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Kunlun Energy Company (0135) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$55.5B

KE Kunlun Energy Company 0135 · HK
PriceHK$6.93
Fair ValueHK$11.93
Upside+72.3%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
4.86% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (11/14)
Narrow moat 32/100
Evidence: Medium Range HK$8.95 – HK$14.91 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$11.91 to HK$11.93 (+0.2%) since Aug 2, 2026. Share price +2.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 72% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$8.95). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$8.47 HK$3.92 Fair Value HK$11.93 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$3.92 – HK$8.47 · fair‑value band HK$8.95 – HK$14.91 · the HK$6.93 price screens below the HK$11.93 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Kunlun Energy Company (0135) currently trades at HK$6.93, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$11.93, implying the stock looks roughly 72.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Kunlun Energy Company generated revenue of HK$194B at a net margin of 2.8%. Revenue grew 2.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$9.9B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$8.95 (bear case) to HK$14.91 (bull case); at HK$6.93, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at 72%, 0135 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$15.59 HK$27.27 HK$50.84 80
Residual Income HK$6.51 HK$6.96 HK$7.69 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$13.94 HK$26.33 HK$45.60 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$16.44 HK$24.73 HK$51.06 38
Owner Earnings HK$10.43 HK$21.14 HK$43.61 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$13.94 HK$23.43 HK$42.64 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$11.58 HK$18.51 HK$31.57 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$10.56 HK$18.73 HK$29.31 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$14.22 HK$28.21 HK$40.38 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$12.97 HK$23.40 HK$42.32 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$12.23 HK$21.32 HK$36.72 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$4.10 HK$28.61 HK$40.15 54
Lynch FV HK$9.63 HK$13.75 HK$17.88 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$9.63 HK$13.75 HK$17.88 46
EPV HK$9.32 HK$10.53 HK$11.59 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$2.85 HK$5.93 HK$9.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$2.85 HK$5.00 HK$6.22 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$6.33 HK$8.45 HK$10.56 63
P/S Multiple HK$7.69 HK$10.26 HK$12.82 58
P/B Multiple HK$7.69 HK$10.26 HK$12.82 55
EV/EBIT HK$10.47 HK$13.28 HK$16.09 53
EV/EBITDA HK$9.78 HK$12.36 HK$14.94 54
EV/Revenue HK$12.27 HK$16.66 HK$21.04 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$3.93 HK$5.26 HK$7.85 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$15.59 HK$27.27 HK$50.84 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$13.94 HK$26.33 HK$45.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$6.51 HK$6.96 HK$7.69 76
ROIC Compounder HK$10.65 HK$14.47 HK$17.57 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$10.95 HK$15.65 HK$20.34 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$26.33) versus Dividend Discount (HK$5.00). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$194B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.5%
Net margin 2.8%
Return on equity 9.4%
Free cash flow HK$7.4B FY2025
P/E ratio 9.1 as of Jul 1, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 5.1%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.3700
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -17.7%
Net cash HK$9.9B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 89
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 93
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 27
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kunlun Energy Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Sultanate of Oman, and the Kingdom of Thailand.

Full company description

Kunlun Energy Company Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration, development, production, and sale of crude oil and natural gas in the Republic of Kazakhstan, the Sultanate of Oman, and the Kingdom of Thailand. The company operates through Natural Gas Sales; Sales of Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG); Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) Processing and Terminal; and Exploration and Production segments. It is also involved in the processing, unloading, storing, gasification, and entrucking of LNG; trading, distribution, and retail sale of various natural gas products; and wholesale and retail of various LPG products. The company was formerly known as CNPC (Hong Kong) Limited and changed its name to Kunlun Energy Company Limited in March 2010. Kunlun Energy Company Limited was incorporated in 1991 and is based in Hong Kong, Hong Kong. Kunlun Energy Company Limited operates as a subsidiary of PetroChina Hong Kong Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kunlun Energy Company reported revenue of HK$189B in FY2025 versus HK$139B in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$5.2B in FY2025, compounding −31.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$189B
Latest YoY
+1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. growth/yr (30Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+37.8%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 HK$139B
FY22 HK$172B
FY23 HK$177B
FY24 HK$187B
FY25 HK$189B
Net income −31.0%/yr
FY21 HK$23.0B
FY22 HK$5.2B
FY23 HK$5.7B
FY24 HK$6.0B
FY25 HK$5.2B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kunlun Energy Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/0135

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 115 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside +72% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.29× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.0× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 2.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 18
FUTURE 13 · sector 15
PAST 37 · sector 33
HEALTH 90 · sector 81
DIVIDEND 97 · sector 50

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Reliance Industries Limited RELIANCE ₹1,329 ₹751.26 -43%
Valero Energy Corporation VLO $330.21 $127.32 -61%
Marathon Petroleum Corporation MPC $348.25 $133.18 -62%
Phillips 66 PSX $225.58 $99.41 -56%
Neste Oyj NESTE €29.61 €3.83 -87%
Formosa Petrochemical Corporation 6505 70.20 TWD 15.32 TWD -78%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $87.93 $44.96 -49%
Bharat Petroleum Corporation BPCL ₹317.00 ₹846.81 +167%
SK Innovation Co 096770 122,400 KRW 53,541 KRW -56%
S-Oil Corporation 010950 140,900 KRW 19,441 KRW -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kunlun Energy Company (0135) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$11.93 versus a price of HK$6.93, about +72% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 0135?
Our model-based fair value for Kunlun Energy Company is HK$11.93 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$6.93.
What is the quality score of 0135?
Kunlun Energy Company has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Kunlun Energy Company (0135)?
Kunlun Energy Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$194B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 0135?
The net profit margin of Kunlun Energy Company is about 2.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Kunlun Energy Company pay a dividend?
Kunlun Energy Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.86% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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