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Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (ITUB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $85.9B · ISIN US4655621062

What is Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA really worth?

IU Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA logo Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA ITUB · US
Price$8.22
Fair Value$15.00
Upside+82.5%
Quality52/100

A solid business, trading 45% below our fair value of $15.00.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +17.2 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 76/100

Risks

!High debt · generates free cash flow
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on balance sheet: 15 out of 100
Evidence: Medium Range $11.25 – $18.75

Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 30, 2026, revised from $15.22 to $15.00 (−1.4%) since Aug 27, 2026. Share price +0.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.25). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$9.47 $2.36 Fair Value $15.00 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.36 – $9.47 · fair‑value band $11.25 – $18.75 · the $8.22 price screens below the $15.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.

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Analysis

Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (ITUB) currently trades at $8.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.00, implying the stock looks roughly 45.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of $35.30 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the $8.22 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $12.24, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA generated revenue of $138B at a net margin of 33.3%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.8%. Net debt stands at $742B. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.25 (bear case) to $18.75 (bull case); at $8.22, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 82%, ITUB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $26.46 $35.30 $162.92 63
P/E Multiple $39.09 $52.12 $65.14 61
P/B Multiple $19.18 $25.57 $31.97 53
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.09 $52.12 $65.14 61
P/B Multiple $19.18 $25.57 $31.97 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $9.13 $12.24 $18.27 52
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $26.46 $35.30 $162.92 63

Widest divergence: Economic Profit ($35.30) versus Asset-Based ($12.24). Highest evidence: Residual Income (63).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 9.7 as of Jun 21, 2026
P/S ratio 1.14 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $0.8000 price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.7
Net margin 11.7% FY2025
Return on equity 21.8% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% avg 5y
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 33.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $138B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −2.1% 3y avg +15.0%
EPS growth (YoY) +11.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $128B FY2025
Net debt $742B FY2025 · ≈ 5.8 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 29
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 82
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 44
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation.

Full company description

Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. provides various financial products and services to personal and corporate customers in Brazil and internationally. It operates through three segments: Retail Business, Wholesale Business and Activities with the Market + Corporation. The company offers current accounts; funds management; payments and collections; loans; credit and debit cards; investment and commercial banking services; real estate lending and financing services; economic, financial and brokerage advisory; and leasing and foreign exchange services. The company also provides non-life insurance products covering loss, damage, or liability for objects or people, as well as life insurance products covering death and personal accidents. It serves retail customers, account and non-account holders, individuals and legal entities, high income clients, microenterprises, and small companies, as well as middle-market companies and high net worth institutional clients. The company was formerly known as Itaú Unibanco Banco Múltiplo S.A. and changed its name to Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. in April 2009. The company was incorporated in 1924 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil. Itaú Unibanco Holding S.A. is a subsidiary of IUPAR - Itaú Unibanco Participações S.A.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA reported revenue of R$385B in FY2025 versus R$191B in FY2021, a compound +19.0%/yr. Reported net income was R$44.9B in FY2025, compounding +13.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$385B
Latest YoY
+18.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.1%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in BRL) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in BRL: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+8.1% (8.1 + 0.0)
Revenue +19.0%/yr
FY21 R$191B
FY22 R$253B
FY23 R$307B
FY24 R$326B
FY25 R$385B
Net income +13.8%/yr
FY21 R$26.8B
FY22 R$29.2B
FY23 R$33.1B
FY24 R$41.1B
FY25 R$44.9B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +5.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +6.3 %

of which total revenue +7.5 % · buybacks/dilution −1.1 %

EBIT margin −1.5 %
Tax rate +0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ITUB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +83% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 22% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 33% · Below median
Revenue growth −2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 42.2% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.71× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.7× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.34× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 33
FUTURE0 · sector 45
PAST87 · sector 41
HEALTH15 · sector 85
DIVIDEND0 · sector 51

Insider activity: 44/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (ITUB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 30, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.00 versus a price of $8.22, about +82% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ITUB?
Our model-based fair value for Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA is $15.00 (as of Aug 30, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $8.22.
What is the quality score of ITUB?
Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA (ITUB)?
Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $138B (latest available figure, as of Aug 30, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ITUB?
The net profit margin of Itau Unibanco Banco Holding SA is about 33.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
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