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United Overseas Bank Ltd (U11) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · SG · Market cap 72.9B SGD (≈ $57.6B) · ISIN SG1M31001969

What is United Overseas Bank Ltd really worth?

UO United Overseas Bank Ltd U11 · SG
Price42.01 SGD
Fair Value38.05 SGD
Upside−9.4%
Quality49/100

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value of 38.05 SGD.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 39.8% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 68/100

Risks

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +9.8 %/yr)
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 21 out of 100

For context

·3.78% dividend yield
Evidence: Medium Range 28.54 SGD – 47.56 SGD

Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 14, 2026, revised from 36.85 SGD to 38.05 SGD (+3.3%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price −2.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

44.95 SGD 20.02 SGD Fair Value 38.05 SGD Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 20.02 SGD – 44.95 SGD · fair‑value band 28.54 SGD – 47.56 SGD · the 42.01 SGD price screens above the 38.05 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.

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Analysis

United Overseas Bank Ltd (U11) currently trades at 42.01 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 38.05 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 10.4% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 36.85 SGD per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the 42.01 SGD price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 20.79 SGD, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Over the trailing twelve months, United Overseas Bank Ltd generated revenue of 11.6B SGD at a net margin of 39.8%. Revenue declined 4.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 15.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 28.54 SGD (bear case) to 47.56 SGD (bull case); at 42.01 SGD, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −9%, U11 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly 0.7882 SGD per share, which is 2.1 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence 26.90 SGD 29.41 SGD 37.38 SGD 76
Gordon GGM 21.02 SGD 43.70 SGD 69.33 SGD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 21.02 SGD 36.06 SGD 45.87 SGD 66
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 21.02 SGD 43.70 SGD 69.33 SGD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 21.02 SGD 36.06 SGD 45.87 SGD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 27.64 SGD 36.85 SGD 46.06 SGD 63
P/B Multiple 32.58 SGD 43.44 SGD 54.30 SGD 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 15.51 SGD 20.79 SGD 31.03 SGD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence 26.90 SGD 29.41 SGD 37.38 SGD 76

Widest divergence: Multiples (36.85 SGD) versus Asset-Based (20.79 SGD). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 15.3
P/S ratio 5.18 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) 2.75 SGD price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.3
Dividend yield 3.8% payout 57.8%
Net margin 33.9% FY2025
Return on equity 9.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% avg 5y
Operating margin 52.7% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 11.6B SGD TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −4.4% 3y avg +6.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −6.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 46.0M SGD FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 36
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 67
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

United Overseas Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services worldwide. It operates through three segments: Group Retail, Group Wholesale Banking, and Global Markets.

Full company description

United Overseas Bank Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides banking products and services worldwide. It operates through three segments: Group Retail, Group Wholesale Banking, and Global Markets. The company offers deposit products; loan products, including overdraft, cash credit, short term, and long-term loans; and buyers credit, structured trade finance, ECBs, SGD bonds, loan syndication, and M and A services. It provides forex, documentary collection, credit, export and import finance services. In addition, the company offers inward and outward remittances, FX" spot and forward, current account, and time deposit services; letter of credit advising and negotiation/discounting services; and import and export services comprising of inward and outward bill collection services, bank guarantee, as well as standby letter of credit. Further, it provides interest rate, credit, commodities, equities, and structured investment products; private, commercial and corporate, and investment banking services; and is involved in property, insurance, and investment management activities. Additionally, the company offers corporate finance, treasury, futures broking, asset management, venture capital management, insurance, stockbroking, cash management, and wealth management services; and engages in capital market, credit card, and private residential home loan businesses. The company was incorporated in 1935 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

United Overseas Bank Ltd reported revenue of 13.8B SGD in FY2025 versus 9.8B SGD in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7B SGD in FY2025, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
13.8B SGD
Latest YoY
−3.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+6.9% (3.1 + 3.8)
Revenue +9.1%/yr
FY21 9.8B SGD
FY22 11.6B SGD
FY23 13.9B SGD
FY24 14.3B SGD
FY25 13.8B SGD
Net income +3.5%/yr
FY21 4.1B SGD
FY22 4.6B SGD
FY23 5.7B SGD
FY24 6.0B SGD
FY25 4.7B SGD

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "United Overseas Bank Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/U11

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 40% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 53% · Top 25%
Revenue growth −4% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.8% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.3× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.12× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.95× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1,251.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.11× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE21 · sector 33
FUTURE0 · sector 45
PAST37 · sector 41
HEALTH71 · sector 85
DIVIDEND76 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is United Overseas Bank Ltd (U11) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 38.05 SGD versus a price of 42.01 SGD, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of U11?
Our model-based fair value for United Overseas Bank Ltd is 38.05 SGD (as of Aug 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 42.01 SGD.
What is the quality score of U11?
United Overseas Bank Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of United Overseas Bank Ltd (U11)?
United Overseas Bank Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 11.6B SGD (latest available figure, as of Aug 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of U11?
The net profit margin of United Overseas Bank Ltd is about 39.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 39.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does United Overseas Bank Ltd pay a dividend?
United Overseas Bank Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.78% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 14, 2026).
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