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Bajaj Finserv Limited (BAJAJFINSV) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IN · Market cap ₹3.1T (≈ $32.5B) · ISIN INE918I01026

What is Bajaj Finserv Limited really worth?

BF Bajaj Finserv Limited BAJAJFINSV · NSE
Price₹1,970
Fair Value₹796.96
Upside−59.6%
Quality38/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 147% above our fair value of ₹796.96.

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Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +41.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.6% net margin
!High debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/13)
!Moderate moat 62/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 27 out of 100
!Weak on dividend: 2 out of 100

For context

·0.08% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range ₹444.40 – ₹996.20

Fair value as of: Aug 31, 2026

From 9 valuation models · updated 5 days ago

Share price −5.6% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹996.20). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (38/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹444.40 to ₹996.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹2,174 ₹1,090 Fair Value ₹796.96 May 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹1,090 – ₹2,174 · fair‑value band ₹444.40 – ₹996.20 · the ₹1,970 price screens above the ₹796.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 31, 2026.

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Analysis

Bajaj Finserv Limited (BAJAJFINSV) currently trades at ₹1,970, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹796.96, implying the stock looks roughly 147.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹2,146 per share, and 2 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹1,970 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹198.81, and 7 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Bajaj Finserv Limited generated revenue of ₹1.5T at a net margin of 6.6%. Revenue grew 5.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.6%. Net debt stands at ₹3.4T. Fundamentals as of Aug 31, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹444.40 (bear case) to ₹996.20 (bull case); at ₹1,970, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −60%, BAJAJFINSV screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹25.58 per share, which is 3.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings best evidence ₹317.94 ₹3,408 71
Residual Income ₹465.15 ₹586.37 ₹1,596 65
DDM Multi-Stage ₹111.17 ₹198.81 ₹252.93 64
All 9 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings best evidence ₹317.94 ₹3,408 71
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹416.87 ₹2,907 ₹4,080 61
Lynch FV ₹1,502 ₹2,146 ₹2,789 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹111.17 ₹242.70 ₹408.35 63
DDM Multi-Stage ₹111.17 ₹198.81 ₹252.93 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹597.72 ₹796.96 ₹996.20 63
P/B Multiple ₹511.72 ₹682.29 ₹852.87 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹243.68 ₹326.53 ₹487.35 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹465.15 ₹586.37 ₹1,596 65

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (₹2,146) versus Dividend Discount (₹198.81). Highest evidence: Owner Earnings (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 32.3
P/S ratio 2.08 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹60.93 price ÷ EPS = P/E 32.3
Dividend yield 0.1% payout 2.5%
Net margin 6.4% FY2026
Return on equity 14.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% avg 5y
Operating margin 37.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹1.5T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.3% 3y avg +55.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −₹522B FY2026
Net debt ₹3.4T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 61

Profitability 29
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 70
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 8
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 47
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Bajaj Finserv Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides financial services in India. The company operates through Life Insurance, General Insurance, Windmill, Retail Financing, and Investments and Others segments.

Full company description

Bajaj Finserv Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides financial services in India. The company operates through Life Insurance, General Insurance, Windmill, Retail Financing, and Investments and Others segments. It offers personal, business, home, home renovation, commercial, car, and gold loans; two- and three-wheeler loans; mortgages; education loans; unsecured and secured loans to small and medium-sized enterprises and professionals, as well as micro, small and medium enterprises; loans against properties, securities, car, mutual funds, bonds, and insurance policy; financing for products, such as consumer electronics, digital, lifecare, furniture, etc.; developer financing; and lease rental discounting products. The company also provides investment products, including fixed deposits, systematic deposit plans, and mutual funds; savings products; life, health, motor, fire, engineering, liabilities, marine, crop, car, two-wheeler, pet, home, travel, and personal accident insurance products; wealth management and retirement planning services; healthcare services comprising wellness, outpatient, and inpatient services; and wallets and credit cards. In addition, it offers pocket subscription plans; bill and recharge services; digital technology services; and trading and demat account, stock broking, margin trading, and HNI and retail broking services, as well as gold loans. Further, the company owns and operates 138 windmills with total installed capacity of 65.2 megawatts. Bajaj Finserv Ltd. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Pune, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Bajaj Finserv Limited reported revenue of ₹1.5T in FY2026 versus ₹314B in FY2022, a compound +48.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹98.0B in FY2026, compounding +21.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹1.5T
Latest YoY
+125.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+55.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+41.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+50.0%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.1% (17.0 + 0.1)
Revenue +48.4%/yr
FY22 ₹314B
FY23 ₹403B
FY24 ₹540B
FY25 ₹676B
FY26 ₹1.5T
Net income +21.1%/yr
FY22 ₹45.6B
FY23 ₹64.2B
FY24 ₹81.5B
FY25 ₹88.7B
FY26 ₹98.0B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +18.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +32.3 %

of which total revenue +32.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %

EBIT margin −7.7 %
Tax rate −0.9 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BAJAJFINSV screens 147% overvalued. Compare with ORIX Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Bajaj Finserv Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BAJAJFINSV

Peer Group

Financial Conglomerates · 55 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −60% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.1% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 4.62× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Financial Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 32.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 3.93× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.05× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 11.4× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE27 · sector 39
PAST58 · sector 33
HEALTH0 · sector 84
DIVIDEND2 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Financial Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 31, 2026).

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ORIX Corporation IX $39.73 $35.47 −11%
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Guosen Securities Co 002736 ¥10.24 ¥10.84 +6%
CNPC Capital Company 000617 ¥6.96 ¥6.99 +0%
Aditya Birla Capital Limited ABCAPITAL ₹410.95 ₹119.98 −71%
Freedom Holding FRHC $171.87 $31.31 −82%
Voya Financial, Inc VOYA $99.49 $62.37 −37%
Storebrand ASA STB kr 200.40 kr 46.42 −77%
Guangzhou Yuexiu Capital Holdings 000987 ¥7.65 ¥5.62 −27%
Bicecorp S.A BICE 396.11 CLP 261.70 CLP −34%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Bajaj Finserv Limited (BAJAJFINSV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 31, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹796.96 versus a price of ₹1,970, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BAJAJFINSV?
Our model-based fair value for Bajaj Finserv Limited is ₹796.96 (as of Aug 31, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,970.
What is the quality score of BAJAJFINSV?
Bajaj Finserv Limited has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Bajaj Finserv Limited (BAJAJFINSV)?
Bajaj Finserv Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.5T (latest available figure, as of Aug 31, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BAJAJFINSV?
The net profit margin of Bajaj Finserv Limited is about 6.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Bajaj Finserv Limited pay a dividend?
Bajaj Finserv Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.08% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 31, 2026).
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