Asian Alliance International PCL (AAI) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 8.2B THB (≈ $250M)
What is Asian Alliance International PCL really worth?
A solid business, trading 24% below our fair value of 5.43 THB.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 5.69 THB to 5.43 THB (−4.6%) since Jul 17, 2026. Share price +3.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (3.24 THB to 7.13 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
46‑month range 2.25 THB – 6.83 THB · fair‑value band 3.24 THB – 7.13 THB · the 4.12 THB price screens below the 5.43 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Asian Alliance International PCL (AAI) currently trades at 4.12 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 5.43 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 24.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 7.18 THB per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the 4.12 THB price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.53 THB, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Asian Alliance International PCL generated revenue of 6.8B THB at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue declined 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. Net debt stands at 191M THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.24 THB (bear case) to 7.13 THB (bull case); at 4.12 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 32%, AAI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (7.18 THB) versus Asset-Based (1.53 THB). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Asian Alliance International Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells pet food and ready-to-eat human food products in Thailand, the United States, the United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Italy, Germany, and internationally.
Full company description
Asian Alliance International Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells pet food and ready-to-eat human food products in Thailand, the United States, the United Kingdom, Saudi Arabia, Japan, Italy, Germany, and internationally. The company offers wet pet food products, such as soups, salads, fish and meat dishes, mousse, and pate, as well as dry pet food products for dogs and cats under the monchou, monchou balanced, Hajiko, and PRO brand names; and ready-to-eat human food products made of tuna, salmon, tilapia, sea bass, mackerel, and shrimp in sealed containers. It also engages in marketing and management activities, including investing in other business. Asian Alliance International Public Company Limited was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Mueang Samut Sakhon, Thailand. Asian Alliance International Public Company Limited is a subsidiary of Asian Sea Corporation Public Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Asian Alliance International PCL reported revenue of 7.0B THB in FY2025 versus 5.0B THB in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 741M THB in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 649 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
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