Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.7B · ISIN US7033431039
What is Patrick Industries Inc really worth?
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value of $85.54.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Share price −6.1% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- A fairly wide model range ($46.99 to $106.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $26.44 – $144.51 · fair‑value band $46.99 – $106.92 · the $81.59 price screens below the $85.54 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.
Analysis
Patrick Industries Inc (PATK) currently trades at $81.59, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $85.54, implying the stock looks roughly 4.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $98.31 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the $81.59 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $23.93, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Patrick Industries Inc generated revenue of $3.9B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 0.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.7%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $46.99 (bear case) to $106.92 (bull case); at $81.59, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 26% fair-value upside, at 5%, PATK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly $1.46 per share, which is 1.7 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($98.31) versus Asset-Based ($23.93). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (75).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Patrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes component and materials for recreational vehicle, marine, powersports, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, Mexico, China, and Canada. The company operates through Manufacturing and Distribution segments.
Full company description
Patrick Industries, Inc. manufactures and distributes component and materials for recreational vehicle, marine, powersports, manufactured housing, and industrial markets in the United States, Mexico, China, and Canada. The company operates through Manufacturing and Distribution segments. Its Manufacturing segment manufactures and sells laminated for furniture, shelving, wall, countertop, and cabinet products; cabinet doors, fiberglass bath fixtures, and tile systems; vinyl printing, amplifiers, tower speakers, soundbars, and subwoofers; solid surface, granite, and quartz countertop fabrication; aluminum products; fiberglass and plastic components; decorative vinyl and paper laminated panels; softwoods lumber; custom cabinetry; polymer-based and other flooring products; and dash panels. This segment also provides wrapped vinyl, paper, and hardwood profile mouldings; interior passage doors; air handling products; slide-out trim and fascia; treated, untreated, and laminated plywood; fiberglass and plastic helm systems and components; boat towers, tops, trailers, and frames; adhesives and sealants; thermoformed shower surrounds; specialty bath, and closet building products; wiring and wire harnesses; aluminum and plastic fuel tanks; CNC molds, composite parts, and marine hardware and accessories; slotwall panels and components; and other products. The company's Distribution segment distributes pre-finished wall and ceiling panels, drywall and finishing products, electronic and audio systems, appliances, and marine accessories; wiring, electrical, and plumbing products; fiber reinforced polyester products; and cement siding, raw and processed lumber, interior passage, roofing, laminate, and ceramic flooring, shower doors, furniture, fireplaces and surrounds, interior and exterior lighting products, and other products. This segment also offers transportation and logistics services. Patrick Industries, Inc. was incorporated in 1959 and is based in Elkhart, Indiana.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Patrick Industries Inc reported revenue of $4.0B in FY2025 versus $4.1B in FY2021, a compound −0.8%/yr. Reported net income was $135M in FY2025, compounding −12.0%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +16.2 % · buybacks/dilution −2.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Peer Group
Recreational Vehicles · 37 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Recreational Vehicles median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 66/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Recreational Vehicles stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zhejiang Cfmoto Power Co 603129 | ¥283.50 | ¥199.10 | −30% |
| Brunswick Corporation BC | $82.30 | $13.56 | −84% |
| BRP Inc DOO | C$88.23 | C$86.81 | −2% |
| Polaris Inc PII | $63.78 | $29.83 | −53% |
| THOR Industries, Inc THO | $77.02 | $97.14 | +26% |
| Trigano S.A TRI | €152.20 | €273.48 | +80% |
| Harley-Davidson, Inc HOG | $27.60 | $64.09 | +132% |
| LCI Industries, LCII | $101.98 | $156.35 | +53% |
| Sanlorenzo S.p.A SL | €37.94 | €37.41 | −1% |
| Ferretti S.p.A 9638 | HK$36.00 | HK$51.23 | +42% |
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