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Brunswick Corporation (BC) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.2B

BC Brunswick Corporation logo Brunswick Corporation BC · US
Price$81.60
Fair Value$13.56
Upside-83.4%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -2.5% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
2.11% dividend yield
Trails peers (5/14)
Narrow moat 23/100
Evidence: Medium Range $2.71 – $25.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $16.76 to $13.56 (−19.1%) since Jul 20, 2026. Share price +5.3% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 83% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($2.71 to $25.24). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$100.27 $40.61 Fair Value $13.56 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $40.61 – $100.27 · fair‑value band $2.71 – $25.24 · the $81.60 price screens above the $13.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Brunswick Corporation (BC) currently trades at $81.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.56, implying the stock looks roughly 83.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Brunswick Corporation generated revenue of $5.5B at a net margin of -2.5%. Revenue grew 12.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -7.8%. Net debt stands at $2.2B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.71 (bear case) to $25.24 (bull case); at $81.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at -83%, BC screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $39.55 $62.68 $92.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF $31.97 $59.55 $89.00 74
Gordon GGM $15.22 $24.47 $34.63 70
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $37.91 $62.84 $96.66 38
5Y Revenue Exit $31.97 $58.75 $91.43 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $18.69 $35.26 $53.26 41
10Y Revenue Exit $32.20 $56.10 $85.14 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $25.62 $40.63 $58.08 37
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.22 $24.47 $34.63 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.22 $21.93 $29.12 61
Multiples
EV/EBITDA $11.45 $23.13 $34.81 54
EV/Revenue $31.93 $55.71 $79.50 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.51 $16.76 $25.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $39.55 $62.68 $92.75 80
Rev-Margin DCF $31.97 $59.55 $89.00 74

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($59.55) versus Asset-Based ($16.76). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.8%
Net margin -2.5%
Return on equity -7.8%
Free cash flow $396M FY2025
Operating margin 4.0%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.05
Dividend yield 2.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.7%
Net debt $2.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 27
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 48
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 43
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Propulsion, Engine P&A, Navico Group, and Boat.

Full company description

Brunswick Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets recreation products in the United States, Europe, the Asia-Pacific, Canada, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Propulsion, Engine P&A, Navico Group, and Boat. The Propulsion segment provides outboard, sterndrive, inboard engines, propulsion-related controls, rigging, and propellers for boat builders through marine retail dealers under the Mercury, Mercury MerCruiser, Mariner, Mercury Racing, Mercury Diesel, Avator, and Fliteboard brands. The Engine P&A segment offers engine parts and consumables, electrical products, boat parts and systems, and engine oils and lubricants through aftermarket retailers, dealers, distributors, and original equipment manufacturers for marine and non-marine markets under the Mercury, Mercury Precision Parts, Quicksilver, and Seachoice brands; and distributes marine parts and accessories. The Navico Group segment provides products and systems for the marine, recreational vehicle (RV), specialty vehicle, mobile, and industrial markets, as well as aftermarket channels; and marine electronics, sensors, control systems, instruments, power systems, and general accessories under the Ancor, Attwood, B&G, BEP, Blue Sea Systems, C-MAP, CZone, Lenco, Lowrance, Marinco, Mastervolt, MotorGuide, Progressive Industries, ProMariner, Simrad, and Whale brand names. The Boat segment offers Sea Ray sport boats and cruisers; Bayliner sport cruisers, runabouts, and Heyday wake boats; Boston Whaler fiberglass offshore boats; Lund fiberglass fishing boats; Crestliner, Harris, Lowe, Lund, and Princecraft aluminum fishing; utility, pontoon, and deck boats; Navan premium exploration boats; and Thunder Jet and Lund heavy-gauge aluminum boats; and the freedom boat club, dealer services, and technology to the marine industry through dealers and distributors. Brunswick Corporation was founded in 1845 and is headquartered in Mettawa, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Brunswick Corporation reported revenue of $5.4B in FY2025 versus $5.8B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$137M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 39/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.4B
Latest YoY
+2.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.3%
Avg. growth/yr (40Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.2%
Revenue −2.1%/yr
FY21 $5.8B
FY22 $6.8B
FY23 $6.4B
FY24 $5.2B
FY25 $5.4B
Net income
FY21 $593M
FY22 $677M
FY23 $420M
FY24 $130M
FY25 −$137M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +4.7 % p.a.
Revenue per share +8.2 pp

of which total revenue +4.4 pp · buybacks/dilution +3.8 pp

EBIT margin −0.5 pp
Tax rate −0.6 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −2.5 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

BC screens 83% overvalued. Compare with Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Brunswick Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/BC

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Recreational Vehicles · 38 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −83% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Revenue growth 13% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.1% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.11× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper

P/B 3.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.95× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 11.1× · Pricier than median
PEG 0.75× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 18
FUTURE 64 · sector 15
PAST 0 · sector 16
HEALTH 44 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 42 · sector 57

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 ¥283.50 ¥199.10 -30%
BRP Inc DOO C$89.11 C$86.81 -3%
Polaris Inc PII $68.52 $29.83 -56%
THOR Industries, Inc THO $78.97 $97.14 +23%
Trigano S.A TRI €155.50 €273.48 +76%
Patrick Industries, Inc PATK $86.76 $85.54 -1%
Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG $25.97 $64.09 +147%
LCI Industries, LCII $107.15 $156.35 +46%
Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL €39.54 €37.41 -5%
Ferretti S.p.A 9638 HK$36.00 HK$50.96 +42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Brunswick Corporation (BC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.56 versus a price of $81.60, about −83% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of BC?
Our model-based fair value for Brunswick Corporation is $13.56 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $81.60.
What is the quality score of BC?
Brunswick Corporation has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Brunswick Corporation (BC)?
Brunswick Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of BC?
The net profit margin of Brunswick Corporation is about -2.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Brunswick Corporation pay a dividend?
Brunswick Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.11% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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