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Van Lanschot Kempen NV (VLK) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · NL · Market cap €2.8B

VL Van Lanschot Kempen NV VLK · AS
Price€65.70
Fair Value€40.33
Upside-38.6%
Quality60/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 20.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
4.65% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/15)
Wide moat 66/100
Evidence: High Range €30.25 – €50.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €48.43 to €40.33 (−16.7%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€50.41). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€69.85 €11.92 Fair Value €40.33 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €11.92 – €69.85 · fair‑value band €30.25 – €50.41 · the €65.70 price screens above the €40.33 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Van Lanschot Kempen NV (VLK) currently trades at €65.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €40.33, implying the stock looks roughly 38.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Van Lanschot Kempen NV generated revenue of €763M at a net margin of 20.6%. Revenue grew 8.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.4%. Net debt stands at €486M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €30.25 (bear case) to €50.41 (bull case); at €65.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 47% fair-value upside, at -39%, VLK screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €28.00 €32.19 €50.12 76
Gordon GGM €38.55 €76.82 €116.33 70
P/E Multiple €36.32 €48.43 €60.54 63
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €38.55 €76.82 €116.33 70
DDM Multi-Stage €38.55 €60.97 €81.09 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €36.32 €48.43 €60.54 63
P/B Multiple €31.79 €42.38 €52.98 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €15.14 €20.28 €30.27 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €28.00 €32.19 €50.12 76

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€60.97) versus Asset-Based (€20.28). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €763M
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.1%
Net margin 20.6%
Return on equity 11.4%
Free cash flow €580M FY2025
P/E ratio 18.9
More key figures
Operating margin 37.0%
EPS (TTM) €3.47
Dividend yield 4.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +32.9%
Net debt €486M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 69
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 68
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 78
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Van Lanschot Kempen NV provides various financial services in the Netherlands, Belgium, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Private Clients Netherlands, Private Clients Belgium, Investment Management Clients, and Investment Banking Clients.

Full company description

Van Lanschot Kempen NV provides various financial services in the Netherlands, Belgium, and internationally. It operates through four segments: Private Clients Netherlands, Private Clients Belgium, Investment Management Clients, and Investment Banking Clients. The company offers private banking services for entrepreneurs, family businesses, high-net-worth individuals, business professionals and executives, foundations and associations, and affluent individuals; and pension funds. It also provides wealth management services and products, an online investment platform, and owned funds-related services, as well as strategies and fiduciary management services. In addition, the company offers specialist services including equities research and trading, mergers and acquisitions, equity capital market transactions, and debt advisory services to corporate and institutional investors. Further, it is involved in various activities comprising interest rate, management book, market and liquidity risk management, structured products, and staff department activities. The company was formerly known as Van Lanschot Kempen Wealth Management NV and changed its name to Van Lanschot Kempen NV in July 2021. Van Lanschot Kempen NV was founded in 1737 and is headquartered in 's-Hertogenbosch, the Netherlands.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Van Lanschot Kempen NV reported revenue of €1.2B in FY2025 versus €617M in FY2021, a compound +18.6%/yr. Reported net income was €157M in FY2025, compounding +2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 95/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€1.2B
Latest YoY
+70.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+27.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.6%
Avg. growth/yr (23Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.2%
Revenue +18.6%/yr
FY21 €617M
FY22 €593M
FY23 €667M
FY24 €718M
FY25 €1.2B
Net income +2.3%/yr
FY21 €144M
FY22 €84.2M
FY23 €125M
FY24 €142M
FY25 €157M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −4.0 % p.a.
Revenue per share −6.4 pp

of which total revenue +5.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −12.3 pp

EBIT margin −13.8 pp
Tax rate −0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +16.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

VLK screens 39% overvalued. Compare with PT Bank Central Asia Tbk →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Van Lanschot Kempen NV Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/VLK

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1086 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 65 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −39% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 21% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 37% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.7% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 1.96× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 18.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.56× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 4.29× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 5.6× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 14.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 0.31× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 33
FUTURE 41 · sector 44
PAST 46 · sector 41
HEALTH 2 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 93 · sector 49

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
PT Bank Central Asia Tbk BBCA 6,350 IDR 4,637 IDR -27%
KB Financial Group 105560 168,100 KRW 220,258 KRW +31%
PT Bank Rakyat Indonesia (Persero) Tbk BBRI 3,110 IDR 3,792 IDR +22%
PT Bank Mandiri (Persero) Tbk BMRI 4,130 IDR 6,067 IDR +47%
Banco Bradesco S.A BBD 5,120 ARS 8,400 ARS +64%
Shinhan Financial Group 055550 103,800 KRW 146,032 KRW +41%
Hana Financial Group 086790 127,900 KRW 210,506 KRW +65%
Lloyds Banking Group LYG 4,138 ARS 8,275 ARS +100%
Joint Stock Commercial Bank for Foreign Trade of Vietnam, VCB 59,500 VND 45,959 VND -23%
Woori Financial Group 316140 33,000 KRW 60,758 KRW +84%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Van Lanschot Kempen NV (VLK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €40.33 versus a price of €65.70, about −39% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of VLK?
Our model-based fair value for Van Lanschot Kempen NV is €40.33 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €65.70.
What is the quality score of VLK?
Van Lanschot Kempen NV has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Van Lanschot Kempen NV (VLK)?
Van Lanschot Kempen NV reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €763M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of VLK?
The net profit margin of Van Lanschot Kempen NV is about 20.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Van Lanschot Kempen NV pay a dividend?
Van Lanschot Kempen NV currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.60% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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