Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 137B CNY (≈ $20.4B) · ISIN CNE1000048D3
What is Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, but trading 170% above our fair value of ¥9.89.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥12.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥23.26 – ¥97.83 · fair‑value band ¥7.41 – ¥12.96 · the ¥26.71 price screens above the ¥9.89 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999) currently trades at ¥26.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥9.89, implying the stock looks roughly 170.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥27.62 per share, and 7 of the 25 models we run sit above the ¥26.71 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ¥6.14, and 18 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd generated revenue of 252B CNY at a net margin of 1.5%. Revenue grew 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.8%. Net debt stands at 41.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥7.41 (bear case) to ¥12.96 (bull case); at ¥26.71, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −63%, 300999 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2990 per share, which is 3.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥27.62) versus Dividend Discount (¥6.14). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
Notify me when 300999 reaches fair value
Put 300999 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd engages in the agriculture and food processing businesses in China. It provides packaged oil, rice, and flour; condiments; groundnut and sesame; grain and oil raw material, including soybean, wheat, corn, starch, and miscellaneous grains; feedstuff, such as soybean meal, rapeseed meal, cottonseed meal, FFS, PKE, SPC and …
Full company description
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd engages in the agriculture and food processing businesses in China. It provides packaged oil, rice, and flour; condiments; groundnut and sesame; grain and oil raw material, including soybean, wheat, corn, starch, and miscellaneous grains; feedstuff, such as soybean meal, rapeseed meal, cottonseed meal, FFS, PKE, SPC and by-products of rice, wheat and corn, and fatty acid calcium; and oleochemicals and derivatives comprising noodles, glycerin, dimer acid, polyamide resin, natural vitamin E, natural vegetable-based phytosterols, paper chemicals, high polymers, and green surfactants. The company also offers specialty oil, industry chocolate, flour, syrup, starch, vegetable protein, Vitamin E, lecithin, food grade glycerol, monoglyceride, ground rice powder, edible alcohol, cereal, and premix powder. In addition, it is involved in central kitchen food business; processing of various food crops, such as corn, soybeans, potatoes, and sugar beets; provision of logistic services, including warehousing, trunk and urban transportation, wharf, container, railway, shipping agency, and shipping services; and packaging, consumer pack, and food service business. It sells its products under the Arawana, Olivoila, Orchid, Wonder Farm, Arawana Fengyitang, Neptune, Fengyuan, Golden Delicious, Reyland, and Jiejin 100 brands. The company was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China. Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co., Ltd operates as a subsidiary of Bathos Company Limited.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd reported revenue of 245B CNY in FY2025 versus 226B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.0%/yr. Reported net income was 3.2B CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.5%/yr from FY2021.
300999 screens 170% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,478 | ₹251.94 | −83% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
| McCormick & Company MKCV | $55.65 | $43.29 | −22% |
Compare Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 300999?
What is the quality score of 300999?
What is the revenue of Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd (300999)?
What is the net profit margin of 300999?
Does Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Watch Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.