 MYR 8.58 MYR 66
10Y P/E Exit 3.01 MYR 5.33 MYR 8.71 MYR 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.73 MYR 8.72 MYR 12.03 MYR 64
Lynch FV 2.36 MYR 3.37 MYR 4.39 MYR 61
PEG = 1.0 2.36 MYR 3.37 MYR 4.39 MYR 57
EPV 2.52 MYR 2.95 MYR 3.33 MYR 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.7100 MYR 1.48 MYR 2.35 MYR 66
DDM Multi-Stage 0.7100 MYR 1.25 MYR 1.55 MYR 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple 3.25 MYR 4.33 MYR 5.42 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 2.21 MYR 2.95 MYR 3.69 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 2.56 MYR 3.41 MYR 4.26 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 3.24 MYR 4.34 MYR 5.44 MYR 66
EV/EBITDA 3.00 MYR 4.02 MYR 5.04 MYR 67
EV/Revenue 2.01 MYR 2.89 MYR 3.78 MYR 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.5700 MYR 0.7600 MYR 1.14 MYR 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 3.05 MYR 5.54 MYR 9.86 MYR 75
Rev-Margin DCF 2.34 MYR 4.08 MYR 6.37 MYR 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.68 MYR 2.25 MYR 10.65 MYR 64
ROIC Compounder 2.92 MYR 3.98 MYR 5.37 MYR 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 3.23 MYR 4.62 MYR 6.01 MYR 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (5.14 MYR) versus Asset-Based (0.7600 MYR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 29.7
P/S ratio 3.85 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 0.2700 MYR price ÷ EPS = P/E 29.7
Dividend yield 1.1% payout 31.5%
Net margin 13.0% FY2025
Return on equity 24.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 12.4% avg 5y
Operating margin 21.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 16.4B MYR TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.2% 3y avg +1.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +35.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 1.9B MYR FY2025
Net debt 1.7B MYR FY2025 · ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71

Profitability 58
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 38
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 88
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and trading of aluminum, and smelting and extrusion products in Malaysia, Asia, Europe, Oceania, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Smelting and Extrusion, Trading, and Refinery segments.

Full company description

Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and trading of aluminum, and smelting and extrusion products in Malaysia, Asia, Europe, Oceania, Europe, and internationally. The company operates through Smelting and Extrusion, Trading, and Refinery segments. Its products primarily include aluminum ingots and billets, slabs, wire rods, and primary foundry alloys. The company also offers aluminum extrusions in various finishes, which are used in fabricated products, such as windows, doors, curtain wall claddings for high-rise buildings and apartments, louvres, balustrades, pool fencing, solar panel frames, wardrobes, ladders, and others. In addition, it is involved in contracting and fabrication of aluminum and stainless-steel products; refining of alumina; bronze colour finish, fluorocarbon, mill finish, natural anodized finish, polishing, powder coating, and wood grain. Further, the company engages in the marketing and trading of photovoltaic generation systems and the suppling of electricity. Press Metal Aluminium Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1986 and is headquartered in Shah Alam, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Press Metal Bhd reported revenue of 16.2B MYR in FY2025 versus 11.0B MYR in FY2021, a compound +10.2%/yr. Reported net income was 2.1B MYR in FY2025, compounding +20.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
16.2B MYR
Latest YoY
+8.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (19Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MYR) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+26.2% (25.1 + 1.1)
Revenue +10.2%/yr
FY21 11.0B MYR
FY22 15.7B MYR
FY23 13.8B MYR
FY24 14.9B MYR
FY25 16.2B MYR
Net income +20.3%/yr
FY21 1.0B MYR
FY22 1.4B MYR
FY23 1.2B MYR
FY24 1.8B MYR
FY25 2.1B MYR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +21.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +11.9 %

of which total revenue +12.9 % · buybacks/dilution −0.9 %

EBIT margin +3.5 %
Tax rate +0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +3.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

8869 screens 106% overvalued. Compare with Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding →

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Press Metal Bhd · Fair Value
3.88 MYR −106%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Press Metal Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/8869

Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −52% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 25% · Top 25%
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.33× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 29.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.71× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 8.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.32× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 8
FUTURE26 · sector 28
PAST98 · sector 34
HEALTH83 · sector 91
DIVIDEND21 · sector 38

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥18.28 ¥23.44 +28%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$22.64 HK$45.69 +102%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹1,028 ₹997.35 −3%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥9.45 ¥16.30 +72%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 92.30 kr 58.10 −37%
Alcoa Corporation AAI A$73.19 A$49.53 −32%
Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 ¥25.88 ¥29.68 +15%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥27.36 ¥30.28 +11%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥12.67 ¥21.86 +73%
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 ¥4.73 ¥7.01 +48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Press Metal Bhd (8869) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.88 MYR versus a price of 8.01 MYR, about −52% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 8869?
Our model-based fair value for Press Metal Bhd is 3.88 MYR (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 8.01 MYR.
What is the quality score of 8869?
Press Metal Bhd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Press Metal Bhd (8869)?
Press Metal Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 16.4B MYR (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 8869?
The net profit margin of Press Metal Bhd is about 13.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Press Metal Bhd pay a dividend?
Press Metal Bhd currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.06% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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