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DBS Group Holdings Ltd (D05) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SG · Market cap 204B SGD (≈ $161B) · ISIN SG1L01001701

What is DBS Group Holdings Ltd really worth?

DG DBS Group Holdings Ltd D05 · SG
Price78.65 SGD
Fair Value40.48 SGD
Upside−48.5%
Quality59/100

A solid business, but trading 94% above our fair value of 40.48 SGD.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +9.4 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 49.2% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/14)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 16 out of 100

For context

·3.62% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range 30.36 SGD – 50.60 SGD

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +6.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (50.60 SGD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

78.65 SGD 20.04 SGD Fair Value 40.48 SGD Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 20.04 SGD – 78.65 SGD · fair‑value band 30.36 SGD – 50.60 SGD · the 78.65 SGD price screens above the 40.48 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

DBS Group Holdings Ltd (D05) currently trades at 78.65 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 40.48 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 94.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 49.41 SGD per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the 78.65 SGD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 16.26 SGD, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, DBS Group Holdings Ltd generated revenue of 22.3B SGD at a net margin of 49.2%. Revenue grew 3.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.9%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 30.36 SGD (bear case) to 50.60 SGD (bull case); at 78.65 SGD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 93% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −49%, D05 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.6632 SGD per share, which is 1.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence 26.16 SGD 32.23 SGD 70.76 SGD 71
DDM Multi-Stage 27.63 SGD 49.41 SGD 62.86 SGD 66
Gordon GGM 27.63 SGD 60.32 SGD 101.49 SGD 65
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 27.63 SGD 60.32 SGD 101.49 SGD 65
DDM Multi-Stage 27.63 SGD 49.41 SGD 62.86 SGD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 37.57 SGD 50.09 SGD 62.61 SGD 63
P/B Multiple 25.48 SGD 33.98 SGD 42.47 SGD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 12.13 SGD 16.26 SGD 24.27 SGD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence 26.16 SGD 32.23 SGD 70.76 SGD 71

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (49.41 SGD) versus Asset-Based (16.26 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (71).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 20.5
P/S ratio 9.78 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 3.84 SGD price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5
Dividend yield 3.6% payout 74.2%
Net margin 47.8% FY2025
Return on equity 15.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 60.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 22.3B SGD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +3.2% 3y avg +11.6%
EPS growth (YoY) −8.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 10.5B SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 96

Profitability 38
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 54
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 84
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 56
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 91
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 65
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

DBS Group Holdings Ltd provides commercial banking and financial services in Singapore, Hong Kong, rest of Greater China, South and Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Personal Banking; Institutional Banking; and Global Financial Markets segments.

Full company description

DBS Group Holdings Ltd provides commercial banking and financial services in Singapore, Hong Kong, rest of Greater China, South and Southeast Asia, and internationally. It operates through Personal Banking; Institutional Banking; and Global Financial Markets segments. The Personal Banking segment offers banking and related financial services, including current and savings accounts, fixed deposits, loans and home finance, cards, payments, investment, and insurance products for individual customers. The Institutional Banking segment provides financial services and products comprise short-term working capital financing and specialized lending; cash management, trade finance, and securities and fiduciary services; treasury and markets products; corporate finance and advisory banking services; and capital markets solutions for bank and non-bank financial institutions, government-linked companies, large corporates, and small and medium sized businesses. The Global Financial Markets segment is involved in the structuring, market-making, and trading in various treasury products. DBS Group Holdings Ltd was founded in 1968 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

DBS Group Holdings Ltd reported revenue of 22.9B SGD in FY2025 versus 14.4B SGD in FY2021, a compound +12.3%/yr. Reported net income was 10.9B SGD in FY2025, compounding +12.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 89/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
22.9B SGD
Latest YoY
+3.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+12.6% (9.0 + 3.6)
Revenue +12.3%/yr
FY21 14.4B SGD
FY22 16.5B SGD
FY23 20.1B SGD
FY24 22.2B SGD
FY25 22.9B SGD
Net income +12.6%/yr
FY21 6.8B SGD
FY22 8.2B SGD
FY23 10.1B SGD
FY24 11.3B SGD
FY25 10.9B SGD

D05 screens 94% overvalued. Compare with China Merchants Bank Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "DBS Group Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/D05

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 49% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 60% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.69× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 7.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 15.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 3.44× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 33
FUTURE16 · sector 45
PAST64 · sector 41
HEALTH66 · sector 85
DIVIDEND72 · sector 51

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%
The PNC Financial Services Group PNC $242.22 $192.40 −21%

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Frequently asked questions

Is DBS Group Holdings Ltd (D05) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 40.48 SGD versus a price of 78.65 SGD, about −49% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of D05?
Our model-based fair value for DBS Group Holdings Ltd is 40.48 SGD (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 78.65 SGD.
What is the quality score of D05?
DBS Group Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of DBS Group Holdings Ltd (D05)?
DBS Group Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 22.3B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of D05?
The net profit margin of DBS Group Holdings Ltd is about 49.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 49.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does DBS Group Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
DBS Group Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.62% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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