Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.5B · ISIN US9170471026
What is Urban Outfitters Inc really worth?
A solid business, trading 15% below our fair value of $92.88.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 27, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Share price +1.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range ($65.33 to $127.31) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- The price sits in the lower half of our model range, the side with the larger margin of safety.
- The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $17.99 – $82.95 · fair‑value band $65.33 – $127.31 · the $78.75 price screens below the $92.88 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 27, 2026.
Analysis
Urban Outfitters Inc (URBN) currently trades at $78.75, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $92.88, implying the stock looks roughly 15.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $111.97 per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the $78.75 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $22.03, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Urban Outfitters Inc generated revenue of $6.3B at a net margin of 7.5%. Revenue grew 11.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.7%. Net debt stands at $856M. Fundamentals as of Aug 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $65.33 (bear case) to $127.31 (bull case); at $78.75, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 32% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 18%, URBN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 7 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $3.09 per share, which is 3.3 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($111.97) versus Dividend Discount ($0.0900). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Urban Outfitters, Inc. offers lifestyle products and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription.
Full company description
Urban Outfitters, Inc. offers lifestyle products and services in the United States and internationally. The company operates through three segments: Retail, Wholesale, and Subscription. It operates Urban Outfitters stores, which offer women's and men's fashion apparel, activewear, intimates, footwear, accessories, home goods, electronics, and beauty products for young adults aged 18 to 28; and Anthropologie stores that provide women's apparel, accessories, intimates, shoes, furniture, home décor, and beauty and wellness products, as well as gifts and decorative items for women aged 28 to 45. The company also operates Terrain stores that provide lifestyle home products, garden and outdoor living products, antiques, live plants, flowers, wellness products, and accessories. In addition, it operates Free People retail stores, which offer casual women's apparel, intimates, activewear, shoes, accessories, home products, gifts, and beauty and wellness products for young women aged 25 to 30; and restaurants and event venues, as well as women's apparel subscription rental service under the Nuuly brand. Further, the company designs, develops, and markets young women's contemporary casual apparel, intimates, activewear, and shoes under the Free People and FP Movement brands; and apparel collections under the Urban Outfitters brand. It serves its customers directly through retail stores, websites, mobile applications, catalogs and customer contact centers, franchisee-owned stores, and department and specialty stores, as well as social media and third-party digital platforms. Urban Outfitters, Inc. was founded in 1970 and is based in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Urban Outfitters Inc reported revenue of $6.2B in FY2026 versus $4.5B in FY2022, a compound +7.9%/yr. Reported net income was $465M in FY2026, compounding +10.6%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +5.6 % · buybacks/dilution +3.5 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch URBN: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Urban Outfitters' Strong Retail Segment Supports Growth Momentum
- Urban Outfitters Stock Joined By Three Others At New Highs
- Are Retail-Wholesale Stocks Lagging Urban Outfitters (URBN) This Year?
- URBN Q2 Deep Dive: Digital Strength, Subscription Growth, and Operational Discipline Shape Results
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 103 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A ITX | 240.90 PLN | 189.78 PLN | −21% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $135.12 | $84.95 | −37% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$37.20 | HK$15.24 | −59% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $228.55 | $118.41 | −48% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $258.56 | $143.65 | −44% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,990 | ₹709.49 | −76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $120.81 | $299.63 | +148% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$140.07 | C$70.30 | −50% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.60 | $36.44 | +77% |
| Boot Barn Holdings BOOT | $160.74 | $128.55 | −20% |
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