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Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (WMMVY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $50.5B · ISIN US93114W1071

What is Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR really worth?

WM Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR logo Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR WMMVY · US
Price$28.00
Fair Value$35.55
Upside+27.0%
Quality69/100

A solid business, trading 21% below our fair value of $35.55.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.6 %/yr)
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)

Risks

!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin
!Moderate moat 57/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 9 out of 100

For context

·4.14% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range $26.63 – $57.09

Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −3.3% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid quality (69/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($26.63 to $57.09) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$40.07 $24.18 Fair Value $35.55 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $24.18 – $40.07 · fair‑value band $26.63 – $57.09 · the $28.00 price screens below the $35.55 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (WMMVY) currently trades at $28.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $35.55, implying the stock looks roughly 21.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $269.25 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the $28.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $91.28, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR generated revenue of $1.0T at a net margin of 4.9%. Revenue grew 1.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 20.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.9. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $26.63 (bear case) to $57.09 (bull case); at $28.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −28% fair-value upside, at 27%, WMMVY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $0.3397 per share, which is 1.0 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
EPV $369.58 $428.42 $479.90 74
FCF DCF $439.49 $682.07 $1,455 73
Growth DCF $414.36 $806.15 $1,448 73
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $439.49 $682.07 $1,455 73
Owner Earnings $342.08 $757.38 $1,629 68
5Y Revenue Exit $466.57 $828.85 $1,590 67
5Y EBITDA Exit $572.82 $1,044 $1,969 69
5Y P/E Exit $475.50 $1,057 $1,851 65
10Y Revenue Exit $448.44 $1,042 $1,443 63
10Y EBITDA Exit $544.73 $1,271 $2,561 61
10Y P/E Exit $473.72 $1,061 $2,033 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $196.19 $1,368 $1,920 61
Lynch FV $706.86 $1,010 $1,313 59
PEG = 1.0 $706.86 $1,010 $1,313 55
EPV $369.58 $428.42 $479.90 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $153.58 $319.31 $506.56 64
DDM Multi-Stage $153.58 $269.25 $335.13 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $454.41 $605.88 $757.35 63
P/S Multiple $367.86 $490.48 $613.10 58
P/B Multiple $367.86 $490.48 $613.10 55
EV/EBIT $595.29 $788.21 $981.13 66
EV/EBITDA $599.81 $794.23 $988.65 67
EV/Revenue $429.61 $606.64 $783.67 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $68.12 $91.28 $136.23 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $414.36 $806.15 $1,448 73
Rev-Margin DCF $515.46 $945.13 $1,842 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income $186.03 $232.72 $782.90 61
ROIC Compounder $491.29 $768.07 $1,099 68
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $924.58 $1,321 $1,717 65

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($1,321) versus Asset-Based ($91.28). Highest evidence: EPV (74).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.9
P/S ratio 0.83 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.66 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9
Dividend yield 4.1% payout 69.9%
Net margin 4.9% FY2025
Return on equity 20.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 16.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.5% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.0T TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +1.7% 3y avg +7.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +1.4%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $43.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 69/100

Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 72
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 56
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 44
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 70
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 78
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 23
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 87
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount stores under the Bodega Aurrerá, Despensa Familiar, and Palí names; hypermarkets under the Walmart name; supermarkets under the Walmart Express, Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos names; and membership …

Full company description

Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. owns and operates self-service stores in Mexico and Central America. The company operates discount stores under the Bodega Aurrerá, Despensa Familiar, and Palí names; hypermarkets under the Walmart name; supermarkets under the Walmart Express, Paiz, La Despensa de Don Juan, La Unión, and Más x Menos names; and membership self-service wholesale stores under the Sam's Club name. It also offers mobile internet connectivity services, advertising services, and financial services through digital wallet, as well as sells airtime recharges and imports goods for resale. In addition, the company develops and manages real estate properties. The company was founded in 1958 and is headquartered in Mexico City, Mexico. Wal-Mart de México, S.A.B. de C.V. operates as a subsidiary of Intersalt, S. de R.L. de C.V.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR reported revenue of 1.0T MXN in FY2025 versus 736B MXN in FY2021, a compound +8.3%/yr. Reported net income was 49.9B MXN in FY2025, compounding +3.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.0T
Latest YoY
+5.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in MXN) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in MXN: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+9.9% (5.8 + 4.1)
Revenue +8.3%/yr
FY21 736B MXN
FY22 819B MXN
FY23 886B MXN
FY24 958B MXN
FY25 1.0T MXN
Net income +3.1%/yr
FY21 44.1B MXN
FY22 49.0B MXN
FY23 51.6B MXN
FY24 53.8B MXN
FY25 49.9B MXN

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/WMMVY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Discount Stores · 24 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 69 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +27% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 20% · Above median
Return on assets 10% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 5% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth 2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.1% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Discount Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.9× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 1.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 2.21× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE69 · sector 15
FUTURE9 · sector 36
PAST81 · sector 81
HEALTH100 · sector 86
DIVIDEND83 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Discount Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Walmart Inc WMT $103.09 $47.80 −54%
Costco Wholesale Corporation COST $934.66 $383.51 −59%
Target Corporation TGT $163.18 $116.90 −28%
Dollarama Inc DOL C$192.85 C$92.38 −52%
Avenue Supermarts Limited DMART ₹3,827 ₹921.40 −76%
Dollar General Corporation DG $120.08 $116.55 −3%
Dollar Tree, Inc DLTR $128.26 $125.92 −2%
540376 540376 ₹4,054 ₹1,542 −62%
BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings BJ $93.19 $80.26 −14%
Pepco Group PCO 43.20 PLN 54.81 PLN +27%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (WMMVY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $35.55 versus a price of $28.00, about +27% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of WMMVY?
Our model-based fair value for Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is $35.55 (as of Aug 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $28.00.
What is the quality score of WMMVY?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR has a Quality Score of 69/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR (WMMVY)?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0T (latest available figure, as of Aug 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of WMMVY?
The net profit margin of Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR is about 4.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 4.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR pay a dividend?
Wal Mart de Mexico SAB de CV ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.14% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 19, 2026).
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