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Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $9.5B · ISIN US3563901046

What is Freedom Holding Corp really worth?

FH Freedom Holding Corp logo Freedom Holding Corp FRHC · US
Price$163.44
Fair Value$31.31
Upside−80.8%
Quality33/100

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Below-average quality, and trading another 422% above our fair value of $31.31.

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Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +44.6 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.4% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range $23.48 – $39.13

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +5.8% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($39.13). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (33/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$190.14 $38.62 Fair Value $31.31 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $38.62 – $190.14 · fair‑value band $23.48 – $39.13 · the $163.44 price screens above the $31.31 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC) currently trades at $163.44, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $31.31, implying the stock looks roughly 421.9% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $84.29 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the $163.44 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $15.67, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Freedom Holding Corp generated revenue of $1.6B at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue grew 146.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.3%. Net debt stands at $1.4B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $23.48 (bear case) to $39.13 (bull case); at $163.44, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −81%, FRHC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.09 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $20.28 $22.61 $40.25 71
P/E Multiple $23.48 $31.31 $39.13 63
Graham-Dodd $16.38 $114.21 $160.27 61
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $16.38 $114.21 $160.27 61
Lynch FV $59.00 $84.29 $109.58 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $23.48 $31.31 $39.13 63
P/B Multiple $24.56 $32.75 $40.94 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $11.70 $15.67 $23.39 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $20.28 $22.61 $40.25 71

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($84.29) versus Asset-Based ($15.67). Highest evidence: Residual Income (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 65.1
P/S ratio 4.56 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.51 price ÷ EPS = P/E 65.1
Net margin 7.0% FY2026
Return on equity 11.3% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 9.1% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin −1.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.6B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +147% 3y avg +40.2%
EPS growth (YoY) −3.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −$38.2M FY2026
Net debt $1.4B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 35 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 26
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 21
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 25
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 20
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Freedom Holding Corp., through its subsidiaries, provides securities brokerage, securities dealing, market making, investment research, investment counseling, retail and commercial banking, and insurance products. It operates through four segments: Brokerage, Banking, Insurance, and Other.

Full company description

Freedom Holding Corp., through its subsidiaries, provides securities brokerage, securities dealing, market making, investment research, investment counseling, retail and commercial banking, and insurance products. It operates through four segments: Brokerage, Banking, Insurance, and Other. The Brokerage segment provides investment banking services, including M&A, underwriting and capital markets advisory; margin lending services collateralized by securities and cash in the customer's account; capital raising solutions; and debt capital markets solutions that focus on structuring and distributing private and public debt, including buyouts, acquisitions, growth capital financings, and recapitalizations, as well as information processing services. The Banking segment encompasses retail and commercial banking services, including deposits, multi-currency payment cards, consumer and SME loans, payment and acquiring solutions, and money transfers. The Insurance segment offers life and general insurance products, such as life, health, annuity, accident, property, casualty, civil liability, obligatory worker emergency insurance, travel insurance and reinsurance. The Other segment includes payment processing, online ticket sales, telecommunications, media, and cloud services, as well as proprietary securities trading; payment processing, entertainment ticketing sales, online air and railway ticket purchase aggregation and online retail trade and e-commerce services. The company offers repurchase and reverse repurchase agreements, securities borrowed and loaned transactions; covers short positions and settles other securities obligations; and a Tradernet software platform for client margin risk evaluation and middle office security transfer requests. It operates in Kazakhstan, Armenia, Cyprus, the United States, and internationally. The company was formerly known as BMB Munai, Inc. The company is based in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Freedom Holding Corp reported revenue of $2.2B in FY2026 versus $690M in FY2022, a compound +33.5%/yr. Reported net income was $153M in FY2026, compounding −9.4%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$2.2B
Latest YoY
+7.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+40.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+3.7% (3.7 + 0.0)
Revenue +33.5%/yr
FY22 $690M
FY23 $796M
FY24 $1.7B
FY25 $2.0B
FY26 $2.2B
Net income −9.4%/yr
FY22 $227M
FY23 $205M
FY24 $376M
FY25 $84.7M
FY26 $153M

FRHC screens 422% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Freedom Holding Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FRHC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −81% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 147% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.91× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 65.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.41× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 5.84× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.3× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE100 · sector 39
PAST45 · sector 33
HEALTH54 · sector 84
DIVIDEND0 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Frequently asked questions

Is Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $31.31 versus a price of $163.44, about −81% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FRHC?
Our model-based fair value for Freedom Holding Corp is $31.31 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $163.44.
What is the quality score of FRHC?
Freedom Holding Corp has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Freedom Holding Corp (FRHC)?
Freedom Holding Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FRHC?
The net profit margin of Freedom Holding Corp is about 9.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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