Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Tokyu Corp ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.
Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
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Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $6.0B · ISIN US8891441011
At a glance
TCTokyu Corp ADRTOKUY · US
Price$10.42
Fair Value$19.05
Upside+82.8%
Quality47/100
Below-average quality, trading 45% below our fair value of $19.05.
As of Sep 8, 2026, the fair value of Tokyu Corp ADR is $19.05 per share against a price of $10.42, so the fair value sits 83% above the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.0% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·1.85% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (7/13)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: MediumRange $12.06 to $26.04
Fair value as of: Sep 8, 2026
From 12 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Sep 8, 2026, revised from $18.76 to $19.05 (+1.5%) since Sep 7, 2026. Share price −3.8% over the past month.
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What matters now
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($12.06). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Solid quality (47/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
A fairly wide model range ($12.06 to $26.04) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.18 – $18.34 · fair‑value band $12.06 – $26.04 · the $10.42 price screens below the $19.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 8, 2026.
Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY) currently trades at $10.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.05, implying the stock looks roughly 45.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $19.05 per share, and 8 of the 12 models we run sit above the $10.42 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $7.61, and 4 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, Tokyu Corp ADR generated revenue of ¥1.1T at a net margin of 8.0%. Revenue grew 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.7%. Net debt stands at ¥1.3T. Fundamentals as of Sep 8, 2026
Scenario range: $12.06 (bear) to $26.04 (bull), the price of $10.42 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at 83%, TOKUY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →
ModelBear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence$9.86$10.92$16.1970
Graham-Dodd$7.80$11.34$13.3867
Growth-Adj P/E$13.34$19.05$24.7767
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd$7.80$11.34$13.3867
EPV$0.2911$1.86$3.2165
Multiples
P/E Multiple$18.92$25.22$31.5363
P/S Multiple$12.87$17.16$21.4558
P/B Multiple$14.62$19.49$24.3655
EV/EBIT$8.69$14.81$20.9264
EV/EBITDA$13.08$20.65$28.2366
EV/Revenue$2.36$7.51$12.6649
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)$5.68$7.61$11.3654
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence$9.86$10.92$16.1970
ROIC Compounder$0.2911$1.86$3.2166
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E$13.34$19.05$24.7767
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($19.05) versus Earnings-Based ($1.86). Highest evidence: Residual Income (70).
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Key figures & financial health
P/E ratio19.7
P/S ratio1.58P/E × margin
EPS (TTM)$0.5300price ÷ EPS = P/E 19.7
Dividend yield1.9%payout 36.4%
Net margin8.0%FY2026
Return on equity9.7%TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT)2.8%avg 5y
Operating margin5.0%TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM)¥1.1TTTM
Revenue growth (YoY)+12.0%3y avg +7.3%
EPS growth (YoY)+16.6%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow−¥37.8BFY2026
Net debt¥1.3TFY2026
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality47/100
Of which business quality 44
· Market factors (momentum, volatility) 40
Profitability32
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow30
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment57
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance92
Buybacks instead of dilution
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally.
Full company description
Tokyu Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the transportation, real estate, life service, and hotel and resort businesses in Japan and internationally. It is involved in the railway, bus, and airport operations; and railway carriage business, such as designing and manufacturing equipment for railway carriages and contracting for renewal, repair, and periodic inspections, as well as undertaking design and construction of railway-related electronic work. The company also sells, leases, and manages real estate properties; leases office buildings, commercial facilities, housing properties, and other real estate properties; offers real estate brokerage services; provides property management services for buildings; develops and sells residential land; constructs and sells houses and others; and offers real estate management and construction, and building management services. In addition, it engages in the department store, chain store and other retailing, shopping center, cinema complex, and advertising operations, as well as offers cable television, electric power, and internet connection services. Further, the company operates hotels and golf courses. Tokyu Corporation was incorporated in 1922 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Tokyu Corp ADR reported revenue of ¥1.2T in FY2026 versus ¥879B in FY2022, a compound +7.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥92.3B in FY2026, compounding +80.1%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Growth Quality 35/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
¥1.2T
Latest YoY
+9.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (26Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in JPY) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, EBIT basis) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +20.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+18.2%
Dividend yield1.9%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 30.8% vs 10Y 6.1%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−3.4% (2021) → 9.5% (2026) · rising
Worst earnings drop198% (2021) (loss year, drop beyond 100%) · in JPY
⚠ Final year 2026 sits 53% above trend (one-off), rate on operating basis
Revenue+7.0%/yr
FY22¥879B
FY23¥931B
FY24¥1.0T
FY25¥1.1T
FY26¥1.2T
Net income+80.1%/yr
FY22¥8.8B
FY23¥26.0B
FY24¥63.8B
FY25¥79.7B
FY26¥92.3B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026)+4.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share+0.5 %
of which total revenue −0.1 % · buybacks/dilution +0.6 %
EBIT margin+3.7 %
Tax rate−0.3 %
Residual (interest, one-offs)+0.8 %
Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
This stockSector peers
VALUE100· sector 24
FUTURE60· sector 0
PAST39· sector 17
HEALTH53· sector 95
DIVIDEND37· sector 38
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
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Is Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.05 versus a price of $10.42, about +83% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of TOKUY?
Our model-based fair value for Tokyu Corp ADR is $19.05 (as of Sep 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $10.42.
What is the quality score of TOKUY?
Tokyu Corp ADR has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.05 (as of Sep 8, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $12.06, optimistic scenario $26.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Tokyu Corp ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.05, about +83% upside versus a price of $10.42 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $12.06, optimistic scenario $26.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY)?
Tokyu Corp ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.1T (latest available figure, as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of TOKUY?
The net profit margin of Tokyu Corp ADR is about 8.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Tokyu Corp ADR pay a dividend?
Tokyu Corp ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.85% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 8, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Tokyu Corp ADR it is $19.05 per share (as of Sep 8, 2026), against a price of $10.42. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Tokyu Corp ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 8, 2026, TOKUY trades below its calculated fair value: price $10.42, fair value $19.05, a gap of about +83% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TOKUY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.42); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.05). For Tokyu Corp ADR the two are $8.63 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Tokyu Corp ADR worth?
The market values Tokyu Corp ADR at about $6.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 8, 2026). Per share that is $10.42; our models calculate a fair value of $19.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TOKUY?
Our models span a range for Tokyu Corp ADR: cautious scenario $12.06, base $19.05, optimistic $26.04 per share (as of Sep 8, 2026, price $10.42). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of TOKUY?
Tokyu Corp ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 19.7 (as of Sep 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.05 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Tokyu Corp ADR (TOKUY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Tokyu Corp ADR (as of Sep 8, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 47/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TOKUY from its 52-week high?
Tokyu Corp ADR trades at $10.42, about 17% below its 52-week high of $12.60 and 8% above the low of $9.64 (as of Sep 8, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $19.05 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Tokyu Corp ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Cencosud S.A, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Tokyu Corp ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 8, 2026: price $10.42, calculated fair value $19.05 (+83%), Quality Score 47/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TOKUY calculated?
We run Tokyu Corp ADR through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.6 % above its aggregate fair value. Tokyu Corp ADR currently trades 83 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on <a href="/is-it-worth-investing-now/">is it worth investing now</a>.
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Tokyu Corp ADR
TOKUY · US