Orix Corp Ads (IX) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · US · Market cap $44.0B · ISIN US6863301015
What is Orix Corp Ads really worth?
Orix Corp Ads
IX · US
A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of $35.47.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price +2.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (66/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range ($26.60 to $48.99) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $10.03 – $41.31 · fair‑value band $26.60 – $48.99 · the $41.19 price screens above the $35.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Orix Corp Ads (IX) currently trades at $41.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.47, implying the stock looks roughly 16.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 24 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Orix Corp Ads generated revenue of ¥3.3T at a net margin of 13.4%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at ¥5.1T. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $26.60 (bear case) to $48.99 (bull case); at $41.19, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 101% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −14%, IX screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($9,409) versus Asset-Based ($2,750). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
ORIX Corporation provides financial services in Japan, the United States, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. The company's Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing segment is involved in the finance and fee; and leasing and rental of automobiles, electronic measuring instruments, and ICT-related equipment businesses.
Full company description
ORIX Corporation provides financial services in Japan, the United States, Asia, Europe, and Australasia. The company's Corporate Financial Services and Maintenance Leasing segment is involved in the finance and fee; and leasing and rental of automobiles, electronic measuring instruments, and ICT-related equipment businesses. Its Real Estate segment develops, rents, and manages real estate properties; operates facilities; provides real estate asset management services. The company's PE Investment and Concession segment engages in the private equity investment and concession businesses. Its Environment and Energy segment provides ESCO, and recycling and waste management services; retails electric power; sells solar panels; and generates renewable energy power. The company's Insurance segment sells life insurance products through agents, banks, and other financial institutions, as well as face-to-face and online. Its Banking and Credit segment provides banking and consumer finance services. The company's Aircraft and Ships segment engages in the aircraft investment and management, ship-related finance and investment, maritime asset management, and ship brokerage businesses. Its ORIX USA segment offers finance, investment, and asset management services. The company's ORIX Europe segment provides asset management services for equity and fixed income. Its Asia and Australia segment engages in the finance and investment businesses. The company was formerly known as Orient Leasing Co., Ltd. and changed its name to ORIX Corporation in 1989. ORIX Corporation was incorporated in 1950 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Orix Corp Ads reported revenue of ¥3.5T in FY2026 versus ¥2.5T in FY2022, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was ¥475B in FY2026, compounding +10.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +2.8 % · buybacks/dilution +1.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
IX screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Bajaj Finserv Ltd →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- IX or FUTU: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
- Should Value Investors Buy Orix Corp Ads (IX) Stock?
- Are Investors Undervaluing Orix Corp Ads (IX) Right Now?
- Orix Corp Ads Q1 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,029 | ₹796.96 | −61% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.36 | ¥11.34 | −8% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.24 | ¥10.84 | +6% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.96 | ¥6.99 | +0% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹410.95 | ₹119.98 | −71% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $171.87 | $31.31 | −82% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | −37% |
| Storebrand ASA STB | kr 200.40 | kr 46.42 | −77% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.65 | ¥5.62 | −27% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 396.11 CLP | 261.70 CLP | −34% |
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