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Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $10.6B

ZB Zions Bancorporation, National Association logo Zions Bancorporation, National Association ZION · US
Price$71.61
Fair Value$68.70
Upside-4.1%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 28.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.43% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: High Range $51.53 – $85.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $79.45 to $68.70 (−13.5%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$73.31 $17.58 Fair Value $68.70 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $17.58 – $73.31 · fair‑value band $51.53 – $85.88 · the $71.61 price screens above the $68.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION) currently trades at $71.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $68.70, implying the stock looks roughly 4.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Zions Bancorporation, National Association generated revenue of $3.4B at a net margin of 28.4%. Revenue grew 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at $1.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $51.53 (bear case) to $85.88 (bull case); at $71.61, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -4%, ZION screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $45.83 $55.26 $116.76 76
P/E Multiple $59.59 $79.45 $99.32 63
P/B Multiple $51.25 $68.34 $85.42 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $59.59 $79.45 $99.32 63
P/B Multiple $51.25 $68.34 $85.42 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $24.41 $32.70 $48.81 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $45.83 $55.26 $116.76 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($68.34) versus Asset-Based ($32.70). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $3.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) +10.2%
Net margin 28.4%
Return on equity 14.1%
Free cash flow $981M FY2025
P/E ratio 11.1
More key figures
Operating margin 36.1%
EPS (TTM) $6.44
Dividend yield 2.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +37.9%
Net debt $1.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 75
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 11
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 76
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 71
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 70
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Zions Bancorporation, National Association provides various banking products and related services primarily in the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming.

Full company description

Zions Bancorporation, National Association provides various banking products and related services primarily in the states of Arizona, California, Colorado, Idaho, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon, Texas, Utah, Washington, and Wyoming. The company operates through Zions Bank, California Bank & Trust, Amegy Bank, National Bank of Arizona, Nevada State Bank, Vectra Bank Colorado, and The Commerce Bank of Washington segments. It offers commercial and small business banking services to small- and medium-sized businesses, such as commercial, industrial, and owner-occupied lending and leasing; municipal and public finance services; depository account and cash management services; commercial and small business cards; merchant processing services; corporate trust services; and correspondent banking and international lending services. The company also provides capital markets and investment banking services, including loan syndications, foreign exchange services, interest rate derivatives, fixed income securities underwriting, mergers and acquisitions advisory services, advisory and capital raising, commercial mortgage-backed security conduit lending, and power and project financing; and commercial real estate lending services consisting of term and construction/land development financing for commercial and residential purposes. In addition, it offers retail banking services comprising residential mortgages lending, home equity lines of credit, personal lines of credit, installment consumer loans, depository account services, consumer cards, and personal trust services; and wealth management services consisting of investment management, fiduciary and estate, and advanced business succession and estate planning services. The company was formerly known as ZB, National Association and changed its name to Zions Bancorporation, National Association in September 2018. Zions Bancorporation, National Association was founded in 1873 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, Utah.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Zions Bancorporation, National Association reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $3.0B in FY2021, a compound +13.6%/yr. Reported net income was $899M in FY2025, compounding −5.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.9B
Latest YoY
−1.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.9%
Avg. growth/yr (42Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.7%
Revenue +13.6%/yr
FY21 $3.0B
FY22 $3.3B
FY23 $4.6B
FY24 $5.0B
FY25 $4.9B
Net income −5.5%/yr
FY21 $1.1B
FY22 $907M
FY23 $680M
FY24 $784M
FY25 $899M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +12.2 pp

of which total revenue +8.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.8 pp

EBIT margin −2.0 pp
Tax rate +1.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Zions Bancorporation, National Association Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ZION

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −4% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Below median
Revenue growth 10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.20× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 11.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.48× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 3.13× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 10.8× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 4.96× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 28 · sector 33
FUTURE 51 · sector 44
PAST 56 · sector 41
HEALTH 90 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 49

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $68.70 versus a price of $71.61, about −4% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of ZION?
Our model-based fair value for Zions Bancorporation, National Association is $68.70 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $71.61.
What is the quality score of ZION?
Zions Bancorporation, National Association has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Zions Bancorporation, National Association (ZION)?
Zions Bancorporation, National Association reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $3.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ZION?
The net profit margin of Zions Bancorporation, National Association is about 28.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 28.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Zions Bancorporation, National Association pay a dividend?
Zions Bancorporation, National Association currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.93% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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