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Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd (000807) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · CN · Market cap 87.9B CNY (≈ $13.1B) · ISIN CNE000000VG9

What is Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd really worth?

YA Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd 000807 · SHE
Price¥26.95
Fair Value¥29.68
Upside+10.1%
Quality80/100

A strong business, trading 9% below our fair value of ¥29.68.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +15.2 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 14.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 82/100

For context

·2.59% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥22.26 – ¥50.11

Fair value as of: Aug 22, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Share price +3.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range (¥22.26 to ¥50.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥36.47 ¥8.22 Fair Value ¥29.68 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.22 – ¥36.47 · fair‑value band ¥22.26 – ¥50.11 · the ¥26.95 price screens below the ¥29.68 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 22, 2026.

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Analysis

Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd (000807) currently trades at ¥26.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥29.68, implying the stock looks roughly 9.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 80/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥48.44 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥26.95 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.19, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd generated revenue of 62.0B CNY at a net margin of 14.0%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 28.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 2.5B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 22, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥22.26 (bear case) to ¥50.11 (bull case); at ¥26.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 92% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 28% fair-value upside, at 10%, 000807 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥1.23 per share, which is 4.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥34.25 ¥61.46 ¥131.13 75
Growth DCF ¥33.27 ¥66.91 ¥120.76 75
EPV ¥22.11 ¥25.55 ¥28.57 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥34.25 ¥61.46 ¥131.13 75
Owner Earnings ¥31.80 ¥64.41 ¥127.92 72
5Y Revenue Exit ¥24.22 ¥42.86 ¥69.17 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥26.71 ¥48.44 ¥77.08 73
5Y P/E Exit ¥26.13 ¥47.13 ¥72.60 69
10Y Revenue Exit ¥26.50 ¥46.20 ¥78.96 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥28.90 ¥50.49 ¥86.20 66
10Y P/E Exit ¥28.50 ¥49.49 ¥82.13 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥11.87 ¥71.46 ¥99.61 63
Lynch FV ¥20.39 ¥29.12 ¥37.86 61
PEG = 1.0 ¥20.39 ¥29.12 ¥37.86 57
EPV ¥22.11 ¥25.55 ¥28.57 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥4.76 ¥9.89 ¥15.70 66
DDM Multi-Stage ¥4.76 ¥8.34 ¥10.38 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥22.26 ¥29.68 ¥37.10 63
P/S Multiple ¥19.42 ¥25.90 ¥32.37 58
P/B Multiple ¥20.78 ¥27.71 ¥34.64 55
EV/EBIT ¥28.17 ¥37.09 ¥46.01 66
EV/EBITDA ¥24.56 ¥32.26 ¥39.97 67
EV/Revenue ¥19.56 ¥27.33 ¥35.09 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥4.62 ¥6.19 ¥9.24 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥33.27 ¥66.91 ¥120.76 75
Rev-Margin DCF ¥24.22 ¥42.23 ¥67.62 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥11.55 ¥15.32 ¥59.78 64
ROIC Compounder ¥26.16 ¥35.96 ¥49.18 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥26.98 ¥38.55 ¥50.11 67

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥48.44) versus Asset-Based (¥6.19). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 10.7
P/S ratio 1.09 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥2.51 price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.7
Dividend yield 2.6% payout 27.8%
Net margin 10.1% FY2025
Return on equity 28.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 15.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 29.6% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 62.0B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +13.7% 3y avg +7.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +269%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 7.9B CNY FY2025
Net cash 2.5B CNY FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 22, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 80/100

Of which business quality 76 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 67
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 90
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 52
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. produces and sells aluminum primarily in China. It operates through three segments: Alumina, Primary Aluminum, and Other.

Full company description

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. produces and sells aluminum primarily in China. It operates through three segments: Alumina, Primary Aluminum, and Other. The company offers cast aluminum alloy ingots; wrought aluminum and aluminum alloy round ingots; wrought aluminum and aluminum alloy flat castings; aluminum home furnishing; aluminum and aluminum alloy welding materials; aluminum alloy welding wires; and electrician round aluminum rod. It also provides aluminum ingots/refined aluminum ingots for remelting, metallurgical grade alumina, and carbon for aluminum. The company's products are used in electronics, aerospace, transportation, optical, chemical metallurgical, automobile lightweighting, rail transportation, shipbuilding, automotive, architectural decoration, 3C electronics, packaging and printing, power, communications, and machinery industries, as well as in the production of corundum, ceramics, and refractory materials. The company was founded in 1970 and is headquartered in Kunming, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd reported revenue of 59.9B CNY in FY2025 versus 41.8B CNY in FY2021, a compound +9.4%/yr. Reported net income was 6.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
59.9B CNY
Latest YoY
+10.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (31Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+45.8% (43.2 + 2.6)
Revenue +9.4%/yr
FY21 41.8B CNY
FY22 48.5B CNY
FY23 42.7B CNY
FY24 54.5B CNY
FY25 59.9B CNY
Net income +16.1%/yr
FY21 3.3B CNY
FY22 4.6B CNY
FY23 4.0B CNY
FY24 4.4B CNY
FY25 6.1B CNY

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/000807

Peer Group

Aluminum · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 80 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +10% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 28% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 30% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Aluminum median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.7× · Cheaper than median
P/B 2.75× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.42× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.7× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.8× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE47 · sector 8
FUTURE69 · sector 28
PAST100 · sector 34
HEALTH97 · sector 91
DIVIDEND52 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Aluminum stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 22, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Shandong Hongqiao Aluminum Industry Holding 002379 ¥18.28 ¥23.44 +28%
China Hongqiao Group 1378 HK$22.64 HK$45.69 +102%
Hindalco Industries Limited HINDALCO ₹1,028 ₹997.35 −3%
Aluminum Corporation 601600 ¥9.45 ¥16.30 +72%
Norsk Hydro ASA NHY kr 92.30 kr 58.10 −37%
Press Metal Aluminium Holdings 8869 7.90 MYR 3.88 MYR −51%
Alcoa Corporation AAI A$73.19 A$49.53 −32%
Henan Shenhuo Coal Industry and Electricity Power Co 000933 ¥27.36 ¥30.28 +11%
Tianshan Aluminum Group 002532 ¥12.67 ¥21.86 +73%
Shandong Nanshan Aluminium Co 600219 ¥4.73 ¥7.01 +48%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd (000807) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 22, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥29.68 versus a price of ¥26.95, about +10% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 000807?
Our model-based fair value for Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd is ¥29.68 (as of Aug 22, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥26.95.
What is the quality score of 000807?
Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 80/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd (000807)?
Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 62.0B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 22, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 000807?
The net profit margin of Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd is about 14.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 14.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.59% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 22, 2026).
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