Daimler Truck Holding (DTG) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · DE · Market cap €32.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated today
Share price +5.2% over the past month.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range (€29.41 to €67.66) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range €18.36 – €49.60 · fair‑value band €29.41 – €67.66 · the €45.05 price screens below the €47.70 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Daimler Truck Holding (DTG) currently trades at €45.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €47.70, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Daimler Truck Holding generated revenue of €44.0B at a net margin of 3.1%. Revenue declined 13.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.4%. Net debt stands at €20.6B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €29.41 (bear case) to €67.66 (bull case); at €45.05, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -16% fair-value upside, at 6%, DTG screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€54.13) versus Asset-Based (€18.89). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Daimler Truck Holding AG manufactures and sells light, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses in Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses, and Financial Services.
Full company description
Daimler Truck Holding AG manufactures and sells light, medium- and heavy-duty trucks and buses in Europe, North America, Asia, Latin America, and internationally. The company operates through five segments: Trucks North America, Mercedes-Benz Trucks, Trucks Asia, Daimler Buses, and Financial Services. It offers light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks; city and intercity buses, coaches, and bus chassis; industrial engines; and special vehicles used in various sector, as well as new and used commercial vehicles. The company also provides various financial services, such as rental, leasing, and financing for vehicles; and charging infrastructure, insurance brokerage, payment, and integrated services for zero emission vehicles. In addition, it offers connectivity solutions under the Detroit Connect, Truckonnect, TruckLive, OMNIplus ON, Mercedes-Benz Uptime, and Fleetboard brand names; and aftersales services, as well as sells spare parts. It provides trucks and buses under the Mercedes-Benz, Freightliner, Western Star, FUSO, BharatBenz, RIZON, Setra, and Thomas Built Buses brands. The company was founded in 1896 and is headquartered in Leinfelden-Echterdingen, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Daimler Truck Holding reported revenue of €45.5B in FY2025 versus €39.8B in FY2021, a compound +3.4%/yr. Reported net income was €2.0B in FY2025, compounding −4.3%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Daimler Truck Holding AG (DTRUY) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong North America ...
- Toyota Motor Corporation, Volvo Group and Daimler Truck have signed binding agreement for Toyota to join cellcentric as equal shareholder
Peer Group
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery · 149 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Caterpillar Inc CAT | $855.60 | $307.83 | -64% |
| Deere & Company DE | $619.77 | $182.29 | -71% |
| AB Volvo (publ), VOLVA | kr 344.00 | kr 288.08 | -16% |
| PACCAR Inc PCAR | $131.06 | $94.80 | -28% |
| Epiroc AB EPIA | kr 254.50 | kr 144.14 | -43% |
| Sany Heavy Industry Co 600031 | ¥18.91 | ¥20.84 | +10% |
| XCMG Construction Machinery Co 000425 | ¥8.25 | ¥11.79 | +43% |
| Sinotruk (Hong Kong) Limited 3808 | HK$41.42 | HK$53.57 | +29% |
| Yutong Bus Co 600066 | ¥29.82 | ¥42.00 | +41% |
| Ashok Leyland Limited ASHOKLEY | ₹176.70 | ₹118.01 | -33% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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