Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · HK · Market cap HK$63.7B (≈ $8.1B) · ISIN CNE100006JG0
What is Laopu Gold Co Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 28% below our fair value of HK$556.61.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated yesterday
Share price +17.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$417.45). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
26‑month range HK$66.72 – HK$1,040 · fair‑value band HK$417.45 – HK$713.71 · the HK$398.40 price screens below the HK$556.61 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Laopu Gold Co Ltd (6181) currently trades at HK$398.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$556.61, implying the stock looks roughly 28.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of HK$588.42 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the HK$398.40 price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at HK$122.97, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Laopu Gold Co Ltd generated revenue of HK$27.3B at a net margin of 17.8%. Revenue grew 199.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 64.8%. Net debt stands at HK$4.7B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$417.45 (bear case) to HK$713.71 (bull case); at HK$398.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at 40%, 6181 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (HK$588.42) versus Asset-Based (HK$51.81). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 19
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers handmade goldware, including pendants, bracelets, rings, earrings, jewelry for babies, and gem-set jewelry, as well as gold antiques and collectibles. The company also provides maintenance and repair services for jewelry products.
Full company description
Laopu Gold Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells jewelry products in Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau. It offers handmade goldware, including pendants, bracelets, rings, earrings, jewelry for babies, and gem-set jewelry, as well as gold antiques and collectibles. The company also provides maintenance and repair services for jewelry products. It sells its products through stores and online. The company was founded in 2009 and is headquartered in Beijing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Laopu Gold Co Ltd reported revenue of 26.6B CNY in FY2025 versus 1.3B CNY in FY2021, a compound +114.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.7B CNY in FY2025, compounding +154.0%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
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Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 135 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hermès International Société en commandite par actions RMS | €1,598 | €950.24 | −41% |
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 192.15 | CHF 119.49 | −38% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Titan Company TITAN | ₹5,106 | ₹972.23 | −81% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | −87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | −6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 36.35 | CHF 8.46 | −77% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$40.86 | HK$64.71 | +58% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 783.00 | kr 1,424 | +82% |
| Brunello Cucinelli S.p.A BC | €89.08 | €34.90 | −61% |
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