Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.5B · ISIN US8891441011
What is Tokyu Corp ADR really worth?
Below-average quality, trading 40% below our fair value of $18.47.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $17.15 to $18.47 (+7.7%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +1.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($11.69 to $25.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.18 – $18.34 · fair‑value band $11.69 – $25.24 · the $11.00 price screens below the $18.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY) currently trades at $11.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.47, implying the stock looks roughly 40.4% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $18.47 per share, and 6 of the 12 models we run sit above the $11.00 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.38, and 6 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyu Corp ADR generated revenue of $1.1T at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at $1.3T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.69 (bear case) to $25.24 (bull case); at $11.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −15% fair-value upside, at 68%, TOKUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($18.47) versus Earnings-Based ($1.80). Highest evidence: Residual Income (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally. It is involved in the railway, bus, and airport operations; and railway carriage business, such as designing and manufacturing equipment for railway carriages and contracting for renewal, repair, and periodic inspections, as well as undertaking design and construction of railway-related electronic work. The company also sells, leases, and manages real estate properties; leases office buildings, commercial facilities, housing properties, and other real estate properties; offers real estate brokerage services; provides property management services for buildings; develops and sells residential land; constructs and sells houses and others; and offers real estate management and construction, and building management services. In addition, it engages in the department store, chain store and other retailing, shopping center, cinema complex, and advertising operations, as well as offers cable television, electric power, and internet connection services. Further, the company operates hotels and golf courses. Tokyu Corporation was incorporated in 1922 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tokyu Corp ADR reported revenue of $1.2T in FY2026 versus $879B in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $92.3B in FY2026, compounding +80.1%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
of which total revenue −0.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.6 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- SkyDrive Enters Business Partnership with Bangkok Airways, SPI and Saha Tokyu to Explore eVTOL Applications in Thailand
- SkyDrive Joins Public-Private Discussion with Civil Aviation Authority of Thailand, Bangkok Airways, Saha Group, and Saha Tokyu Corporation,
- Tokyu (TSE:9005): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Gains
Peer Group
Department Stores · 121 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| Dillard's, Inc DDS | $630.71 | $536.21 | −15% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | −56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Macy's, Inc M | $21.93 | $42.68 | +95% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | −72% |
| Central Retail Corporation CRC | 27.50 THB | 20.89 THB | −24% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 424,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | −58% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 96,700 KRW | 76,636 KRW | −21% |
| PT Daya Intiguna Yasa Tbk MDIY | 940.00 IDR | 968.76 IDR | +3% |
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