Dazhong Transportation Group Co Ltd A (600611) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · CN · Market cap 10.8B CNY (≈ $1.6B) · ISIN CNE000000511
What is Dazhong Transportation Group Co Ltd A really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 109% above our fair value of ¥2.40.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 24, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 24, 2026, revised from ¥1.20 to ¥2.40 (+100.0%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (¥3.12). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥2.38 – ¥11.44 · fair‑value band ¥1.74 – ¥3.12 · the ¥5.01 price screens above the ¥2.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 24, 2026.
Analysis
Dazhong Transportation Group Co Ltd A (600611) currently trades at ¥5.01, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥2.40, implying the stock looks roughly 108.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ¥2.80 per share, and 0 of the 23 models we run sit above the ¥5.01 price. Bear case: the Growth Earnings group reads lowest at ¥0.5100, and 23 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Dazhong Transportation Group Co Ltd A generated revenue of 2.2B CNY at a net margin of −2.7%. Revenue declined 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −0.3%. Net debt stands at 2.9B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 24, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥1.74 (bear case) to ¥3.12 (bull case); at ¥5.01, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −65% fair-value upside, at −52%, 600611 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (¥2.80) versus Earnings-Based (¥0.1000). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the passenger transport business in China. The company offers taxi and cars rental services; various vehicle intelligent dispatching platform; GPS/GPRS vehicle mounted equipment; and call center system, as well as is involved in the online car hailing business.
Full company description
Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd. engages in the passenger transport business in China. The company offers taxi and cars rental services; various vehicle intelligent dispatching platform; GPS/GPRS vehicle mounted equipment; and call center system, as well as is involved in the online car hailing business. It also provides advertisement services; financial small loans; and auction services for real estate, motor vehicles, property rights, materials and equipment, and artworks. In addition, the company engages in the real estate business, as well as offers hotel accommodation, catering, and tourism services; provides travel and logistics services; operates motor vehicle driving training and conference centers; trades in new and used cars, as well as involved in the market management; and repair, maintenance, and other services; and constructs and operates financial data centers. The company was formerly known as Shanghai Dazhong Taxi Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd. in August 1988. Dazhong Transportation (Group) Co., Ltd. was founded in 1988 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Dazhong Transportation Group Co Ltd A reported revenue of 2.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound −1.3%/yr. Reported net income was 72.4M CNY in FY2025, compounding −31.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +3.5 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
600611 screens 109% overvalued. Compare with Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc →
Peer Group
Trucking · 47 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Trucking median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Trucking stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc ODFL | $198.63 | $102.54 | −48% |
| XPO, Inc XPO | $184.80 | $56.52 | −69% |
| TFI International Inc TFII | $127.83 | $110.79 | −13% |
| Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings KNX | $68.51 | $8.58 | −87% |
| Saia, Inc SAIA | $343.92 | $127.94 | −63% |
| Schneider National, Inc SNDR | $35.74 | $12.37 | −65% |
| RXO, Inc RXO | $20.00 | $3.48 | −83% |
| ArcBest Corporation ARCB | $140.63 | $45.89 | −67% |
| Werner Enterprises, Inc WERN | $37.85 | $8.24 | −78% |
| Mullen Group MTL | C$26.50 | C$19.35 | −27% |
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