Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd (002379) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 243B CNY (≈ $36.3B) · ISIN CNE100000MW4
What is Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 19% below our fair value of ¥23.44.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price −1.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (¥17.24 to ¥76.74). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid quality (66/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.88 – ¥32.23 · fair‑value band ¥17.24 – ¥76.74 · the ¥18.94 price screens below the ¥23.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd (002379) currently trades at ¥18.94, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥23.44, implying the stock looks roughly 19.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ¥59.03 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥18.94 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ¥18.29, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd generated revenue of 158B CNY at a net margin of 12.5%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 75.1%. Net debt stands at 8.7B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥17.24 (bear case) to ¥76.74 (bull case); at ¥18.94, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 15% fair-value upside, at 24%, 002379 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.8527 per share, which is 3.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (¥59.03) versus Dividend Discount (¥2.15). Highest evidence: EPV (74).
Notify me when 002379 reaches fair value
Put 002379 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally.
Full company description
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research, development, production, and sale of aluminum products in China and internationally. It offers electrolytic, liquid, recycled, and oxidized aluminum, as well as aluminum alloy, aluminum hydroxide, alumina, and deep-processed aluminum products. The company is also involved in trading; investment management; and logistics businesses. It exports its products. The company was formerly known as Shandong Hontron Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited and changed its name to Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited in January 2026. Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited was founded in 2000 and is headquartered in Binzhou, China. Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of Shandong Weiqiao Aluminum and Electricity Co., Ltd.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd reported revenue of 156B CNY in FY2025 versus 3.2B CNY in FY2021, a compound +164.5%/yr. Reported net income was 17.9B CNY in FY2025.
Watch 002379: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Aluminum · 83 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 30/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| China Hongqiao Group 1378 | HK$22.64 | HK$45.69 | +102% |
| Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO | ₹1,028 | ₹997.35 | −3% |
| Aluminum Corporation 601600 | ¥9.45 | ¥16.30 | +72% |
| Norsk Hydro ASA NHY | kr 92.30 | kr 58.10 | −37% |
| Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 | 7.90 MYR | 3.88 MYR | −51% |
| Alcoa Corporation AAI | A$73.19 | A$49.53 | −32% |
| Yunnan Aluminium Co 000807 | ¥25.88 | ¥29.68 | +15% |
| Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 | ¥27.36 | ¥30.28 | +11% |
| Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 | ¥12.67 | ¥21.86 | +73% |
| Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 | ¥4.73 | ¥7.01 | +48% |
Compare Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd (002379) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002379?
What is the quality score of 002379?
What is the revenue of Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd (002379)?
What is the net profit margin of 002379?
Does Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Watch Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Shandong Hongchuang Aluminum Industry Holding Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.