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Sany Heavy Industry Co (600031) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 171B CNY

SH Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 · SHG
Price¥18.75
Fair Value¥20.84
Upside+11.2%
Quality59/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 9.1% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
2.61% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range ¥15.63 – ¥26.04 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price −1.2% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 11% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Our model range runs from ¥15.63 (bear) to ¥26.04 (bull), base ¥20.84. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥38.78 ¥12.70 Fair Value ¥20.84 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.70 – ¥38.78 · fair‑value band ¥15.63 – ¥26.04 · the ¥18.75 price screens below the ¥20.84 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sany Heavy Industry Co (600031) currently trades at ¥18.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.84, implying the stock looks roughly 11.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sany Heavy Industry Co generated revenue of 92.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.63 (bear case) to ¥26.04 (bull case); at ¥18.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 11%, 600031 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ¥30.34 ¥51.90 ¥89.37 80
Residual Income ¥9.12 ¥10.02 ¥13.52 76
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.33 ¥31.15 ¥45.54 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥30.73 ¥54.77 ¥98.10 38
Owner Earnings ¥18.03 ¥30.81 ¥53.85 31
5Y Revenue Exit ¥20.33 ¥31.25 ¥45.90 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.91 ¥36.72 ¥54.06 41
5Y P/E Exit ¥22.11 ¥35.02 ¥49.85 38
10Y Revenue Exit ¥23.13 ¥34.87 ¥52.68 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥25.28 ¥38.93 ¥59.69 37
10Y P/E Exit ¥24.74 ¥37.66 ¥56.07 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.75 ¥34.13 ¥47.13 54
Lynch FV ¥9.26 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 50
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.26 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 46
EPV ¥14.91 ¥16.79 ¥18.44 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.65 ¥13.82 ¥21.93 70
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.65 ¥11.66 ¥14.51 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.63 ¥20.84 ¥26.04 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.65 ¥16.87 ¥21.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.65 ¥16.87 ¥21.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.41 ¥26.01 ¥31.61 53
EV/EBITDA ¥20.50 ¥26.13 ¥31.76 54
EV/Revenue ¥15.60 ¥20.74 ¥25.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.21 ¥6.98 ¥10.42 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥30.34 ¥51.90 ¥89.37 80
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.33 ¥31.15 ¥45.54 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.12 ¥10.02 ¥13.52 76
ROIC Compounder ¥16.59 ¥21.54 ¥28.26 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.06 ¥20.09 ¥26.11 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥35.02) versus Asset-Based (¥6.98). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 92.7B CNY
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.0%
Net margin 9.1%
Return on equity 10.2%
Free cash flow 17.2B CNY FY2025
P/E ratio 19.4 as of Jul 18, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 13.2%
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9600
Dividend yield 2.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -7.1%
Net debt 1.2B CNY FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 28
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of construction machinery in Chinese mainland and internationally. It operates through six segments: Concrete Machinery, Excavating Machinery, Hoisting Machinery, Piling Machinery, Road Machinery, and Financial Services.

Full company description

Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of construction machinery in Chinese mainland and internationally. It operates through six segments: Concrete Machinery, Excavating Machinery, Hoisting Machinery, Piling Machinery, Road Machinery, and Financial Services. The company offers concrete pump trucks, concrete delivery pumps, and wall grabs; truck mounted concrete, trailer, and line pump, as well as placing boom, truck mixer, and batching plant; and excavator, such as mini, small, medium, large, long-reach, and wheel excavators. It also provides truck, all-terrain, rough-terrain, truck-mounted, crawler, tower, and loader cranes; roller, motor grader, paver, milling machine, and asphalt batching plant machineries; and dump truck. In addition, the company offers rotary drilling rig, hydraulic grab, and trench cutter; water tower, foam, aerial platform, and water mist fire trucks; and construction machinery product loans, finance lease, and interbank lending and borrowing among financial institutions. Further, it provides maintenance services; and MySANY, a mobile app for SANY Group customers. Additionally, the company manufactures and sells pile drivers. Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sany Heavy Industry Co reported revenue of ¥89.7B in FY2025 versus ¥107B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was ¥8.4B in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
89.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.3%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 ¥107B
FY22 ¥80.8B
FY23 ¥74.0B
FY24 ¥78.4B
FY25 ¥89.7B
Net income −8.6%/yr
FY21 ¥12.0B
FY22 ¥4.3B
FY23 ¥4.5B
FY24 ¥6.0B
FY25 ¥8.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +15.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.4 pp

of which total revenue +11.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.6 pp

EBIT margin +6.2 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sany Heavy Industry Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600031

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +11% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.85× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 48 · sector 21
FUTURE 70 · sector 30
PAST 41 · sector 34
HEALTH 96 · sector 93
DIVIDEND 52 · sector 39

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $855.60 $307.83 -64%
Deere & Company DE $619.77 $182.29 -71%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 344.00 kr 288.08 -16%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $131.06 $94.80 -28%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 254.50 kr 144.14 -43%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.25 ¥11.79 +43%
Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 HK$41.42 HK$53.57 +29%
Yutong Bus Co 600066 ¥29.82 ¥42.00 +41%
Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY ₹176.70 ₹118.01 -33%
Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co 1157 HK$6.96 HK$11.25 +62%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sany Heavy Industry Co (600031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.84 versus a price of ¥18.75, about +11% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 600031?
Our model-based fair value for Sany Heavy Industry Co is ¥20.84 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ¥18.75.
What is the quality score of 600031?
Sany Heavy Industry Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sany Heavy Industry Co (600031)?
Sany Heavy Industry Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 92.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600031?
The net profit margin of Sany Heavy Industry Co is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sany Heavy Industry Co pay a dividend?
Sany Heavy Industry Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.70% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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