CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 86.7B CNY (≈ $12.9B) · ISIN CNE000000MS3
What is CNPC Capital Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥6.99.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥5.78 to ¥6.99 (+20.9%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +2.7% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥4.04 – ¥12.91 · fair‑value band ¥5.24 – ¥8.74 · the ¥7.34 price screens above the ¥6.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
CNPC Capital Co Ltd (000617) currently trades at ¥7.34, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥6.99, implying the stock looks roughly 5.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 15 models at a data quality of 83/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, CNPC Capital Co Ltd generated revenue of 32.3B CNY at a net margin of 14.2%. Revenue declined 17.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.9%. Net debt stands at 85.8B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥5.24 (bear case) to ¥8.74 (bull case); at ¥7.34, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 46% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −5%, 000617 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.1753 per share, which is 2.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥7.03) versus Asset-Based (¥5.54). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 34 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
CNPC Capital Company Limited provides financial services in China and internationally. It provides savings deposits, personal loans, bank cards, investment and wealth management, and credit cards; deposit settlement, traditional financing, investment banking, supply chain financing, and corporate credit; and international settlement, international trade …
Full company description
CNPC Capital Company Limited provides financial services in China and internationally. It provides savings deposits, personal loans, bank cards, investment and wealth management, and credit cards; deposit settlement, traditional financing, investment banking, supply chain financing, and corporate credit; and international settlement, international trade finance, and foreign exchange business. The company also offers payment and collection, internal transfer settlement, bill acceptance and discounting; financial leasing, operating leasing and sale-leaseback; and asset servicing trust, asset management trust, and charitable trust. In addition, it provides property loss insurance, liability insurance, credit insurance, guarantee insurance, short-term health insurance, accident insurance, and reinsurance services, as well as life and investment-linked insurances, and group employee benefit plans. Further, the company engages in insurance brokerage, insurance loss assessment, and risk consulting; provision of risk reduction, claims investigation and inspection, loss assessment and settlement, residual value processing, marine claims settlement, and claims consulting; and corporate credit enhancement, credit product creation and trading, and asset investment. Additionally, it offers securities brokerage; securities investment consulting; financial advisory services related to securities trading and investment activities; securities underwriting and sponsorship; proprietary securities trading; securities asset management; margin trading; distribution of mutual funds and financial products; and management of publicly offered mutual funds, as well as services to futures companies. The company was formerly known as Jinan Diesel Engine Co., Ltd. and changed its name to CNPC Capital Company Limited in February 2017. The company was founded in 1996 and is based in Beijing, China. CNPC Capital Company Limited is a subsidiary of China National Petroleum Corporation.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
CNPC Capital Co Ltd reported revenue of 33.8B CNY in FY2025 versus 31.0B CNY in FY2021, a compound +2.2%/yr. Reported net income was 4.3B CNY in FY2025, compounding −6.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $39.73 | $35.47 | −11% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,029 | ₹796.96 | −61% |
| China Galaxy Securities Co 601881 | ¥12.36 | ¥11.34 | −8% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.24 | ¥10.84 | +6% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹410.95 | ₹119.98 | −71% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $171.87 | $31.31 | −82% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | −37% |
| Storebrand ASA STB | kr 200.40 | kr 46.42 | −77% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.65 | ¥5.62 | −27% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 396.11 CLP | 261.70 CLP | −34% |
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