Tapestry Inc (TPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $28.4B · ISIN US8760301072
What is Tapestry Inc really worth?
Tapestry Inc
TPR · US
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
A solid business, but trading 515% above our fair value of $19.95.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 14, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Share price −21.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($24.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $23.74 – $164.78 · fair‑value band $13.87 – $24.94 · the $122.60 price screens above the $19.95 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 14, 2026.
Analysis
Tapestry Inc (TPR) currently trades at $122.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.95, implying the stock looks roughly 514.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $47.04 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $122.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.84, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tapestry Inc generated revenue of $7.9B at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue grew 21.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 60.9%. Net debt stands at $2.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $13.87 (bear case) to $24.94 (bull case); at $122.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 59% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at −84%, TPR screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 12 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.73 per share, which is 8.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($47.04) versus Asset-Based ($2.84). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (79).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 68 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 42
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tapestry, Inc. provides accessories and lifestyle brand products in North America, Greater China, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman.
Full company description
Tapestry, Inc. provides accessories and lifestyle brand products in North America, Greater China, rest of Asia, and internationally. The company operates in three segments: Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman. It offers women's handbags, fashion designs, business cases, computer bags, messenger style bags, backpacks, travel bags, and totes; and accessories, such as small leather goods which includes mini and micro handbags, money pieces, wristlets, pouches, and cosmetic cases, as well as novelty accessories, including address books, time management and travel accessories, sketchbooks, and portfolios; and belts, key rings, technology accessories, gifting, straps, and charms. The company also provides women's and men's footwear, which casual and dress shoes, boots, sneakers, and sandals; and other products which includes outerwear, ready-to-wear, jewelry, watches, eyewear, fragrance, scarves, hats, gloves, and other products. It offers its products through retail and outlet stores, brand e-commerce sites, and concession shop-in-shops under the Coach, Kate Spade, and Stuart Weitzman brand names. The company was formerly known as Coach, Inc. and changed its name to Tapestry, Inc. in October 2017. Tapestry, Inc. was founded in 1941 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Tapestry Inc reported revenue of $7.0B in FY2025 versus $5.7B in FY2021, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was $183M in FY2025, compounding −31.5%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +4.7 % · buybacks/dilution +2.1 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
TPR screens 515% overvalued. Compare with Hermès International Société en commandite par actions →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- TPR's Fiscal 2027 Outlook Pits Margin Expansion Against Tariff Risk
- Is TPR Worth Buying as Coach Growth Meets Kate Spade Execution Risk?
- TPR Drops 13.2% in the Past Month. Is This Selloff an Opportunity?
- Tapestry (TPR) Stock: Why Investors Should Focus on Coach Momentum and Expanding Margins
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$385.00 | HK$654.83 | +70% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €89.08 | €34.90 | −61% |
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