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Hyundai Rotem Company (064350) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · KR · Market cap 18.3T KRW

HR Hyundai Rotem Company 064350 · KO
Price146,900 KRW
Fair Value125,182 KRW
Upside-14.8%
Quality63/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 13.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.36% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/10)
Wide moat 67/100
Evidence: High Range 87,005 KRW – 172,073 KRW Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −12.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 15% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (87,005 KRW to 172,073 KRW) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

269,000 KRW 17,639 KRW Fair Value 125,182 KRW Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 17,639 KRW – 269,000 KRW · fair‑value band 87,005 KRW – 172,073 KRW · the 146,900 KRW price screens above the 125,182 KRW fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hyundai Rotem Company (064350) currently trades at 146,900 KRW, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 125,182 KRW, implying the stock looks roughly 14.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Hyundai Rotem Company generated revenue of 6.1T KRW at a net margin of 13.3%. Revenue grew 23.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 30.6%. Net debt stands at 185B KRW. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 87,005 KRW (bear case) to 172,073 KRW (bull case); at 146,900 KRW, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -15%, 064350 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 100,377 KRW 174,221 KRW 307,025 KRW 80
Residual Income 53,198 KRW 79,268 KRW 698,187 KRW 76
Rev-Margin DCF 82,574 KRW 135,471 KRW 203,568 KRW 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 100,668 KRW 179,435 KRW 322,213 KRW 38
Owner Earnings 91,378 KRW 162,268 KRW 290,769 KRW 31
5Y Revenue Exit 82,574 KRW 136,553 KRW 209,301 KRW 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 97,234 KRW 166,670 KRW 253,414 KRW 41
5Y P/E Exit 107,428 KRW 187,613 KRW 279,180 KRW 38
10Y Revenue Exit 85,388 KRW 139,396 KRW 221,139 KRW 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 97,720 KRW 161,929 KRW 258,796 KRW 37
10Y P/E Exit 104,624 KRW 177,599 KRW 280,792 KRW 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 47,971 KRW 219,625 KRW 301,413 KRW 54
Lynch FV 57,628 KRW 82,326 KRW 107,024 KRW 50
PEG = 1.0 57,628 KRW 82,326 KRW 107,024 KRW 46
EPV 90,693 KRW 105,327 KRW 118,335 KRW 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1,924 KRW 4,200 KRW 7,067 KRW 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1,924 KRW 3,440 KRW 4,377 KRW 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 111,109 KRW 148,145 KRW 185,181 KRW 63
P/S Multiple 80,249 KRW 106,999 KRW 133,748 KRW 58
P/B Multiple 89,945 KRW 119,927 KRW 149,909 KRW 55
EV/EBIT 125,245 KRW 164,405 KRW 203,565 KRW 53
EV/EBITDA 102,926 KRW 134,646 KRW 166,365 KRW 54
EV/Revenue 75,175 KRW 104,065 KRW 132,955 KRW 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 14,106 KRW 18,901 KRW 28,211 KRW 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 100,377 KRW 174,221 KRW 307,025 KRW 80
Rev-Margin DCF 82,574 KRW 135,471 KRW 203,568 KRW 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 53,198 KRW 79,268 KRW 698,187 KRW 76
ROIC Compounder 99,681 KRW 127,615 KRW 161,551 KRW 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 92,655 KRW 132,364 KRW 172,073 KRW 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (162,268 KRW) versus Dividend Discount (3,440 KRW). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 6.1T KRW
Revenue growth (YoY) +23.9%
Net margin 13.3%
Return on equity 30.6%
Free cash flow 748B KRW FY2025
Operating margin 15.4%
More key figures
Dividend yield 0.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +27.2%
Net debt 185B KRW FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 63/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 54
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 32
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 8
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 8
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 3
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hyundai Rotem Company manufactures and sells railway vehicles, defense systems, and plants and machinery in South Korea and internationally.

Full company description

Hyundai Rotem Company manufactures and sells railway vehicles, defense systems, and plants and machinery in South Korea and internationally. The company provides railway solutions, such as high-speed trains, regional and intercity, commuter trains and metros, tram and LRVs, locomotives, and passengers cars; power mechanical, inspection, and system engineering; operation and maintenance; signaling; and hydrogen mobility services. It also offers defense solutions, including tanks, wheeled armored vehicles, and future weapon systems. In addition, the company provides logistic automation system, automotive conveyor system, port AGV, and boarding bridge and cargo handling system; hydrogen infrastructure solutions; press equipment, such as servo, mechanical, and stamping press; and steel plant, that includes blast furnace, and cranes, as well as iron making, steel making, rolling mill, and environment and supplement facilities. Hyundai Rotem Company was founded in 1977 and is headquartered in Uiwang-si, South Korea.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hyundai Rotem Company reported revenue of 5.8T KRW in FY2025 versus 2.9T KRW in FY2021, a compound +19.4%/yr. Reported net income was 770B KRW in FY2025, compounding +84.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
5.8T KRW
Latest YoY
+33.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.0%
Avg. growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue +19.4%/yr
FY21 2.9T KRW
FY22 3.2T KRW
FY23 3.6T KRW
FY24 4.4T KRW
FY25 5.8T KRW
Net income +84.5%/yr
FY21 66.5B KRW
FY22 198B KRW
FY23 161B KRW
FY24 407B KRW
FY25 770B KRW

064350 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with Union Pacific Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hyundai Rotem Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/064350

Peer Group

Railroads · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 63 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −15% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 31% · Top 25%
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 24% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.02× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Railroads median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 14 · sector 24
FUTURE 100 · sector 19
PAST 100 · sector 30
HEALTH 99 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 7 · sector 41

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Railroads stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Union Pacific Corporation UNP $293.73 $141.29 -52%
CSX Corporation CSX $50.08 $12.62 -75%
Canadian Pacific Kansas City Limited CP $92.69 $34.23 -63%
Canadian National Railway Company CNR C$176.01 C$92.68 -47%
Norfolk Southern Corporation NSC $335.41 $114.55 -66%
Westinghouse Air Brake Technologies Corporation WAB $295.54 $144.80 -51%
Beijing-Shanghai High-Speed Railway Co 601816 ¥5.04 ¥5.65 +12%
MTR Corporation 0066 HK$32.30 HK$17.85 -45%
CRRC Corporation 601766 ¥5.98 ¥9.53 +59%
Daqin Railway Co 601006 ¥4.72 ¥6.22 +32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hyundai Rotem Company (064350) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 125,182 KRW versus a price of 146,900 KRW, about −15% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 064350?
Our model-based fair value for Hyundai Rotem Company is 125,182 KRW (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 146,900 KRW.
What is the quality score of 064350?
Hyundai Rotem Company has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hyundai Rotem Company (064350)?
Hyundai Rotem Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.1T KRW (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 064350?
The net profit margin of Hyundai Rotem Company is about 13.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 13.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hyundai Rotem Company pay a dividend?
Hyundai Rotem Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.31% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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