Guosen Securities Co Ltd (002736) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 106B CNY (≈ $15.8B) · ISIN CNE100001WS9
What is Guosen Securities Co Ltd really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥10.84.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −0.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥6.81 – ¥14.90 · fair‑value band ¥8.13 – ¥13.55 · the ¥10.26 price screens below the ¥10.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Guosen Securities Co Ltd (002736) currently trades at ¥10.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥10.84, implying the stock looks roughly 5.3% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 25 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Guosen Securities Co Ltd generated revenue of 23.9B CNY at a net margin of 45.5%. Revenue declined 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 58.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.13 (bear case) to ¥13.55 (bull case); at ¥10.26, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at 6%, 002736 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3601 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥10.90) versus Asset-Based (¥8.60). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
Notify me when 002736 reaches fair value
Put 002736 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services to individual and institutional clients in China. It operates through Brokerage and Wealth Management; Investment Banking; Investment and Trading; Asset Management; and Other segments.
Full company description
Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. provides financial products and services to individual and institutional clients in China. It operates through Brokerage and Wealth Management; Investment Banking; Investment and Trading; Asset Management; and Other segments. The company offers securities brokerage, futures brokerage, agency sales of financial products, asset custody, investment consulting, margin trading, and other capital intermediary services, as well as stock underwriting and sponsorship, bond underwriting, mergers and acquisitions, and restructuring services. It also engages in the investment and trading of equity, fixed income, alternative investment, derivatives, and other financial products; and development of asset management products, including asset management, private equity fund management, and fund management business. Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. was formerly known as Shenzhen Guotou Securities Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Guosen Securities Co Ltd reported revenue of 23.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 28.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.1%/yr. Reported net income was 11.1B CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.4 % · buybacks/dilution −1.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 002736: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $39.73 | $35.47 | −11% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,029 | ₹796.96 | −61% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.36 | ¥11.34 | −8% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.96 | ¥6.99 | +0% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹410.95 | ₹119.98 | −71% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $171.87 | $31.31 | −82% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | −37% |
| Storebrand ASA STB | kr 200.40 | kr 46.42 | −77% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.65 | ¥5.62 | −27% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 396.11 CLP | 261.70 CLP | −34% |
Compare Guosen Securities Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Financial Services stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Guosen Securities Co Ltd (002736) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 002736?
What is the quality score of 002736?
What is the revenue of Guosen Securities Co Ltd (002736)?
What is the net profit margin of 002736?
Does Guosen Securities Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Watch Guosen Securities Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Guosen Securities Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.