AB Volvo (publ), (VOLV-B) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SE · Market cap 685B SEK (≈ $71.7B) · ISIN SE0000115446
What is AB Volvo (publ), really worth?
A solid business, but trading 21% above our fair value of kr 288.08.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price −4.9% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (kr 162.27 to kr 418.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range kr 118.36 – kr 371.50 · fair‑value band kr 162.27 – kr 418.18 · the kr 348.50 price screens above the kr 288.08 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
AB Volvo (publ), (VOLV-B) currently trades at kr 348.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 288.08, implying the stock looks roughly 21.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of kr 315.48 per share, and 5 of the 24 models we run sit above the kr 348.50 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 58.79, and 19 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, AB Volvo (publ), generated revenue of 468B SEK at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue declined 9.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.0%. Net debt stands at 181B SEK. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from kr 162.27 (bear case) to kr 418.18 (bull case); at kr 348.50, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 48% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −17%, VOLV-B screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly kr 2.15 per share, which is 0.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (kr 315.48) versus Asset-Based (kr 58.79). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
AB Volvo (publ), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines in Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania.
Full company description
AB Volvo (publ), together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells trucks, buses, construction equipment, and marine and industrial engines in Europe, North America, South America, Asia, Africa, and Oceania. The company operates through Industrial Operations - Trucks, Industrial Operations - Construction Equipment, Industrial Operations - Buses, Industrial Operations - Volvo Penta, Industrial Operations - Group Functions & Other, and Financial Services segments. The company offers heavy-duty trucks for long-haulage and construction work, and light-duty trucks for distribution purposes under the Volvo, Renault Trucks, Mack, Eicher, and Dongfeng Trucks brands; and city and intercity buses, coaches, and chassis under the Prevost and Volvo Bus brands. It also provides haulers, wheel loaders, excavators, road construction machines, and compact equipment under the Volvo, SDLG, and Rokbak brands. In addition, the company offers engines and power solutions for industrial off-highway applications and power generation, as well as for leisure boats, yachts, and commercial vessels under the Volvo Penta brand. Further, it provides customer support agreements, machine control systems, attachments, financing, and leasing; and insurance, rentals, spare parts, repairs, preventive maintenance, uptime and service agreements, and assistance services. It serves customers primarily in the transportation, infrastructure, construction, marine, industrial, and public transportation industries. The company offers its products and services through a network of dealers. AB Volvo (publ) was incorporated in 1915 and is headquartered in Gothenburg, Sweden.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
AB Volvo (publ), reported revenue of 479B SEK in FY2025 versus 372B SEK in FY2021, a compound +6.5%/yr. Reported net income was 34.5B SEK in FY2025, compounding +1.2%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +6.3 % · buybacks/dilution +0.0 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
VOLV-B screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $800.25 | $307.83 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $622.66 | $182.29 | −71% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $122.45 | $94.80 | −23% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €45.73 | €47.70 | +4% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 272.80 | kr 144.14 | −47% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €72.10 | €123.44 | +71% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥19.06 | ¥20.84 | +9% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €37.78 | €52.60 | +39% |
| Metso Oyj METSO | €16.75 | €10.73 | −36% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.11 | ¥11.79 | +45% |
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