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China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A (601881) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CN · Market cap 141B CNY (≈ $21.1B) · ISIN CNE100002FG7

What is China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A really worth?

CG China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A 601881 · SHG
Price¥12.43
Fair Value¥11.34
Upside−8.8%
Quality42/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥11.34.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 42.6% net margin
Ranks above peers (11/12)
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.3 %/yr)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100

For context

·2.82% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ¥8.50 – ¥14.17

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥18.92 to ¥11.34 (−40.1%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −1.7% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥19.00 ¥8.16 Fair Value ¥11.34 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥8.16 – ¥19.00 · fair‑value band ¥8.50 – ¥14.17 · the ¥12.43 price screens above the ¥11.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A (601881) currently trades at ¥12.43, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.34, implying the stock looks roughly 9.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 17 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A generated revenue of 30.1B CNY at a net margin of 42.6%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at 161B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥8.50 (bear case) to ¥14.17 (bull case); at ¥12.43, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −9%, 601881 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.4602 per share, which is 4.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple ¥8.62 ¥11.49 ¥14.36 53
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.76 ¥9.06 ¥13.52 52
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple ¥8.62 ¥11.49 ¥14.36 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥6.76 ¥9.06 ¥13.52 52

Widest divergence: Multiples (¥11.49) versus Asset-Based (¥9.06). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (53).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.6 as of Jul 13, 2026
P/S ratio 5.57 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥1.03 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 34.0%
Net margin 44.3% FY2025
Return on equity 8.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 54.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 30.1B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.7% 3y avg +0.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +12.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −26.4B CNY FY2025
Net debt 161B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 37

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 23
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business.

Full company description

China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business. It offers agency trading of stocks, funds, bonds, and derivative financial instruments; financial services, including investment consulting, portfolio advice, financial product sale, and asset allocation, as well as securities trading, stock-pledged repurchase agreements, agreed repurchase transactions; and investment banking services, such as equity, bond, and structured financing, as well as financial advisory, asset securitization, and various financing solutions. The company also provides prime brokerage, seat leasing, custody and fund services, investment research, and sales and transactions; research and asset management services; and fixed-income securities, commodities, and derivatives, as well as comprehensive financial solutions for investment, financing, and risk management. In addition, it offers professional development, revenue generation, futures, and private equity, as well as equity investment management, alternative investment, and asset management. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A reported revenue of 28.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 30.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was 12.5B CNY in FY2025, compounding +4.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
28.2B CNY
Latest YoY
−13.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+10.2% (7.4 + 2.8)
Revenue −2.2%/yr
FY21 30.9B CNY
FY22 27.5B CNY
FY23 34.6B CNY
FY24 32.8B CNY
FY25 28.2B CNY
Net income +4.7%/yr
FY21 10.4B CNY
FY22 7.8B CNY
FY23 7.9B CNY
FY24 10.0B CNY
FY25 12.5B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +1.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.7 %

of which total revenue +6.6 % · buybacks/dilution −3.7 %

EBIT margin +2.3 %
Tax rate +2.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −5.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/601881

Peer Group

Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −9% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 43% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 15% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.96× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 4.70× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE22 · sector 0
FUTURE74 · sector 39
PAST34 · sector 33
HEALTH84 · sector 84
DIVIDEND56 · sector 52

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A (601881) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥11.34 versus a price of ¥12.43, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 601881?
Our model-based fair value for China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A is ¥11.34 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥12.43.
What is the quality score of 601881?
China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A (601881)?
China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 30.1B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 601881?
The net profit margin of China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A is about 42.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 42.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A pay a dividend?
China Galaxy Securities Co Ltd Class A currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.82% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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