Nestle India Limited (NESTLEIND) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · IN · Market cap ₹2.8T (≈ $29.2B) · ISIN INE239A01024
What is Nestle India Limited really worth?
A solid business, but trading 289% above our fair value of ₹362.37.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 5, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated today
Share price −7.2% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 72/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹451.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹790.64 – ₹1,540 · fair‑value band ₹252.89 – ₹451.79 · the ₹1,411 price screens above the ₹362.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.
Analysis
Nestle India Limited (NESTLEIND) currently trades at ₹1,411, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹362.37, implying the stock looks roughly 289.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 72/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹448.50 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹1,411 price. Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹150.30, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Nestle India Limited generated revenue of ₹231B at a net margin of 15.1%. Revenue grew 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 76.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of ₹9.0B. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹252.89 (bear case) to ₹451.79 (bull case); at ₹1,411, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −74%, NESTLEIND screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹2.83 per share, which is 0.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹448.50) versus Asset-Based (₹17.92). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 5, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Nestlé India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of food products in India and internationally. The company provides milk products and nutrition, including dairy whitener, condensed milk, UHT milk, yogurt, maternal and infant formula, baby foods, health care nutrition; prepared dishes and cooking aids, such as noodles, sauces, seasonings, pasta, …
Full company description
Nestlé India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of food products in India and internationally. The company provides milk products and nutrition, including dairy whitener, condensed milk, UHT milk, yogurt, maternal and infant formula, baby foods, health care nutrition; prepared dishes and cooking aids, such as noodles, sauces, seasonings, pasta, cereals, and pet foods; powdered and liquid beverages comprising instant coffee and tea, as well as ready to drink beverages; and confectionery products consisting of bar countlines, tablets, and sugar confectionery products. The company was incorporated in 1959 and is headquartered in Gurugram, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Nestle India Limited reported revenue of ₹232B in FY2025 versus ₹147B in FY2021, a compound +12.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹35.0B in FY2025, compounding +13.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +9.8 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
NESTLEIND screens 289% overvalued. Compare with Danone S.A →
Peer Group
Packaged Foods · 648 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 5, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 78.62 | CHF 57.26 | −27% |
| Danone S.A BN | €64.28 | €48.41 | −25% |
| The Kraft Heinz Company KHC | $25.13 | $24.59 | −2% |
| Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 | ¥35.05 | ¥21.93 | −37% |
| Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 | ¥25.51 | ¥32.50 | +27% |
| Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 | ¥25.28 | ¥9.89 | −61% |
| General Mills, Inc GIS | $40.44 | $28.32 | −30% |
| Wilmar International Limited F34 | 3.64 SGD | 3.89 SGD | +7% |
| Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA | ₹5,511 | ₹1,765 | −68% |
| McCormick & Company MKCV | $55.65 | $43.29 | −22% |
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