UniCredit S.p.A (UCG) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · IT · Market cap €112B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €94.71 to €77.62 (−18.0%) since Jul 27, 2026. Share price +4.8% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.52 – €85.46 · fair‑value band €58.21 – €97.02 · the €85.23 price screens above the €77.62 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
UniCredit S.p.A (UCG) currently trades at €85.23, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €77.62, implying the stock looks roughly 8.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, UniCredit S.p.A generated revenue of €25.5B at a net margin of 44.6%. Revenue grew 6.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at €75.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €58.21 (bear case) to €97.02 (bull case); at €85.23, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -9%, UCG screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€63.27) versus Asset-Based (€30.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
UniCredit S.p.A. provides commercial banking services in Italy, Germany, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe. The company offers retail, private, and wealth management solutions; and institutional investor solutions.
Full company description
UniCredit S.p.A. provides commercial banking services in Italy, Germany, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe. The company offers retail, private, and wealth management solutions; and institutional investor solutions. It also provides corporate finance advisory, rating advisory, financial sponsor, patient capital, capital structure advisory, and sustainable finance solutions, as well as securities services. In addition, the company offers transactional and risk management, structured finance, debt funding, equity funding, project finance, commodity trade finance, and trade and export finance services; group trade and correspondent banking services; and payments solutions. It serves SME, corporate, multinational corporate, financial institution, and public sector clients, as well as retail, private banking, wealth management, and family office clients. UniCredit S.p.A. was founded in 1870 and is headquartered in Milan, Italy.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
UniCredit S.p.A reported revenue of €25.0B in FY2025 versus €18.6B in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was €10.9B in FY2025, compounding +63.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Accenture (ACN) Following UniCredit Deal And IBM Tie Up Has A Valuation Split
- Accenture (ACN) Expands Banking Role With UniCredit And IBM Partnership
- UniCredit, Accenture and IBM Collaborate to Build Europe’s Next-Generation Banking Platform
- Commerzbank agrees to talks with UniCredit after two-year standoff
Peer Group
Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA | 6,350 IDR | 4,637 IDR | -27% |
| KB Financial Group 105560 | 168,100 KRW | 220,258 KRW | +31% |
| PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI | 3,110 IDR | 3,792 IDR | +22% |
| PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI | 4,130 IDR | 6,067 IDR | +47% |
| Banco Bradesco S.A BBD | 5,120 ARS | 8,400 ARS | +64% |
| Shinhan Financial Group 055550 | 103,800 KRW | 146,032 KRW | +41% |
| Hana Financial Group 086790 | 127,900 KRW | 210,506 KRW | +65% |
| Lloyds Banking Group LYG | 4,138 ARS | 8,275 ARS | +100% |
| Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB | 59,500 VND | 45,959 VND | -23% |
| Woori Financial Group 316140 | 33,000 KRW | 60,758 KRW | +84% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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