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Christian Dior SE (DIO) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · DE · Market cap €81.9B

CD Christian Dior SE DIO · XETRA
Price€423.60
Fair Value€1,095
Upside+158.6%
Quality62/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 5.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.15% dividend yield
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: Medium Range €771.04 – €1,524 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from €502.30 to €1,095 (+118.1%) since Jul 13, 2026. Share price −5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 159% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€771.04). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€771.04 to €1,524) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€799.41 €93.12 Fair Value €1,095 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €93.12 – €799.41 · fair‑value band €771.04 – €1,524 · the €423.60 price screens below the €1,095 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Christian Dior SE (DIO) currently trades at €423.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1,095, implying the stock looks roughly 158.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Christian Dior SE generated revenue of €80.8B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue declined 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.7%. Net debt stands at €11.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €771.04 (bear case) to €1,524 (bull case); at €423.60, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -39% fair-value upside, at 159%, DIO screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF €788.10 €1,072 €1,570 80
Residual Income €164.12 €216.19 €758.51 76
Rev-Margin DCF €761.48 €1,147 €1,625 74
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF €753.74 €1,045 €1,601 38
Owner Earnings €408.91 €570.33 €878.21 31
5Y Revenue Exit €761.48 €1,129 €1,671 39
5Y EBITDA Exit €1,265 €1,995 €2,973 41
5Y P/E Exit €555.77 €775.78 €1,044 38
10Y Revenue Exit €729.48 €1,019 €1,336 36
10Y EBITDA Exit €1,059 €1,566 €2,126 37
10Y P/E Exit €626.90 €795.23 €955.75 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €170.78 €232.31 €269.30 54
EPV €687.32 €805.08 €908.12 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple €527.41 €703.22 €879.02 63
P/S Multiple €320.22 €426.95 €533.69 58
P/B Multiple €320.22 €426.95 €533.69 55
EV/EBIT €1,671 €2,235 €2,798 53
EV/EBITDA €1,847 €2,469 €3,091 54
EV/Revenue €835.34 €1,202 €1,568 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €67.98 €91.09 €135.95 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF €788.10 €1,072 €1,570 80
Rev-Margin DCF €761.48 €1,147 €1,625 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income €164.12 €216.19 €758.51 76
ROIC Compounder €689.86 €824.46 €955.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €368.91 €527.01 €685.12 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (€1,072) versus Asset-Based (€91.09). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €80.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -4.7%
Net margin 5.6%
Return on equity 16.7%
Free cash flow €14.2B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.9
More key figures
Operating margin 19.8%
EPS (TTM) €25.12
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.1%
Net debt €11.4B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 48
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 81
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 18
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally.

Full company description

Christian Dior SE, through its subsidiaries, engages in the production, distribution, and retail of fashion and leather goods, wines and spirits, perfumes and cosmetics, and watches and jewelry in France, rest of Europe, Japan, rest of Asia, the United States, and internationally. It offers its fashion and leather goods under the Louis Vuitton, Fendi, Celine, Loewe, Givenchy, Kenzo, Berluti, Pucci, Loro Piana, and Rimowa brands; and wines and spirits under the Hennessy, Moët & Chandon, Dom Pérignon, Veuve Clicquot, Krug, Château d'Yquem, Belvedere, Glenmorangie, Bodega Numanthia, Château d'Esclans, Armand de Brignac, Joseph Phelps, and Château Minuty brands. The company also provides perfumes and cosmetics under the Parfums Christian Dior, Guerlain, Parfums Givenchy, Make Up For Ever, Benefit Cosmetics, Fresh, Acqua di Parma, Fenty, Ole Henriksen, Maison Francis Kurkdjian, and Officine Universelle Buly 1803 brand names; and watches and jewelry under the Tiffany, Bvlgari, TAG Heuer, Zenith, Hublot, Chaumet, Fred, L'Epée 1839, and Repossi brands. In addition, it operates retail stores under the Sephora and Le Bon Marché names; publishes Le Parisien-Aujourd'hui en France, a daily newspaper, Paris Match magazine, the Royal Van Lent-Feadship brand, and La Samaritaine; and operates hotel and the Cova pastry shop brand. Further, the company is involved in real estate activities. It sells its products through store network, including e-commerce websites; and agents and distributors. The company was incorporated in 1946 and is headquartered in Paris, France. Christian Dior SE is a subsidiary of Financière Agache Société Anonyme.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Christian Dior SE reported revenue of €80.8B in FY2025 versus €64.2B in FY2021, a compound +5.9%/yr. Reported net income was €4.5B in FY2025, compounding −2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€80.8B
Latest YoY
−4.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Revenue +5.9%/yr
FY21 €64.2B
FY22 €79.2B
FY23 €86.2B
FY24 €84.7B
FY25 €80.8B
Net income −2.2%/yr
FY21 €4.9B
FY22 €5.8B
FY23 €6.3B
FY24 €5.2B
FY25 €4.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Christian Dior SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/DIO

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR CHF 193.70 CHF 119.08 -39%
Kering SA KER €270.60 €56.23 -79%
Tapestry, Inc TPR $153.74 $19.95 -87%
Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 HK$12.31 HK$11.51 -6%
The Swatch Group UHRN CHF 37.90 CHF 21.48 -43%
Prada S.p.A 1913 HK$42.22 HK$64.07 +52%
Pandora A/S PNDORA kr 771.40 kr 1,424 +85%
Laopu Gold Co 6181 HK$359.20 HK$544.05 +51%
Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL ₹596.70 ₹238.57 -60%
Henan Liliang Diamond Co 301071 ¥60.38 ¥9.24 -85%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Christian Dior SE (DIO) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €1,095 versus a price of €423.60, about +159% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of DIO?
Our model-based fair value for Christian Dior SE is €1,095 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €423.60.
What is the quality score of DIO?
Christian Dior SE has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Christian Dior SE (DIO)?
Christian Dior SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €80.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of DIO?
The net profit margin of Christian Dior SE is about 5.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 5.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Christian Dior SE pay a dividend?
Christian Dior SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.16% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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