China Galaxy Securities Co (601881) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CN · Market cap 141B CNY
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from ¥18.92 to ¥11.34 (−40.1%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −4.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥8.16 – ¥19.00 · fair‑value band ¥8.50 – ¥14.17 · the ¥12.35 price screens above the ¥11.34 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
China Galaxy Securities Co (601881) currently trades at ¥12.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥11.34, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, China Galaxy Securities Co generated revenue of 30.1B CNY at a net margin of 42.6%. Revenue grew 14.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.6%. Net debt stands at 161B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥8.50 (bear case) to ¥14.17 (bull case); at ¥12.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -8%, 601881 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (¥11.49) versus Asset-Based (¥9.06). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business.
Full company description
China Galaxy Securities Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, provides various financial services in China, Hong Kong, and internationally. The company operates through six segments: Wealth Management, Investment Banking, Institutional Business, International Business, Investment and Trading Business, and Parent-Subsidiary Integration Business. It offers agency trading of stocks, funds, bonds, and derivative financial instruments; financial services, including investment consulting, portfolio advice, financial product sale, and asset allocation, as well as securities trading, stock-pledged repurchase agreements, agreed repurchase transactions; and investment banking services, such as equity, bond, and structured financing, as well as financial advisory, asset securitization, and various financing solutions. The company also provides prime brokerage, seat leasing, custody and fund services, investment research, and sales and transactions; research and asset management services; and fixed-income securities, commodities, and derivatives, as well as comprehensive financial solutions for investment, financing, and risk management. In addition, it offers professional development, revenue generation, futures, and private equity, as well as equity investment management, alternative investment, and asset management. The company was founded in 2007 and is based in Beijing, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China Galaxy Securities Co reported revenue of ¥28.2B in FY2025 versus ¥30.9B in FY2021, a compound −2.2%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.5B in FY2025, compounding +4.7%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.6 pp · buybacks/dilution −3.9 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ORIX Corporation IX | $40.58 | $35.47 | -13% |
| Bajaj Finserv Ltd BAJAJFINSV | ₹2,009 | ₹796.96 | -60% |
| Guosen Securities Co 002736 | ¥10.12 | ¥10.84 | +7% |
| CNPC Capital Company 000617 | ¥6.96 | ¥6.99 | +0% |
| Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL | ₹410.95 | ₹119.98 | -71% |
| Freedom Holding FRHC | $151.33 | $31.31 | -79% |
| Voya Financial, Inc VOYA | $99.49 | $62.37 | -37% |
| Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 | ¥7.72 | ¥5.63 | -27% |
| Bicecorp S.A BICE | 402.36 CLP | 261.70 CLP | -35% |
| First Capital Securities Co 002797 | ¥6.59 | ¥3.26 | -51% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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