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Tokyu Corporation (TOKUY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.5B

TC Tokyu Corporation logo Tokyu Corporation TOKUY · US
Price$10.83
Fair Value$18.47
Upside+70.5%
Quality47/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
1.85% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (6/10)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: Medium Range $11.69 – $25.24 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $17.15 to $18.47 (+7.7%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($11.69 to $25.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$18.34 $9.18 Fair Value $18.47 Jun 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $9.18 – $18.34 · fair‑value band $11.69 – $25.24 · the $10.83 price screens below the $18.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Tokyu Corporation (TOKUY) currently trades at $10.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.47, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyu Corporation generated revenue of $1.1T at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at $1.3T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.69 (bear case) to $25.24 (bull case); at $10.83, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 71%, TOKUY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $0.2822 $1.80 $3.12 72
Growth-Adj P/E $12.93 $18.47 $24.01 68
P/E Multiple $18.34 $24.45 $30.57 63
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.56 $11.00 $12.97 54
EPV $0.2822 $1.80 $3.12 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $18.34 $24.45 $30.57 63
P/S Multiple $12.48 $16.64 $20.80 58
P/B Multiple $14.17 $18.90 $23.62 55
EV/EBIT $8.43 $14.36 $20.29 53
EV/EBITDA $12.68 $20.02 $27.37 54
EV/Revenue $2.29 $7.28 $12.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.51 $7.38 $11.02 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.56 $10.58 $15.69 61
ROIC Compounder $0.2822 $1.80 $3.12 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $12.93 $18.47 $24.01 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($18.47) versus Earnings-Based ($1.80). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) +12.0%
Net margin 8.0%
Return on equity 9.7%
Free cash flow −$37.8B FY2026
P/E ratio 20.4
More key figures
Operating margin 5.0%
EPS (TTM) $0.5300
Dividend yield 1.9%
EPS growth (YoY) +16.6%
Net debt $1.3T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally.

Full company description

Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally. It is involved in the railway, bus, and airport operations; and railway carriage business, such as designing and manufacturing equipment for railway carriages and contracting for renewal, repair, and periodic inspections, as well as undertaking design and construction of railway-related electronic work. The company also sells, leases, and manages real estate properties; leases office buildings, commercial facilities, housing properties, and other real estate properties; offers real estate brokerage services; provides property management services for buildings; develops and sells residential land; constructs and sells houses and others; and offers real estate management and construction, and building management services. In addition, it engages in the department store, chain store and other retailing, shopping center, cinema complex, and advertising operations, as well as offers cable television, electric power, and internet connection services. Further, the company operates hotels and golf courses. Tokyu Corporation was incorporated in 1922 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Tokyu Corporation reported revenue of $1.2T in FY2026 versus $879B in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $92.3B in FY2026, compounding +80.1%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.2T
Latest YoY
+9.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Revenue +7.0%/yr
FY22 $879B
FY23 $931B
FY24 $1.0T
FY25 $1.1T
FY26 $1.2T
Net income +80.1%/yr
FY22 $8.8B
FY23 $26.0B
FY24 $63.8B
FY25 $79.7B
FY26 $92.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) +4.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +0.5 pp

of which total revenue −0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp

EBIT margin +3.7 pp
Tax rate −0.3 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.9 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Tokyu Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/TOKUY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Department Stores · 127 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside +71% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Top 25%
Return on assets 2% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Below median
Revenue growth 12% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.94× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 20.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 28
FUTURE 60 · sector 2
PAST 39 · sector 15
HEALTH 53 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 37 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Falabella S.A FALABELLA 6,380 CLP 8,005 CLP +25%
El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 99.62 MXN 220.59 MXN +121%
99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 3.65 MYR 1.59 MYR -56%
Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD 1,949 CLP 2,425 CLP +24%
Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM ₹107.00 ₹30.46 -72%
SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 399,000 KRW 177,841 KRW -55%
Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB 30.04 MXN 54.64 MXN +82%
Lotte Shopping Co 023530 97,300 KRW 76,636 KRW -21%
Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 R$11.74 R$33.36 +184%
La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC 34.37 MXN 44.99 MXN +31%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Tokyu Corporation (TOKUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.47 versus a price of $10.83, about +71% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TOKUY?
Our model-based fair value for Tokyu Corporation is $18.47 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.83.
What is the quality score of TOKUY?
Tokyu Corporation has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Tokyu Corporation (TOKUY)?
Tokyu Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1T (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TOKUY?
The net profit margin of Tokyu Corporation is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tokyu Corporation pay a dividend?
Tokyu Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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