Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings (000987) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 38.7B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥9.27 to ¥5.63 (−39.3%) since Jul 25, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 26% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥7.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.52 – ¥11.50 · fair‑value band ¥4.22 – ¥7.04 · the ¥7.57 price screens above the ¥5.63 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings (000987) currently trades at ¥7.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥5.63, implying the stock looks roughly 25.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 3.6B CNY. Revenue declined 26.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at 78.1B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥4.22 (bear case) to ¥7.04 (bull case); at ¥7.57, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 38% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -26%, 000987 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥5.63) versus Asset-Based (¥4.44). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. operates a financial holding platform in China. The company offers financial leasing business products, such as livelihood project, inclusive leasing, high-end equipment, operating lease, and clean energy business; asset management business, including acquisition of public non-performing assets; transfer of …
Full company description
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. operates a financial holding platform in China. The company offers financial leasing business products, such as livelihood project, inclusive leasing, high-end equipment, operating lease, and clean energy business; asset management business, including acquisition of public non-performing assets; transfer of public non-performing assets; debt restructuring; bankruptcy reorganization; substantial restructuring; standardized debt investments; and bulk acquisition of individual non-performing assets. It also provides industrial fund business products comprising FoF investment, equity investment, and mezzanine investment; futures brokerage, asset management, trading consulting, risk management subsidiary, re-guarantee, and other products and services; and enterprise financing, financial products, personal financing, and non-financial guarantee business, as well as re-guarantee business. The company was formerly known as Guangzhou Yuexiu Financial Holdings Group Co., Ltd. Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1959 and is based in Guangzhou, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings reported revenue of ¥7.8B in FY2025 versus ¥13.3B in FY2021, a compound −12.4%/yr. Reported net income was ¥3.5B in FY2025, compounding +9.1%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +17.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −19.4 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
000987 screens 26% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →
Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $40.58 | $35.47 | -13% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,009 | ₹796.96 | -60% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.36 | ¥11.34 | -8% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.12 | ¥10.84 | +7% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.96 | ¥6.99 | +0% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹410.95 | ₹119.98 | -71% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $151.33 | $31.31 | -79% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | -37% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 402.36 CLP | 261.70 CLP | -35% |
| First Capital Securities Co 002797 | ¥6.59 | ¥3.26 | -51% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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