Metso Oyj (METSO) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · FI · Market cap €12.6B · ISIN FI0009014575
What is Metso Oyj really worth?
A solid business, but trading 65% above our fair value of €10.73.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago
Share price +5.8% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€13.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (65/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€7.24 to €13.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €5.65 – €18.38 · fair‑value band €7.24 – €13.41 · the €17.74 price screens above the €10.73 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 18, 2026.
Analysis
Metso Oyj (METSO) currently trades at €17.74, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.73, implying the stock looks roughly 65.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 65/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of €13.97 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the €17.74 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.15, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Metso Oyj generated revenue of €5.3B at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue grew 3.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.6%. Net debt stands at €1.1B. Fundamentals as of Aug 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €7.24 (bear case) to €13.41 (bull case); at €17.74, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 79% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 4% fair-value upside, at −40%, METSO screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.1223 per share, which is 1.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (€13.97) versus Asset-Based (€2.15). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).
Notify me when METSO reaches fair value
Put METSO on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Free, no payment details. Unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Metso Oyj provides technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services for the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries in Europe, North and Central America, South America, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, Africa, the Middle East, and India. It operates in two segments, Aggregates and Minerals.
Full company description
Metso Oyj provides technologies, end-to-end solutions, and services for the aggregates, minerals processing, and metals refining industries in Europe, North and Central America, South America, the Asia Pacific, Greater China, Africa, the Middle East, and India. It operates in two segments, Aggregates and Minerals. The company provides various equipment, parts, and services for contractors, aggregates quarries, manufacturing sand, slag recycling, and construction and demolition waste recycling; mobile equipment; and stationary equipment, such as crushers, screens, crushing and screening plants, conveyors, chutes, feeders, and air classifiers. It also offers loading and hauling, crushing, conveying, screening, grinding, floatation, magnetic separation, filtration, material and slurry handling, thickening and clarifying, hydrometallurgy, in-pit crush and convey, tailing management, digital twins, and automation services. In addition, the company provides spare and wear parts, including haul truck liners, crusher spares and wears, conveyor parts, screen/feeder spares, screening media, mill liners and spares, floatation and filtration parts, stacker reclaimers parts, apron feeder parts, slurry pumps parts, thickener parts, and wear lining products. Further, it offers life cycle, maintenance and repairs, modernizations and upgrades, process optimization, and training services. The company was formerly known as Metso Outotec Oyj. Metso Oyj was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Espoo, Finland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Metso Oyj reported revenue of €5.2B in FY2025 versus €4.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was €423M in FY2025, compounding +5.5%/yr from FY2021.
METSO screens 65% overvalued. Compare with Caterpillar Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Troilus Announces Finnvera LOI for Up to Approximately US$132 Million in Potential Export Credit Support Related to Metso Equipment Procurem
- Troilus Selects Metso for Major Process Equipment as Project Advances Towards Construction
- Metso to acquire hose and cavity pumps business from Valmet
- Avalon Advanced Materials Announces Finnvera Letter of Interest Supporting Potential EUR 100 Million Financing for Metso Equipment and Servi
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $800.25 | $307.83 | −62% |
| Deere & Company DE | $622.66 | $182.29 | −71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 351.40 | kr 288.08 | −18% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $122.45 | $94.80 | −23% |
| Daimler Truck Holding DTG | €45.73 | €47.70 | +4% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 272.80 | kr 144.14 | −47% |
| Exor N.V EXO | €72.10 | €123.44 | +71% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥19.06 | ¥20.84 | +9% |
| Traton SE 8TRA | €37.78 | €52.60 | +39% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.11 | ¥11.79 | +45% |
Compare Metso Oyj with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Industrials stocks →
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
Discover tools
Frequently asked questions
Is Metso Oyj (METSO) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of METSO?
What is the quality score of METSO?
What is the revenue of Metso Oyj (METSO)?
What is the net profit margin of METSO?
Does Metso Oyj pay a dividend?
Watch Metso Oyj in the live analysis
One click puts Metso Oyj on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.