Shanghai Chinafortune Co Ltd (600621) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 14.0B CNY (≈ $2.1B) · ISIN CNE0000006D3
What is Shanghai Chinafortune Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, trading 34% below our fair value of ¥20.97.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +2.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥15.73). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (65/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥9.13 – ¥18.60 · fair‑value band ¥15.73 – ¥26.22 · the ¥13.75 price screens below the ¥20.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Shanghai Chinafortune Co Ltd (600621) currently trades at ¥13.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.97, implying the stock looks roughly 34.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of ¥135.18 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the ¥13.75 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥5.81, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Shanghai Chinafortune Co Ltd generated revenue of 1.6B CNY at a net margin of 40.7%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.3%. Net debt stands at 6.4B CNY. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥15.73 (bear case) to ¥26.22 (bull case); at ¥13.75, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 53%, 600621 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.2990 per share, which is 1.4 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (¥135.18) versus Dividend Discount (¥1.88). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Shanghai Chinafortune Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the securities business in China. The company is also involved in the securities and futures brokerage business, agency sales of financial products business, investment consulting business, investment transactions in securities and derivative financial instruments, collective and targeted …
Full company description
Shanghai Chinafortune Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, engages in the securities business in China. The company is also involved in the securities and futures brokerage business, agency sales of financial products business, investment consulting business, investment transactions in securities and derivative financial instruments, collective and targeted asset management, and asset management business; securities sponsorship, underwriting, and financial advisory business; and margin trading, stock pledge repurchase, agreed repurchase securities, and equity investment businesses. Additionally, it issues securities research reports and develops trading systems for exchanges and financial institutions. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Jinling Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shanghai Chinafortune Co., Ltd. in January 2013. Shanghai Chinafortune Co., Ltd. was founded in 1952 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Shanghai Chinafortune Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +12.6%/yr. Reported net income was 636M CNY in FY2025, compounding +6.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +10.0 % · buybacks/dilution −5.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $39.73 | $35.47 | −11% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,029 | ₹796.96 | −61% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.36 | ¥11.34 | −8% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.24 | ¥10.84 | +6% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.96 | ¥6.99 | +0% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹410.95 | ₹119.98 | −71% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $171.87 | $31.31 | −82% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | −37% |
| Storebrand ASA STB | kr 200.40 | kr 46.42 | −77% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.65 | ¥5.62 | −27% |
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