He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd (000848) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · CN · Market cap 8.0B CNY (≈ $1.2B) · ISIN CNE000000TG3
What is He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd really worth?
A strong business, trading 35% below our fair value of ¥12.91.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −6.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The rarer combination: high quality (76/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (¥9.68). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ¥5.21 – ¥11.70 · fair‑value band ¥9.68 – ¥16.14 · the ¥8.42 price screens below the ¥12.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd (000848) currently trades at ¥8.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥12.91, implying the stock looks roughly 34.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥15.31 per share, and 18 of the 24 models we run sit above the ¥8.42 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥2.29, and 6 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd generated revenue of 3.3B CNY at a net margin of 19.9%. Revenue grew 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.0%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 3.3B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ¥9.68 (bear case) to ¥16.14 (bull case); at ¥8.42, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at 53%, 000848 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.0951 per share, which is 0.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥15.31) versus Asset-Based (¥2.29). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (81).
Notify me when 000848 reaches fair value
Put 000848 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 75 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Cheng De Lolo Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of plant protein beverages in China.
Full company description
Cheng De Lolo Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of plant protein beverages in China. The company offers dew series, including Classic plain almond dew, Classic plain unsweetened almond dew, Classic plain praline walnut dew, classic original walnut dew, classic original almond dew affectionate style, classic plain almond dew, almond milk tea jingshan matcha flavor, apricot luck colorful financier, almond dew classic low sugar, and walnut dew classic low sugar. It also provides milk series, such as plain almond milk and almond milk series. In Addition, The company provides water series, including loquat and autumn pear drink, tangerine peel and plum drink, goji berries and mulberries drink, longan ginger and jujube drink, carbonated drink with gravity white peach flavor juice, and carbonated beverage with gravity hawthorn flavor juice. It sells its products through online sales platforms. The company was formerly known as He Bei Cheng De Lolo Company Limited and changed its name to Cheng De Lolo Company Limited in May 2022. Cheng De Lolo Company Limited was founded in 1950 and is based in Chengde City, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd reported revenue of 3.2B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.5B CNY in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was 627M CNY in FY2025, compounding +2.4%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +1.2 % · buybacks/dilution −0.3 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch 000848: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 87 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $89.06 | $36.57 | −59% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.72 | $106.91 | −23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $46.70 | $35.82 | −23% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$42.54 | HK$30.90 | −27% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €70.86 | −23% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $32.18 | $30.99 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $112.58 | $108.50 | −4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €53.10 | €46.77 | −12% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹431.00 | ₹187.49 | −56% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥123.07 | ¥107.57 | −13% |
Compare He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Defensive stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd (000848) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 000848?
What is the quality score of 000848?
What is the revenue of He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd (000848)?
What is the net profit margin of 000848?
Does He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Watch He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts He Bei Cheng De LoLo Co Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.