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United Community Banks, Inc. (UCB) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $4.4B · ISIN US90984P3038

What is United Community Banks, Inc. really worth?

UC United Community Banks, Inc. logo United Community Banks, Inc. UCB · US
Price$35.39
Fair Value$33.42
Upside−5.6%
Quality57/100

A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $33.42.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 32.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.2 %/yr)
!Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
!Weak on valuation: 26 out of 100

For context

·2.80% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $25.07 – $41.78

Fair value as of: Aug 29, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 6 days ago

Share price −2.1% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$37.09 $18.94 Fair Value $33.42 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $18.94 – $37.09 · fair‑value band $25.07 – $41.78 · the $35.39 price screens above the $33.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 29, 2026.

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Analysis

United Community Banks, Inc. (UCB) currently trades at $35.39, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $33.42, implying the stock looks roughly 5.9% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $35.62 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $35.39 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $15.56, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, United Community Banks, Inc. generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 32.5%. Revenue grew 14.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at $2.8M. Fundamentals as of Aug 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $25.07 (bear case) to $41.78 (bull case); at $35.39, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −6%, UCB screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.18 per share, which is 3.5 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $25.65 $27.86 $35.02 76
Gordon GGM $9.04 $18.01 $27.27 67
DDM Multi-Stage $9.04 $15.56 $19.01 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.04 $18.01 $27.27 67
DDM Multi-Stage $9.04 $15.56 $19.01 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.72 $35.62 $44.53 63
P/B Multiple $31.90 $42.54 $53.17 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $15.19 $20.36 $30.38 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $25.65 $27.86 $35.02 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($35.62) versus Dividend Discount ($15.56). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.6
P/S ratio 2.69 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $2.81 price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.6
Dividend yield 2.8% payout 35.2%
Net margin 21.4% FY2025
Return on equity 9.5% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 45.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +14.4% 3y avg +18.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +19.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $408M FY2025
Net debt $2.8M FY2025 · ≈ 0.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 2
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 77
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 63
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

United Community Banks, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for United Community Bank that provides financial services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and other deposit accounts.

Full company description

United Community Banks, Inc. operates as the bank holding company for United Community Bank that provides financial services in the United States. The company offers deposit products, including checking, savings, money market, and other deposit accounts. It also provides loans comprising owner occupied and income producing CRE, commercial and industrial, equipment financing, residential mortgage, home equity, manufactured housing, and consumer loans, as well as commercial and residential construction and land. In addition, the company offers private banking, investment management, investment advice, financial planning services, estate and retirement planning, and insurance products; non-deposit investment products and insurance products, such as life insurance, long-term care insurance and tax-deferred annuities; and trust services to manage fiduciary assets. Further, it provides reinsurance on property insurance contracts and payment processing services for commercial and small business customers. The company serves the commercial, retail, government, education, energy, health care, and real estate sectors. United Community Banks, Inc. was founded in 1950 and is headquartered in Greenville, South Carolina.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

United Community Banks, Inc. reported revenue of $1.5B in FY2025 versus $716M in FY2021, a compound +21.0%/yr. Reported net income was $328M in FY2025, compounding +5.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 87/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.5B
Latest YoY
+3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+18.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+17.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (29Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.7% (2.9 + 2.8)
Revenue +21.0%/yr
FY21 $716M
FY22 $929M
FY23 $1.3B
FY24 $1.5B
FY25 $1.5B
Net income +5.0%/yr
FY21 $270M
FY22 $277M
FY23 $188M
FY24 $252M
FY25 $328M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.1 %

of which total revenue +16.6 % · buybacks/dilution −6.4 %

EBIT margin −4.9 %
Tax rate +2.6 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Community Banks, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/UCB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 54 · Above median
Fair Value upside −6% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 46% · Above median
Revenue growth 14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.22× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.24× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.9× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.6× · Pricier than median
PEG 1.67× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE26 · sector 33
FUTURE72 · sector 45
PAST38 · sector 41
HEALTH98 · sector 85
DIVIDEND56 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United Community Banks, Inc. (UCB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $33.42 versus a price of $35.39, about −6% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of UCB?
Our model-based fair value for United Community Banks, Inc. is $33.42 (as of Aug 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $35.39.
What is the quality score of UCB?
United Community Banks, Inc. has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United Community Banks, Inc. (UCB)?
United Community Banks, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of UCB?
The net profit margin of United Community Banks, Inc. is about 32.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 32.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does United Community Banks, Inc. pay a dividend?
United Community Banks, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.80% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 29, 2026).
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