Tokyu Corporation (TOKUY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $17.15 to $18.47 (+7.7%) since Jul 21, 2026. Share price +3.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 71% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($11.69 to $25.24) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.18 – $18.34 · fair‑value band $11.69 – $25.24 · the $10.83 price screens below the $18.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Tokyu Corporation (TOKUY) currently trades at $10.83, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.47, implying the stock looks roughly 70.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyu Corporation generated revenue of $1.1T at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at $1.3T. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.69 (bear case) to $25.24 (bull case); at $10.83, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 25% fair-value upside, at 71%, TOKUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 12 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($18.47) versus Earnings-Based ($1.80). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally. It is involved in the railway, bus, and airport operations; and railway carriage business, such as designing and manufacturing equipment for railway carriages and contracting for renewal, repair, and periodic inspections, as well as undertaking design and construction of railway-related electronic work. The company also sells, leases, and manages real estate properties; leases office buildings, commercial facilities, housing properties, and other real estate properties; offers real estate brokerage services; provides property management services for buildings; develops and sells residential land; constructs and sells houses and others; and offers real estate management and construction, and building management services. In addition, it engages in the department store, chain store and other retailing, shopping center, cinema complex, and advertising operations, as well as offers cable television, electric power, and internet connection services. Further, the company operates hotels and golf courses. Tokyu Corporation was incorporated in 1922 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tokyu Corporation reported revenue of $1.2T in FY2026 versus $879B in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was $92.3B in FY2026, compounding +80.1%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue −0.1 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.6 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch TOKUY: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- SkyDrive Enters Business Partnership with Bangkok Airways, SPI and Saha Tokyu to Explore eVTOL Applications in Thailand
- SkyDrive Joins Public-Private Discussion with Civil Aviation Authority of Thailand, Bangkok Airways, Saha Group, and Saha Tokyu Corporation,
- Tokyu (TSE:9005): Assessing Valuation After Recent Share Price Gains
Peer Group
Department Stores · 127 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Department Stores stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Falabella S.A FALABELLA | 6,380 CLP | 8,005 CLP | +25% |
| El Puerto de Liverpool, S.A. LIVEPOLC1 | 99.62 MXN | 220.59 MXN | +121% |
| 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings 5326 | 3.65 MYR | 1.59 MYR | -56% |
| Cencosud S.A CENCOSUD | 1,949 CLP | 2,425 CLP | +24% |
| Vishal Mega Mart Limited VMM | ₹107.00 | ₹30.46 | -72% |
| SHINSEGAE Inc 004170 | 399,000 KRW | 177,841 KRW | -55% |
| Organización Soriana, S. A. B. de C. V., SORIANAB | 30.04 MXN | 54.64 MXN | +82% |
| Lotte Shopping Co 023530 | 97,300 KRW | 76,636 KRW | -21% |
| Lojas Renner S.A LREN3 | R$11.74 | R$33.36 | +184% |
| La Comer, S.A. LACOMERUBC | 34.37 MXN | 44.99 MXN | +31% |
Compare Tokyu Corporation with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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