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Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd (600031) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · CN · Market cap 171B CNY (≈ $25.6B) · ISIN CNE000001F70

What is Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd really worth?

SH Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd 600031 · SHG
Price¥20.00
Fair Value¥20.84
Upside+4.2%
Quality59/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of ¥20.84.

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Strengths

Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/15)

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −2.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.1% net margin
!Moderate moat 49/100

For context

·2.45% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ¥15.63 – ¥26.04

Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price +1.9% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
  • The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

¥34.93 ¥12.70 Fair Value ¥20.84 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ¥12.70 – ¥34.93 · fair‑value band ¥15.63 – ¥26.04 · the ¥20.00 price screens below the ¥20.84 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.

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Analysis

Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd (600031) currently trades at ¥20.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ¥20.84, implying the stock looks roughly 4.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ¥35.02 per share, and 17 of the 26 models we run sit above the ¥20.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ¥6.98, and 9 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd generated revenue of 92.7B CNY at a net margin of 9.1%. Revenue grew 14.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. Net debt stands at 1.2B CNY. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ¥15.63 (bear case) to ¥26.04 (bull case); at ¥20.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −18% fair-value upside, at 4%, 600031 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ¥0.3181 per share, which is 1.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ¥30.73 ¥54.77 ¥98.10 75
EPV ¥14.91 ¥16.79 ¥18.44 74
Residual Income ¥9.12 ¥10.02 ¥13.52 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ¥30.73 ¥54.77 ¥98.10 75
Owner Earnings ¥18.03 ¥30.81 ¥53.85 71
5Y Revenue Exit ¥20.33 ¥31.25 ¥45.90 70
5Y EBITDA Exit ¥22.91 ¥36.72 ¥54.06 72
5Y P/E Exit ¥22.11 ¥35.02 ¥49.85 68
10Y Revenue Exit ¥23.13 ¥34.87 ¥52.68 64
10Y EBITDA Exit ¥25.28 ¥38.93 ¥59.69 65
10Y P/E Exit ¥24.74 ¥37.66 ¥56.07 61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ¥6.75 ¥34.13 ¥47.13 62
Lynch FV ¥9.26 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 59
PEG = 1.0 ¥9.26 ¥13.24 ¥17.21 55
EPV ¥14.91 ¥16.79 ¥18.44 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ¥6.65 ¥13.82 ¥21.93 64
DDM Multi-Stage ¥6.65 ¥11.66 ¥14.51 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple ¥15.63 ¥20.84 ¥26.04 63
P/S Multiple ¥12.65 ¥16.87 ¥21.08 58
P/B Multiple ¥12.65 ¥16.87 ¥21.08 55
EV/EBIT ¥20.41 ¥26.01 ¥31.61 66
EV/EBITDA ¥20.50 ¥26.13 ¥31.76 67
EV/Revenue ¥15.60 ¥20.74 ¥25.88 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ¥5.21 ¥6.98 ¥10.42 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ¥30.34 ¥51.90 ¥89.37 73
Rev-Margin DCF ¥20.33 ¥31.15 ¥45.54 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income ¥9.12 ¥10.02 ¥13.52 74
ROIC Compounder ¥16.59 ¥21.54 ¥28.26 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ¥14.06 ¥20.09 ¥26.11 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (¥35.02) versus Asset-Based (¥6.98). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 19.4 as of Jul 18, 2026
P/S ratio 1.82 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ¥0.9600 price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.4
Dividend yield 2.5% payout 51.0%
Net margin 9.4% FY2025
Return on equity 10.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.5% avg 5y
Operating margin 13.2% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 92.7B CNY TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.0% 3y avg +3.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −7.1%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 17.2B CNY FY2025
Net debt 1.2B CNY FY2024 · ≈ 0.1 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 82
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 40
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 38
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 27
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of construction machinery in Chinese mainland and internationally. It operates through six segments: Concrete Machinery, Excavating Machinery, Hoisting Machinery, Piling Machinery, Road Machinery, and Financial Services.

Full company description

Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of construction machinery in Chinese mainland and internationally. It operates through six segments: Concrete Machinery, Excavating Machinery, Hoisting Machinery, Piling Machinery, Road Machinery, and Financial Services. The company offers concrete pump trucks, concrete delivery pumps, and wall grabs; truck mounted concrete, trailer, and line pump, as well as placing boom, truck mixer, and batching plant; and excavator, such as mini, small, medium, large, long-reach, and wheel excavators. It also provides truck, all-terrain, rough-terrain, truck-mounted, crawler, tower, and loader cranes; roller, motor grader, paver, milling machine, and asphalt batching plant machineries; and dump truck. In addition, the company offers rotary drilling rig, hydraulic grab, and trench cutter; water tower, foam, aerial platform, and water mist fire trucks; and construction machinery product loans, finance lease, and interbank lending and borrowing among financial institutions. Further, it provides maintenance services; and MySANY, a mobile app for SANY Group customers. Additionally, the company manufactures and sells pile drivers. Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Beijing, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd reported revenue of 89.7B CNY in FY2025 versus 107B CNY in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was 8.4B CNY in FY2025, compounding −8.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
89.7B CNY
Latest YoY
+14.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−2.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+24.3%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−6.1% (−8.5 + 2.5)
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 107B CNY
FY22 80.8B CNY
FY23 74.0B CNY
FY24 78.4B CNY
FY25 89.7B CNY
Net income −8.6%/yr
FY21 12.0B CNY
FY22 4.3B CNY
FY23 4.5B CNY
FY24 6.0B CNY
FY25 8.4B CNY
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2013-2024) +15.3 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.4 %

of which total revenue +11.0 % · buybacks/dilution −1.4 %

EBIT margin +6.2 %
Tax rate +0.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/600031

Peer Group

Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 150 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 59 · Above median
Fair Value upside +4% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 19.4× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.94× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.85× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 10.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE39 · sector 12
FUTURE70 · sector 29
PAST41 · sector 31
HEALTH96 · sector 93
DIVIDEND49 · sector 39

Insider activity: 30/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Caterpillar Inc CAT $800.25 $307.83 −62%
Deere & Company DE $622.66 $182.29 −71%
AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA kr 351.40 kr 288.08 −18%
PACCAR Inc PCAR $122.45 $94.80 −23%
Daimler Truck Holding DTG €45.73 €47.70 +4%
Epiroc AB EPIA kr 272.80 kr 144.14 −47%
Exor N.V EXO €72.10 €123.44 +71%
Traton SE 8TRA €37.78 €52.60 +39%
Metso Oyj METSO €16.75 €10.73 −36%
XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 ¥8.11 ¥11.79 +45%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd (600031) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ¥20.84 versus a price of ¥20.00, about +4% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 600031?
Our model-based fair value for Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd is ¥20.84 (as of Aug 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ¥20.00.
What is the quality score of 600031?
Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd (600031)?
Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 92.7B CNY (latest available figure, as of Aug 28, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 600031?
The net profit margin of Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd is about 9.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Sany Heavy Industry Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.45% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 28, 2026).
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