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TrustCo Bank Corp NY (TRST) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $960M · ISIN US8983492047

What is TrustCo Bank Corp NY really worth?

TB TrustCo Bank Corp NY logo TrustCo Bank Corp NY TRST · US
Price$57.60
Fair Value$50.22
Upside−12.8%
Quality60/100

A solid business, but trading 15% above our fair value of $50.22.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Wide moat 65/100

Risks

!Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
!Weak on valuation: 16 out of 100

For context

·2.60% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range $37.66 – $62.77

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 4 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $45.48 to $50.22 (+10.4%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price −0.2% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$57.78 $21.89 Fair Value $50.22 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $21.89 – $57.78 · fair‑value band $37.66 – $62.77 · the $57.60 price screens above the $50.22 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

TrustCo Bank Corp NY (TRST) currently trades at $57.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $50.22, implying the stock looks roughly 14.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $45.48 per share, and 0 of the 4 models we run sit above the $57.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $26.32, and 4 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, TrustCo Bank Corp NY generated revenue of $190M at a net margin of 33.3%. Revenue grew 7.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.3%. Net debt stands at $106M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $37.66 (bear case) to $62.77 (bull case); at $57.60, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 95% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at −13%, TRST screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.30 per share, which is 2.6 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence $31.52 $33.54 $36.84 76
P/E Multiple $34.11 $45.48 $56.85 63
P/B Multiple $41.25 $55.01 $68.76 55
All 4 models by family
Multiples
P/E Multiple $34.11 $45.48 $56.85 63
P/B Multiple $41.25 $55.01 $68.76 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $19.65 $26.32 $39.29 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence $31.52 $33.54 $36.84 76

Widest divergence: Multiples ($45.48) versus Asset-Based ($26.32). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.9
P/S ratio 3.71 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $3.41 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.9
Dividend yield 2.6% payout 44.0%
Net margin 22.0% FY2025
Return on equity 9.3% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 1.3% avg 5y
Operating margin 47.0% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $190M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.9% 3y avg +10.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +21.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $45.7M FY2025
Net debt $106M FY2025 · ≈ 2.3 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 51 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 60
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 3
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 85
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 99
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

TrustCo Bank Corp NY operates as the holding company for Trustco Bank that provides personal and business banking services to individuals and businesses. It accepts deposits; and offers loans and investments.

Full company description

TrustCo Bank Corp NY operates as the holding company for Trustco Bank that provides personal and business banking services to individuals and businesses. It accepts deposits; and offers loans and investments. The company also operates as a real estate investment trust that acquires, holds, and manages real estate mortgage assets, including residential mortgage loans and mortgage-backed securities. In addition, it operates as the executor of estates and trustee of personal trusts; provides asset and wealth management, estate planning and related advice, and custodial services; and acts as trustee for various types of employee benefit plans, and corporate pension and profit-sharing trusts. The company operates through banking offices in Albany, Columbia, Dutchess, Greene, Montgomery, Orange, Putnam, Rensselaer, Rockland, Saratoga, Schenectady, Schoharie, Ulster, Warren, Washington, and Westchester counties of New York; Brevard, Charlotte, Flagler, Hillsborough, Indian River, Lake, Manatee, Martin, Orange, Osceola, Palm Beach, Polk, Sarasota, Seminole, and Volusia counties in Florida; Bennington County in Vermont; Berkshire County in Massachusetts; and Bergen County in New Jersey, as well as automatic teller machines. TrustCo Bank Corp NY was founded in 1902 and is headquartered in Glenville, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

TrustCo Bank Corp NY reported revenue of $278M in FY2025 versus $186M in FY2021, a compound +10.6%/yr. Reported net income was $61.1M in FY2025, compounding −0.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 79/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$278M
Latest YoY
+5.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.6%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (36Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+4.9% (2.3 + 2.6)
Revenue +10.6%/yr
FY21 $186M
FY22 $206M
FY23 $245M
FY24 $263M
FY25 $278M
Net income −0.2%/yr
FY21 $61.5M
FY22 $75.2M
FY23 $58.6M
FY24 $48.8M
FY25 $61.1M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +3.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 %

of which total revenue +4.4 % · buybacks/dilution +0.1 %

EBIT margin −3.4 %
Tax rate +2.2 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.0 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

TRST screens 15% overvalued. Compare with DBS Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "TrustCo Bank Corp NY Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TRST

Peer Group

Banks - Regional · 1071 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −13% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 47% · Above median
Revenue growth 8% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.6% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Banks - Regional median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.40× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 5.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 21.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 10.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.63× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE16 · sector 33
FUTURE40 · sector 45
PAST37 · sector 41
HEALTH100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND52 · sector 51

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Banks - Regional stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
DBS Group D05 75.65 SGD 40.48 SGD −46%
China Merchants Bank Co 3968 HK$47.96 HK$76.51 +60%
Intesa Sanpaolo S.p.A ISP €6.78 €5.66 −17%
HDFC Bank Limited HDB $23.17 $24.12 +4%
BNP Paribas SA BNP €102.56 €144.64 +41%
UniCredit S.p.A UCG €84.71 €77.62 −8%
Mizuho Financial Group MFG $10.74 $9.69 −10%
ICICI Bank Limited ICICIBANK ₹1,443 ₹835.21 −42%
Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation O39 31.07 SGD 19.80 SGD −36%
CaixaBank, S.A CABK €13.52 €8.85 −35%

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Frequently asked questions

Is TrustCo Bank Corp NY (TRST) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $50.22 versus a price of $57.60, about −13% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TRST?
Our model-based fair value for TrustCo Bank Corp NY is $50.22 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $57.60.
What is the quality score of TRST?
TrustCo Bank Corp NY has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of TrustCo Bank Corp NY (TRST)?
TrustCo Bank Corp NY reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $190M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TRST?
The net profit margin of TrustCo Bank Corp NY is about 33.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does TrustCo Bank Corp NY pay a dividend?
TrustCo Bank Corp NY currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.60% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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